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WBOC Weather Blog

Online weather commentary and analysis by members of the WBOC Storm Tracker Team.

4:15 a.m. Monday, Feb. 20, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Potentially hazardous driving conditions on parts of the peninsula, at least until mid-morning, can be expected. A slushy mix of rain and snow has created slick roads. With rain and snow ending, visibilities will not be a huge factor but bridges and overpasses could have icy spots. The southern half of Delmarva has received 1-2" of snow however, the northern half only rain. The Low pressure area that brought parts of Delmarva rain and/or snow and a wintry mix is pulling out to sea. A strong Northerly wind will be in it's wake. Winds 15-20 mph. will drive down the feels like temperature for Monday. The President's Day expected high is 50. Then, a warming trend is in store for the week ahead and a 70 degree reading on Friday could be noted in some communities. With spring a month away, watch for more upper 60's for daytime highs and more frequent rains as the spring weather pattern emerges and the jet stream responsible for bringing in colder Canadian air migrates northward.

10:13 p.m. Sunday, Feb. 19, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCOMACK COUNTY UNTIL 5 AM MONDAY.

The precip took a while to reach the ground today, with lots of evaporation through the afternoon.  What started as rain, continues to transition to sleet & and wet snow.  We may see a little accumulation, mainly on the grass and elevated surfaces...temps we're just to warm today, to support major stick-age on most of the area roadways.  We'll see the snow warp up overnight, with tons of sun & highs in the upper 40s to around the 50 degree mark for Monday.

Chances for precip look pretty bleak over moch of the work week, with models trending drier for Wednesday, with slight chances for rain returning Friday into Saturday.  The models are also trending warmer for much of the work week, with highs flirting with 70 come Thursday!  Don't break out your Bermuda shorts for next weekend just yet, as highs will be dipping back down to the more seasonal mid to upper 40s behind Friday's cold front...in fact, we could see a few flurries early Saturday morning!

7:16 a.m. Sunday, Feb. 19, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Colder air from the North confronts moist air from the South. The precipitation will be mainly in the liquid form until sunset when colder temperatures will support light snow. Temperatures will only be in the freezing range for a few overnight hours so any snow-fall would be short lived. Little moisture and little time, (since the moisture is moving out rapidly) to produce snow will most likely only provide a light dusting however, motorists between midnight and 7am Monday should be alert to potential slick spots, especially on bridges and overpasses. A wintry mix is most likely rather than all snow. Conditions favor more rain/snow/wintry mix for the southern half of the peninsula. The northern half of Delmarva could experience a similar fate however, for a shorter window of time. With many schools and offices closed for the Presidents Day holiday on Monday any potential impact on driving will be significantly reduced. This winter situation may, as do others, change rapidly due to fronts becoming stationary or other influencing factors. However, at this time it appears we've dodged another bullet. 

3:47 a.m. Friday, Feb. 17, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

For the start of your weekend High pressure builds in today, Friday. An approaching Low pressure area on Saturday will have us back to cloudy skies by mid-day Saturday.  Rain chances increase Saturday late evening. On Sunday look for rain chances throughout the day and periods of heavy rain at times. As the Low intensifies and tracks northward along the coast, in addition to the possibility of .50" of rain for this system, the Low will also bring in colder air from the Northwest as the counterclockwise rotation spins the airflow onto the peninsula. During this cold air influx in combination with moisture in the area, we could see snow flurries or a wintry mix. A repeat of what we saw last weekend (without the bitter cold). Then Monday, The President's Day Holiday promises an end to the rain and cloud cover and by early to mid afternoon and a return to sunny skies.

10:15 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 16, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

As anticipated, our little low & warm/cold front combo brought b/w .1-.25" of rain.

We'll see clearing skies tonight, with relatively calm winds.  Winds will be eventually shift to the NNW, but until then, expect areas of dense fog overnight.  Once the fog lifts, we'll see lots of sun during the day Friday.  Highs will hit the mid 50s Friday afternoon, and we'll see the low to mid 50s for the up coming weekend.  Speaking of the weekend, it does appear the clouds will be rolling back in Saturday, with chances for rain...in fact,  while the WRF has us seeing pretty much all rain, the GFS & CMC show a little snow snow mixing in Sunday night into Early Monday morning.  Basically the low will be pressing off the coast to our South, so we'll be close enough to the moisture source, and on the correct side for a little cold air intrusion.  Right now it doesn't appear to be a major event, but certainly a scenario we'll need to keep an eye on.

We'll see high temps in the low to mid 50s through the weekend, with lows generally in the 30s.  Highs will briefly dip into the mid 40s Monday, with highs climbing back to around the 60 degree mark by Thursday, where rain chances will return to the forecast.

11:19 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 16, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The high pressure that brought us clear skies yesterday has moved off shore. For Thursday, low approaching from the West will move to the Northeast but drag a frontal boundary through the region producing overcast conditions and rain chances through the day. Rain will begin earlier on Northern sections of Delmarva and later to the South. However, between noon and midnight look for roughly .25"- .33" of rain Delmarva wide. Rain will be mainly light but moderate in intensity at times in the late afternoon. High pressure builds in behind the front for a sunny afternoon start to the weekend on Friday. Dry weather is also forecast for Saturday with increasing clouds and rain chances on Sunday. Early morning fog is likely on Friday morning. Daytime highs remain roughly 5-7 degrees above normal with the exception of Monday's projected high of just 46. Monday, 2/20/12 also marks one month till Spring, 3/20/12. Enjoy the mid 50's. The seasonal average High for the week is 47 F.

9:32 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 15, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The occluding warm/cold front combo will track in from the Southwest, delivering chances for rain Thursday.  Rain chances look best across the Southern half of the peninsula, where we may see around .25", with lesser amounts likely Northward.  We'll see a good bit of sunshine Friday, then the weekend may be a bit more up in the air than it initially looked.  The GFS now has the area of low pressure that was once tracking off the coast well to our South over the weekend, making a blline for Delmarva.  This scenario would lead to a lot more rain for Saturday and the 1st half of Sunday, than originally anticipated.  .However, it looks like both he CMC and WRF keep the low well South of us, and as of this morning, so did the GFS, so I made no changes to the weekend icons.

The weekend continues to trend warmer, so it appears we'll see highs in the low to mid 50s through Sunday.  Look for temps to take a brief dip Monday, back into the mid to upper 40s, before the 50s return for mid week.

3:38 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 15, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Unlike yesterday's dreary overcast conditions, High pressure will build in from the West today providing clear skies but, that will be short lived. An area of Low pressure to our North will drag a frontal system across Delmarva on Thursday. About .25" of rain can be expected mainly confined to late afternoon and early evening. Then, on Friday and Saturday High pressure returns, at least until Saturday night when skies become cloudy. An area of Low pressure to our south will provide rain chances for Sunday then, it's back to sunshine as the work week begins anew.

9:54 p.m. Tuesday, Feb. 14, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

As expected, we saw a good bit of cloud cover Tuesday, with a few peaks of afternoon sunshine, and little to no rain. 

Expect to see a mix of sun and clouds out there mid week, with the clouds thickening up Wednesday night, in advance of a warm/cold front combo headed our way from the Southwest.  Rain chances appear to be trending slightly less than yesterday, as it now appears we'll see about a 40% chance of showers, with maybe .25" during the PM hours Thursday.  Look for a good bit of sun Friday, and Saturday, with the clouds, and slim chances of rain headed our way Sunday.

Look for high temps to top out in the mid 50s through the end of the work week.  The weekend is trending a bit warmer, with highs now looking like they'll stay in the mid 50s instead of dropping back into the upper 40s.  In fact, the next 7 days will will top out about 5-7 degrees above average, with all days forecast to hit 50 or higher, with the exception of Monday (48).

4:20 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 14, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout 

Happy Valentines Day! A weak area of Low pressure will keep skies gray Tuesday and the chance of, ever so light drizzle or, in the case of the hours with below freezing temps, light snow flakes. Total precipitation amount would be under .10" A shortwave Ridge and surface High will produce clear skies Wednesday as the winter roller coaster continues. However, we will see the mid 50s each day as daytime high temperatures stabilize the remainder of the work week. Overnight Lows will be at or above freezing for the period as well. The next significant chance of rain comes Thursday as a surface Low approaches from the West Thursday morning and a secondary Low Thursday evening. For the upcoming weekend, Friday and Saturday appear the sunniest and driest of the Fri/Sat/Sun combination with Partly Cloudy skies and a slight chance of rain for mainly southern Delmarva on Sunday.  

10 p.m. Monday, Feb. 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Several areas of low pressure well to our West, along with an area of low pressure sliding off the coast well to our South, will provide a good bit of cloud cover, and slight chances for a little light rain for our Tuesday.  The models aren't picking up on much moisture at all (actually none on the GFS, WRF & CMC), but the radar is lit up just off to the West.  It will be interesting to see if the "slight chance" holds up, as there is a conveyer belt of moisture is currently siphoning out of the Gulf.

We'll see the sunshine return for mid week, with the clouds making a quick return Thursday, as another warm/cold front combo tracks in from the Southwest.  Rain chances are looking pretty decent Thursday, before we once again see the sun return for Friday.

Look for highs in the low to mid 50s for the remainder of the work week, with the upper 40s for next weekend.

4:28 a.m. Monday, Feb. 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cold start to the work week as we struggle to see mid 40s for Mondays daytime high. The Arctic air blast resulting in cold temperatures on Delmarva but High pressure, will continue to give us skies sunny. Tuesday will be mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain/flurries dues to a weak trough moving across the area. Wednesday we will be under the influence of a Warm Front increasing temperatures to daytime highs in the lower 50s. Another warm front approaches late Thursday afternoon with the best chance for rain/flurry chances this week as Low pressure develops along the front. Friday, a lingering shower however clearing by mid morning. Sunny on Saturday.  

4:01 a.m. Friday, Feb. 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Yet another day of High pressure allowing for at least partly sunny conditions through most of the day Friday but, evening brings a chance for light rain will be developing.  A Low pressure area to our South delivers rain chances through the late morning hours Saturday then, a Cold Front and upper level trough will enter the picture bringing rain chances, falling temperatures and the possibility of some light non-accumulating flurries into Saturday as well. With the Low pressure area moving off shore, a tight gradient is expected resulting in high winds. Noticeable wind increase will begin Saturday by noontime in the 15 mph range and will remain sustained at 20 mph through 6pm on Sunday. Gusts to 30 mph through the period, and at it's peak gusts up to 40 mph, could be experienced Saturday. Be aware of driving in high wind conditions including the avoidance of high profile vehicles such as 18-wheeler tractor-trailer rigs. Late Sunday behind the Cold Front High pressure builds in for a sunny but very chilly end to, and beginning of, the week ahead. 

9:28 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like a pretty nice end to the work week, with winds shifting back to the SW, pumping in some slightly warmer air for Friday.  We'll see highs back into the lower 50s, and enjoy the warm air while you can, cause temperatures will be taking a dramatic tumble behind Saturdays cold front!

The front looks like it will merge with / be right on the heels of a developing area of low pressure headed in from the Southwest.  We could see a little mix of rain and snow overnight Friday, through the early morning hours of Saturday.  However, with a nice warm air intrusion as the area of low pressure moves in from the SW, and low temps only down into the mid to upper 30s, we should not see any Winter weather road issues, with maybe just a little slush on the grass across the North.  We'll see highs make it into the low to mid 40s early Saturday, with temperatures dropping, as winds pick up for the second half of the day.  The low will most likely intensify enough that we see winds gust in the 30 mph range Saturday evening.  The models had a little residual moisture showing up late Saturday afternoon & evening, but its most likely just a bit of convective feedback.  So if we do see any late day precip chances, they'll be slight (less than 20%), and would most likely be nothing more than flurries.

Look for temperatures to fall even further Sunday, with highs in the upper 30s.  We'll see the low to mid 40s Monday, with the lower 50s for mid week, next week.  With the warm up next week, comes increasing clouds and slim chances for drizzle or flurries come Tuesday.

4:18 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Decreasing clouds and a NW wind today with a noticeable drop in temperatures wrap up Wednesday's late day rain. However today's 47 degree reading for our high is on track for this time of year. Tomorrow, sunshine and High pressure continue but with a Southwesterly flow of air allowing temperatures to climb for our daytime high 5 degrees above Thursday. Expect high winds gusting to 30 mph on Saturday as a strong Trough and surface Cold Front swing down from Canada producing one of the coldest weekends of winter so far by dropping the overnight low into the 20s and Sundays high temperature to just the high 30s for a day of under normal values.  If an expected Low pressure area develops along the front, rain chances and a potential wintry mix could occur on Saturday with most models indicating, at this time, mainly all rain but only until Saturday at noon.

9:36 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Not too much shaking out there tonight.  Our "storm" arrived several hours earlier than expected, and as a result, we had an all rain event here on Delmarva.  Most locations picked up between .1-.2" of rain,.  Needless to say this storm was far from impressive.

We'll see tons of sunshine to round out the work week, with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.  A Canadian Clipper will push through early in the day, giving us only slim chances for drizzle, or flurries Saturday morning.  Highs will fall back into low to mid 40s Saturday, with the upper 30s expected Sunday!  We'll see highs climb back into the low to mid 50s by mid week next week.

Again, pecip chances look like they'll sit around 20% or less Saturday.  However, at least slight chances for rain will reenter the forecast by Tuesday.

10:44 p.m. Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see a slight chance for a few rain showers late Wednesday afternoon, as an area of low pressure presses off the coast to our South.  Chances for precip will only be slight during the day, but look a little more impressive Wednesday evening, where we could see a mix of rain & snow.  However, no accumulation is expected, and we'll most likely see less than .1" of liquid equivalent. 

We'll see lots of sunshine for the remainder of the work week, with the clouds returning for the 1st half of Saturday.  The clouds will stem from a Canadian Clipper that will be diving in from the Northwest.  As of now, precip chances look to be less that 20% (long range models now in agreement w/ this solution) for Sayurday, but we'll be at no shortage of cold air, as temps plummet for Saturday and Sunday.

Speaking of temps...expect the mid 40s Wednesday, with the upper 40s to lower 50s to round out the work week.  Highs will fall back into the lower 40s Saturday, and we'll be stuck in the 30s to round out the weekend on Sunday.

4:12 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure continues to provide pleasant conditions today but later tonight a Cold Front drops in reducing Wednesday's daytime high to 48. It's the next system affecting Delmarva as a weak area of Low pressure rides along  the Cold Front, the chance (25%) of rain or light non-accumulating flurries could be seen but only a minimal amount of precip. (.10") would be realized. High pressure builds back in on Thursday allowing for a finish to the work week with sunshine and rebounding High temp's to the lower 50s. Colder Canadian air arrives for the weekend reducing daytime Highs to the upper 30s and lower 40s for what will be one of the chilliest weekends of Winter 2012 so far, at least here on Delmarva. (It got down to 15 F in Salisbury back on Jan. 16 of this year).

10:13 p.m. Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day of sun, before the clouds make a mid week comeback.  The clouds will stem from an approaching cold front, headed our way from the West.  The front is a slow mover, and won't pack much of a punch.  In fact, temps may be a degree or two warmer as we round out the work week.  Chances for precip aren't looking all that likely, and will only sit around 20% or less.  So most will see nothing more than a little light drizzle Wednesday afternoon, possibly mixing w/ a few flakes of snow Wednesday evening. 

Look for a sunny end of the work week, but another, more potent cold front heads our way for Saturday.  This front also appears to be moisture starved (if you believe the GFS), and will provide, very little chance of precip, but a pretty good drop in temps, with highs back down to the upper 30s to lower 40s to wrap up the weekend and begin next week.  The CMC paints a slightly different scenario for the weekend, with better chances for precip headed our way for the weekend.  Both the CMC & GFS have an area of low pressure developing to our South, that will be merging with the weekend cold front.  The GFS has the merger occuring well off the coast.  The CMC has the low still has the merger off the coast, but in a little closer proximity.  As a result, the CMC has us getting a glancing blow from the low, that could deliver a mix of rain and snow Saturday.  Since the GFS is bone dry, and the CMC shows just slim chances for precip, I'd say the weekend looks far from threatening...but worth keeping an eye on.

As far as temps, look for the low to mid 50s Tuesday, with the upper 40s to lower 50s returning for the remainder of the work week.  Temperatures trended a couple of degrees warmer for the weekend, but it still looks cold with highs in the mid 40s Saturday, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s to round out the weekend and begin next week.

4:17 a.m. Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Some early morning fog is possible then, the start of your Mid-Winter work week will be sunny and dry through Wednesday. An upper level Trough will pass Monday evening producing a few passing clouds. A Low pressure area will accompany a cold front on Wednesday. Minimal amounts of, and a slight chance of rain could occur Wednesday but, another area of High pressure will quickly move into place on Thursday allowing for mostly sunny skies through the day Friday. A chance of rain Saturday to finish out another mild winter week on Delmarva.

6:06 p.m. Friday, Feb. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The Low pressure that brought us rain on Thursday has moved out to sea. Gusty winds overnight were the result of High pressure building in from the Northwest. Sunny skies are the result of this High for the start to the weekend. Friday night's clear skies will result in a Low temperature once again around the 30 degree mark. We'll be above the seasonal average (45F) for daytime Highs again this weekend and near seasonal Low temp of 27. Saturday night into Sunday morning the possibility of some light non-accumulating snow flurries or sleet for a short period of time exists as moisture is near and temperatures are low. Both National Weather Services indicate this possibility for Salisbury and Dover. Sunday, the Low pressure area responsible for this precipitation tracks to our South and then off the Carolina coast by Sunday afternoon/evening but, will be providing some clouds and a slight chance for rain Sunday before the weekend is finished. The rain chances are only in the 25% range at this time so a verbal mention on air and rain icon, rather than any full blown grafics to indicate sleet, was used.

10:23 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Our little front blew through as forecast and dumped an average of about .25" of rain across the peninsula (more South, less North).  Northwesterly winds have kicked in, and dropped temps a bit.  We should see highs remain above seasonal average, around the 50 degree mark through the weekend.

Speaking of the weekend, the long range models have done an about face.  The GFS showed rain for Sunday in yesterday's run, but is dry today.  The CMC was dry yesterday, and shows rain with today's run for Sunday.  The WRF has come into time frame, and is looking much like the GFS, keeping us dry through the weekend.  We'll be tracking an area of low pressure headed in our direction from the Southwest.  The WRF & GFS are now showing the low pressing off the coast well to our South, which is where the bulk of the rain should move out as well.  The CMC now has the low taking the more typical track, SW to NE keeping more of the rain in our vicinity as it exits stage right.

Models still in good agreement that we'll see lots of sunshine next week, with highs in the mid 40s to low 50s.

3:42 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Through early afternoon Thursday, a continued chance of showers will be possible as a stalled cold front and Low pressure combination remain in the region. Temperatures will be noticeably cooler today. A return to overnight Lows in the 30s will begin. Tonight through Saturday High pressure builds in and will produce clear skies and sunny conditions.  Saturday night another area of Low pressure will present some clouds and a slight chance for showers late Saturday night and possibly a portion of Sunday and Monday before finally clearing out late Monday. Weekday Highs will hover near 50 for the period ahead. A return to sunshine is forecast Tuesday and Wednesday.

10:02 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Look for skies to slowly clear for our Thursday afternoon, as highs hit the mid 50s.  High temperatures will hover around 50 Friday through the upcoming weekend.  We'll see tons of sun to wrap up the work week Friday, but expect the clouds to roll back in Saturday, as an area of low pressure tracks in from the South.  The low will provide at least a chance for rain overnight Saturday into Sunday, before mostly sunny skies return to the forecast to begin next week. 

So really the only slight tweak to the forecast, appears to be a good bit more sunshine to begin next week.  The GFS & CMC are still a bit at odds on the weekend rainfall, as the CMC keeps us dry for Sunday, and the GFS delivers the scenario described above.  For now,  we'll just remain consistant on the 7day, until the longer range models come into a bit better agreement on the rain solution for Sunday.

3:15 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

February begins with another day of above average temperatures as the High pressure off the Carolinas remains. Mid 60s for daytime highs on Wednesday will be the end of 60s for the forecast period. However, averaging 50 for daytime highs over the next week is still 5 degrees above normal. Southwest winds responsible for the warm air will die down after sunset tonight but could be gusty for Wednesday briefly at 25 mph. A Northerly component to the winds on Thursday and Cold Front will bring those 50 degree readings to the start of the end of the work week.  Rain on Thursday is compliments of a Low pressure area pulling a cold front through our region.  Improving conditions on Friday and most of the day Saturday return as High pressure build in once again. Another unsettled pattern with rain chances to finish the weekend and begin the first full week of February.

9:34 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It will be a warm one, with highs back into the low to mid 60s once again (Georgetown set a new record btw Tuesday, and hit 63, topping the previous record of 60 set back in 74').  Clouds will be on the increase through the day, with just slight chances for a few scattered showers.  Rain chances look better overnight Wednesday into Thursday, as our next little cold front slides on through.  Most will see around .25" of rain, before we start to dry out Thursday afternoon.  Skies should clear out nicely with lots of sun for Friday.  We'll see increasing clouds Saturday, as another area(s) of low pressure track in from the Southwest, and provide rain chances for Sunday.  Actually, that's if you by the GFS solution, as there is a bit of model discrepancy. The CMC has us dry through the weekend, with heavy rain headed our way for Monday.  Stay tuned for the long range models to come into better agreement.

Highs will fallback into the upper 40s to lower 50s to wrap up the work week, and take us through the weekend.  In fact, it looks like the low 50s will be with us through at least mid week next week, making it safe to say, we'll be above average for the entire 1st week of February.

A lot of people have been asking me about Groundhog Day already, and I wanted to share my wisdom, in case you wanted to pass it a long.....  It doesn't really matter if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow or not on Thursday, because in order to have 6 MORE weeks of winter, you would have had winter to begin with, and I was sporting shorts and a tshirt for much of the month of January!  Bring on spring!

3:30 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure moves across our South, anchors of the Carolina's and provides a Southwesterly flow of warm air into Delmarva today. Some communities on the peninsula will see the mercury rise 15 degrees above normal. However, 10-15 mph winds will make the mid 60s seem just a tad cooler.  Our next Cold Front will drop in tomorrow, aided by Low pressure, delivering rain chances late Wednesday and through the day Thursday. The Cold Front appears to stall and another Low pressure area rides along the front for rain chances on Thursday. Friday will be pleasant and dry. Chance for rain this weekend.

10:03 p.m. Monday, Jan. 30, 2012, by WBOC Meterologist Brian Keane

Winds have already shifted to the Southwest, and temps should slowly rise for the remainder of the night.  We'll see the 40s and 50s Tuesday morning, with the low to mid 60s back into the mix for the afternoon.  Expect increasing clouds Wednesday with highs once again breaching the 60 degree mark.  The clouds stem from our next approaching cold front which should press off the coast early Thursday.  The front will deliver some rain chances, but most will see <.25" overnight Wednesday through about mid morning Thursday.  Both the CMC & WRF have the rain wrapping up by mid morning Thursday, but the GFS has showers lingering through mid afternoon.  I think the GFS is suffering from a little convective feedback, and we should be high & dry by noon.  Temps will fall from the low to mid 60s, and hover right around the 50 degree mark Groundhog Day through the 1st weekend of February, which is still well above average (avg~43,44) this time of year.

3:33 a.m. Monday, Jan. 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cold front swings through early this morning, mainly dry, however a few light non accumulating flurries and/or rain were part of the arrival of the front in the overnight hours. Windy conditions through the first half of the day as winds shift to the west and will add a chilly feel to the mid 40s daytime high temperature. High pressure builds in behind the front for a sunny start to the work week.  A warm front arriving from the west will produce a mix of clouds and sun on Tuesday with the return of Southwest flow and will bring upper 50s to low 60s to Delmarva for daytime highs.  A chance of rain mid week until the weekend.

6:44 p.m. Friday, Jan. 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The Low pressure area and Cold Front that delivered rain to Delmarva on Friday left greater rainfall totals on the southern sections of the peninsula with Salisbury receiving just over a half inch. High pressure will build in for Saturday allowing for clearing skies from Friday's overcast conditions. But, temperatures on Saturday will run about 10 degrees cooler than Friday's 60 degree High. A weak but dry cold front pushes through the peninsula on Saturday and some clouds behind the front build in for Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday some brief High pressure enters the scene allowing for some clearing skies. Another Cold Front swings in and increase rain chances beginning Wednesday into Thursday. The unseasonably mild winter weather will continue.

3:46 a.m. Thursday, Jan. 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

An area of low pressure will track toward Delmarva on Thursday and Friday. As it does, warm air will deliver light rain chances through the day Thursday. Then the associated Cold Front will provide a good dousing of rain on Friday. WBOC Futurecast shows the bulk of the showers between the 6am-12 noon time period on Friday. The .50"-.75" total rainfall amount could be reached in communities accross Delmarva. Friday morning and afternoon will be windy as well, as the Low pressure to our west moves northeast. High pressure, drier air and sunnier skies await the peninsula for the upcoming weekend and temperatures in the mid 50s for daytime high's will continue to produce unseasonably mild conditions.   

10:25 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The timing of our next approaching system is starting to come into focus a bit better, with the models falling into much better agreement today.  We're still tracking the developing area of low pressure off to our Southwest.  The low has a warm/cold front combo associated with it.  The warm front will deliver slight chances for showers through the afternoon Thursday.  Look for much better chances for rain overnight Thursday, through early to mid morning Friday as the low & cold front track off the coast.  Looks like we'll see .5-.75" of rain, before skies clear & we start to dry out Friday afternoon.  It will also be a little breezy/windy, with sustained winds in the 10-20 mph, with higher gusts.  It also appears that we'll see more sunshine than cloud cover for the weekend.  I did not want to make drastic changes, so I kept the partly cloudy icon on the 7day, but we may need to upgrade to mostly sunny in the near future.

Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50s to round out the work week, with highs falling back into the lower 50s over the weekend.  Our first taste of seasonal air in quite some time will arrive Monday, with highs dipping down into the lower 40s.

3:51 a.m. Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A weak but dry cold front moved through overnight and has dropped our expected High temperature for today by 10 degrees from where we were yesterday. High pressure builds in today once again for the last of the "settled" weather this week. An unsettled period begins as a storm system arrives Thursday night into Friday. We'll see cloudy conditions and could initially see light rain developing late afternoon/ early evening Thursday as the warm front lifts over Delmarva, then, as the Low pressure area and Cold Front arrive, heavier rain can be expected. Roughly up to .50" is possible of liquid precip. Weak High pressure for the weekend will try and salvage partly sunny skies. Snow flurries on Sunday are possible as well with no accumulation expected.

10:03 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The high off to our west will deliver a NW winds for mid week that should keep temps in the upper 40s, as the clouds increase Wednesday.  The clouds will be stemming from an area of low pressure from the Southwest, that will eventually merge w/ a cold front headed our way from the Pacific Northwest.  The front & area of low pressure will provide promising rain chances for the 2nd half of Thursday, and likely shower chances on Friday.  The GFS today, had less rain for Friday, with shower chances lingering through the 1st half of Saturday.  CMC has remained fairly consistent w/ the timing and amount of rain headed our way for the end of the week, and keeps Friday looking pretty soggy.  The WRF has followed suit today as well, so I just gave a verbal mention of a lingering shower chance early Saturday morning. 

Out ahead of Friday's cold front passage, we should see the low to mid 50s Thursday, with highs around 60 on Friday.  The weekend will cool off, but still be well above average, with highs in the upper 40s to around 50.  We'll have to wait until Monday of next week to see our next shot of seasonal air, as highs fall back into the lower 40s. 

3:24 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The cold front which brought rain to start the week moved over Delmarva Monday night into Tuesday morning and will allow High pressure to dominate.  Sunny skies abound as January 2012 enters it's last week. The High pressure and fair weather continue with a slight drop in the 50 degree daytime High trend we've been seeing. Wednesday 48F is the forecast High. Clouds roll into Delmarva Thursday as another warm front/cold front combination and an area of Low pressure produce rain chances. Like this past weekend (Jan 21 & 22), overnight Lows (Jan 27 & 28) could support freezing rain or snow as moisture will be prevalent. Then, Monday, we return to sunny skies. The winter pattern of "more cold fronts from the north" rather than "more warm fronts from the south" has not yet established itself here. However, on Thursday, Feb. 2, that prognosticator of prognosticators, Punxutawney Phil will have the final word as he emerges from his burrow to provide the mid to late winter outlook on Groundhog's Day.

9:35 p.m. Monday, Jan. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little cool front will be sliding off the coast early Tuesday morning, only providing a slim chance of a lingering shower.  Skies should clear rapidly, with lots of sun by Tuesday afternoon.  We'll see a good bit of sun early Wednesday as well.  However, clouds will be on the increase for the 2nd half of Wednesday, as an area of low pressure tracks in from the South, while a cold front dives down out of the Northwest.  The low & front will provide pretty good rain chances Thursday & Friday, as they progress Eastward.  Along with the rain chances, expect a pretty decent warm up as well, before we cool down and dry out for next weekend.

Look for temperatures well above average for the last full week of January.  Highs average in the low to mid 40s this time of year.  With the exception of Wednesday (where we'll be in the upper 40s), expect highs to generally be 10-15 degrees above average through the end of the work week...we may even be back in the lower 60s by Friday!  Highs will cool back into the mid 40s to around the 50 degree mark for the weekend, and be locked in the upper 30s to begin next week.

3:35 p.m. Monday, Jan. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Another mild week is shaping up on Delmarva as we enter the final days of January 2012. This past Saturday morning saw .25" to .50" of quickly melted snow. Some freezing rain and brief icy conditions were part of this past weekend's weather but do not appear to be likely for the week ahead. A warm front on Monday will produce mainly overcast conditions and drizzle through the day.  Light to moderate rain and roughly .25" of precipitation however, a thunderstorm is possible and localized heavier downpours could occur.  A cold front will move through on Monday night allowing High pressure to build through mid week. Then, another front and Low pressure area will deliver rain chances for Thursday and Friday. The approach of the weekend does not appear to require snow boots or abundant layers of winter gear as High in the 40s to Low 50s will be noted.

3:44 a.m. Friday, Jan. 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure builds in for the day today providing mostly sunny skies but a chilly day to finish out the work week with High temps in the High 30s to Low 40s.. As the High pressure moves northward through the day Friday a Low pressure area moves in from the southwest. The Low will push a warm front into our area and deliver rain chances Saturday. There's a small window of time where sleet and/or a wintry mix is possible Friday night into Saturday morning as our surface temperatures will be hovering around the freezing mark. So, with rain expected and freezing temperatures Delmarva could certainly see sleet early Saturday morning (up until and just after sunrise).  A few light passing showers Sunday finish the weekend. To begin our mid winter weather we could hit the 60 degree mark on Monday with additional rain possible.  Look for mainly 50's for daytime highs for most of next week.

9:56 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The moisture starved cold front will slide through overnight, only providing a very slim chance for drizzle or a few flakes.  We'll see some sunshine out there Friday, with increasing afternoon clouds.  The clouds will be thickening up, as an area of low pressure rides along the front to our South.  This low will give us a pretty decent shot of scatter showers Saturday.  There is a slight possibility that the rain starts as/mixes with snow across the extreme Northern sections of the peninsula.  However, expect an almost all rain event, with no accumulation expected. 

It looks like maybe a .25" of rain on average, before we start to dry out Sunday.  The dry out will be brief however, with a pretty drastic change in the models for Monday.  It now appears temps could climb into the low to maybe even mid 60s Monday, out ahead of yet another cold front.  This is the front that does appear as if it will deliver chances for rain Monday.  Since up until yesterday it appeared as if we'd see mostly sunny skies Monday, I did not want to make drastic changes to the forecast.  However, both the GFS & CMC are showing rain chances for Monday, so if that trend continues, we'll need to add the rain icon.  Right now I just changed mostly sunny to partly cloudy..  Temps are also trending close to 10 degrees warmer for Monday.  For now I just split the difference and will adjust accordingly if need be.

3:36 a.m. Thursday, Jan. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A brief period of High pressure on Thursday will give us mostly sunny conditions for the better part of the day. Not as windy. Thursday night a cold front pushes through bringing the possibility of some light snow flurries into Friday morning. Although cloudy overnight, by Friday mid-day we should see clear skies and chilly temps. Overnight lows will be trending near the 30 mark through the weekend. Friday evening into Saturday a Low pressure area moves in from the southwest along an incoming frontal boundary bringing rain chances through most of the day on Saturday. With the rain chances and temperatures below freezing (at the surface) some possible flurries/sleet could be seen at the onset of the rain but any wintry mix would be noted more northerly and does not appear to be Delmarva-wide per-say at this time. The mixed precip would give way to all rain by mid morning. Slim rain chances continue Sunday with the return to sunshine, Monday, to start the week ahead.

9:47 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

Look for increasing clouds Thursday, out ahead of our next cold front.  The front will push through late Thursday night into very early Friday morning.  We may see a few light snow showers, or a little drizzle, but the front is a Canadian Clipper (fast moving relatively dry front), so we'll most likely see little to accumulation.  However, it looks as if the front will stall to our South, while a low tracks in from the Southwest.  This low will deliver promising chances for about .25" of rain on Saturday.  The CMC has the rain confined to the 1st half of the weekend, but the GFS has the showers lingering through a good chunk of the day Sunday.  I do believe the GFS is suffering from a little convective feedback, and we'll see more sun than rain chances Sunday...but I did shift the mostly sunny icon, to partly cloudy.

Temps will remain in the upper 30s to lower 40s to wrap up the work week, with highs climbing back into the upper 40s for Saturday and Sunday.  Look for the lower 50s to begin next week.  Keep in  mind that highs this time of year should be in the low to mid 40s, so obviously its been well above average for quite some time!  Its also been a relatively dry start to the year, as we're already an inch below our yearly average rainfall thus far here in the early stages of 2012 in Salisbury.  Ok that's it for the weather speak, but wanted to conduct a simple little experiment to see how many people actually read the shift notes I send out.  If you did, please shoot me an email back & let me know.

10:25 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Get ready for a wacky Wednesday!  Highs will occur around midnight (mid to upper 50s ((its 60 degrees right now & its 10 pm in the middle of January!!!))), and fall back into the low to mid 40s through the morning commute.  Temps will continue to tumble through the 30s Wednesday afternoon.  Did I mention its going to remain windy?  Yep, we'll continue to see winds in the 10-20 mph range, with gusts close to 30 mph, but they'll be considerably colder, as winds shift to the North.  This will keep Chill Values in the 20s for much of the afternoon.  At least we'll  see a lot of sunshine for mid week, with the clouds on the increase on Thursday.

The clouds will be thickening up Thursday, out ahead of our next cold front that will slide through overnight Thursday into early Friday.  High temperatures as a result, will be back down into the upper 30s to lower 40s for the remainder of the work week  The initial passage of Friday's cold front looks to be on the dry side, with just a slim chance of flurries as we close out the work week.  However, the front will stall just to our South, as an area of low pressure tracks along it, and provides rain chances for us on Saturday.  Yesterday, it appeared we may see a snow early Saturday.  Now both the GFS & CMC are in pretty good agreement that we'll see the precip arrive a little later Saturday morning, making for an all rain event.  It also appears there is a little more moisture associated with the low, making for pretty decent rain chances for the 1st half of the weekend.  Look for drier conditions, with the mild temps persisting (we'll see the mid to upper 50s for both Saturday and Sunday).

10:52 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A warm front will lift through Delmarva today providing temperatures around 15 degrees above normal. However the moist air delivers rain chances throughout the day. Tuesday night a cold front passes through removing the rain but bringing back the cold temperatures. Wednesday should be clear as High pressure accompanies the cold sinking air. The southwesterly winds providing the warm air will be missed when the northwest winds drop temperatures back to more seasonal temperatures and put the wind chill back in the air with 10-15 mph. winds. Look for a chance of flurries toward the first half of the weekend. A warm front will lift through Delmarva today providing temperatures around 15 degrees above normal. However the moist air delivers rain chances throughout the day. Tuesday night a cold front passes through removing the rain but bringing back the cold temperatures. Wednesday should be clear as High pressure accompanies the cold sinking air. The southwesterly winds providing the warm air will be missed when the northwest winds drop temperatures back to more seasonal temperatures and put the wind chill back in the air with 10-15 mph. winds. Look for a chance of flurries toward the first half of the weekend.

9:41 p.m. Monday, Jan. 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A slow moving front will provide shower chances through the day on Tuesday.  Expect .25-.5" of rain, before the front makes its way off the coast early Wednesday morning.  High temps will fall from the upper 50s Tuesday, back into the mid 40s for mid week.  Thursday, another cold front approaches and should push through dry.  However, the front will lay up just to our South, while an area of low pressure tracks along it.  This low looks like it will give us some rain/snow chances Friday night into Saturday morning.  The GFS had a mix of ra/sn, while the CMC had an all rain event.  Since both had some significant precip showing up, I added the icon & gave verbal explanation. 

Expect the mid 40s Saturday, with highs once again flirting with the 60 degree mark, as we round out the weekend Sunday.  Friday and Saturday were trending a little warmer, while Sunday is looking considerably colder.

10:57 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Well, not quite as much rainfall as anticipated, with most locations picking up .25-5" late Wednesday.  Breezy with just a slim chance for a lingering shower early Thursday; with a few clouds hanging around, and temps topping out around 60 in the afternoon!    Friday brings our next cold front.  Expect the moisture starved front to push through early in the morning, providing a slight chance of rain.  The area of low pressure, associated with the from will have a little wrap around moisture associated with it, providing a slim chance for flurries late Friday.  Temps will dip back into the mid to upper 40s to close out the work week, and fall back into the upper 30s to lower 40s (Sunday continues to trend colder) for the weekend.  After a good bit of sunshine Saturday, a little disturbance will provide a lot of cloud cover & chances for flurries come Sunday

10:03 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like heavy rain is headed our way Wednesday!  We could see anywhere from 1-2" as this low rides in from the Southwest through the afternoon and evening.  This will certainly be enough to cause ponding on the roadways, and maybe even flood low lying areas.  Speaking of low lying areas, the winds will be picking up out of the South 10-20 mph, with higher gusts, increasing the chances for minor tidal flooding.  Potential flooding concerns will be greatest across Western Delmarva, with Southerly winds piling water up in the Chesapeake Bay. 

The rain should wrap up well before day break Thursday, but we'll keep a few clouds and breezy conditions in the forecast through the day.  Friday, a moisture starved cold front will be pushing through.  Chances for a little drizzle or maybe even a few flakes late in the day Friday look slim at best.  However temps will take a tumble for the weekend, with highs around 40 for both Saturday and Sunday. 

There were some changes to the forecast since yesterday...

Temperatures are trending a good bit warmer (low 60s instead of the mid 50s) Thursday out ahead of the cold front that will be moving through on Friday.  To the contrary, temps are trending much colder behind the front for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday (highs to end the weekend are 10-15 degrees cooler than projected yesterday).  Also, the rain chances that looked very promising for the beginning of next week, now don't seem as likely & may be delayed until Tuesday.

10:28 p.m. Monday, Jan. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little rain & snow out there for our Monday night, with up to an inch across the NW sections of the peninsula (mainly on the grass and elevated surfaces).  No more precip is expected after midnight, but there could be black ice in the roads early Tuesday morning, especially on bridges and overpasses. 

We'll see several additional chances for precip over the next 7 days, with our next chance of rain arriving for mid week.  After the sun returns in full force Tuesday, an area of low pressure will track in from the Southwest, providing rain chances for Wednesday.  Rain chances are looking pretty favorable Wednesday afternoon and evening, but we should dry out on Thursday.  We'll keep the clouds in the forecast for Thursday and Friday, as another moisture starved front swings through to round out the work week.  The front will only provide a slim chance for a shower or a few flakes of snow late Friday, but it will drop temps for the weekend.  Speaking of the weekend...the bulk of it should remain dry, but expect a good chance of rain overnight Sunday and through much of next Monday, where the rain looks like it could be heavy.

Temperatures will remain in the upper 40s to lower 50s for the remainder of the work week.  The weekend will be a little cooler over the weekend, with highs around 40 on Saturday, and the mid 40s Sunday.  However, if you likin' the 50s, you won't have to wait long, as lower 50s will be returning to begin the work week next week.

9:41 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

We most likely won't see any precipitation heading into the weekend, but we will see a warm up!  Highs will rebound back into the mid to upper 50s as High pressure builds in from the Southwest Friday and Saturday.  As the High slides off the coast another weak but dry cold front will swing through Saturday night into Sunday, dropping temps back into the upper 40s to round out the weekend.  Initially it appeared that we might see some rain with the weekend cold front, but chances continue to diminish.  We'll see another slight chance for showers Monday-Tuesday, with our best chance of rain over the next week, holding off until Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

9:51 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Two little weak fronts will push through early Thursday, keeping a mix of sun and clouds in the forecast through the end of the week.  With the exception of a few flurries overnight into early Thursday morning, precipitation chances are not looking likely as we round out the work week.  In fact, it looks less likely we'll see any rainfall with our next, more potent front, Saturday night into Sunday. I say more potent, because temps will be falling from the mid 50s Saturday (trending a few degrees cooler), back into the upper 40s on Sunday.  It looks like another front, and another slight chance of rain will be passing through on Monday.  Our best chance of rain over the next 7 days, will come from...you guessed it...another front!  Our 5th in 7 days.  This one will merge with a low off to our South, that should gather up a bunch of Gulf moisture, and send it our way for mid week, next week.

Temperatures will rebound back into the low to mid 40s Thursday, reach the mid 50s Friday & Saturday, then dip back into the upper 40s to close out the weekend and begin next week.

12:47 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The cold Canadian air has given us the coldest temperatures of the season and a 15 degree overnight Low on Wednesday morning.  A brief period of light snow flurries will be possible today but winds have diminished significantly.  Some weak High pressure will build but beyond today, daytime Highs will be warming through the weekend.  A weak and dry front crosses tonight and we should remain dry through most of the weekend.  A few weak disturbances will progress on through the east coast but, a more significant cold front with Low pressure along the front could be delivering rain chances to Delmarva on Sunday.

9:42 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The bad news is that Wednesday will be even colder than Tuesday was!  The good news is that it won't feel like it with the winds calming considerably.  However, expect single digit Wind Chill Values for the Wednesday morning commute, and highs right around freezing Wednesday afternoon.  Highs will rebound back into the upper 40s Thursday, with the mid to upper 50s returning for Friday & Saturday.  Another cold front will drop temps for the end of the weekend, and beginning of next week, but only into the mid 40s to lower 50s. 

We'll see a couple of weak front push through late Wednesday into early Thursday, providing a few clouds and another slim chance for flurries.  However, it appears our next shot of measurable precip will hold off until Saturday night, and come in the for of rain.  Rain chances are not really looking all that impressive right now, but they couple linger through the morning on Sunday.

5:44 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Hang onto your hat and bundle up Delmarva. The winter seasons coldest day's so far is here. Cold High pressure builds in today as an Arctic air blast pours in from the Northwest. Single digit wind chill values will be felt peninsula-wide from about noon Tuesday through noon Wednesday. The approaching High pressure coupled with a Low pressure area at sea create a strong pressure gradient. The feels like temperature of under 10 degrees is the result of these two pressure systems. Winds gusting to 40 mph Tuesday are the result. Area waters are under either a Small Craft Advisory or, Gale Warning depending on locale. Light snow flurries Tuesday and Wednesday are also possible but accumulating snow is very unlikely. The very cold temps will be short lived, however as the return to southwesterly flow of winds we will put the mercury back to near 50 on Thursday with a quick daily High temp climb to near 60 on Saturday.

9:16 p.m. Monday, Jan. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Bundle up!  The coldest air of the season will be filtering across the peninsula for mid week.  A poplar front will press off the coast early Tuesday, dropping temps, and kicking up the winds!!  Winds will blow 15-25 G 40 mph for Tuesday.  Couple that with highs only a few degrees above the freezing mark, and one can easily see why we'll be experiencing Wind Chill Values in the teens and 20s through the day.  We're in for another cold one Wednesday, after lows dip down into the mid teens overnight Tuesday (Single digit Wind Chill Values early Wednesday morning), we'll only see temps a degree or two above freezing for mid week high temps.  Highs will moderate back into the mid 40s Thursday, with the 50s returning Friday through the weekend.

We'll see a slim chance for a few flurries Tuesday, with out next chance of  precip holding off until the end of the weekend.  Even then, Sunday's chances for a few rain showers are not looking that promising.

12:50 p.m. Monday, Jan. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Happy New Year! The enjoyable temperatures in the upper 50s are gone, at least for the first half of the week. A cold front has moved off shore taking light rain with it and the door is open now for much colder air sweeping in out of the Northwest. As this cold air enters the area Tuesday it is mainly dry however, we could see a few snow flurries as the system will be coming over the Great Lakes coupled with a Low out at sea spinning some moisture inland. Sustained winds of 15-20 mph and gusts of 30-40 mph. over the next two days will make cool temperatures feel even colder given the blustery conditions. Wednesday is forecast to be the coldest day of the week and wind chill vales will put the feels like temperature in the 20s for daytime highs. Overnight, into Wednesday, the low will be in the mid to lower teens as we bottom out for the week at 15F above zero.  Warming later in the week and back to 50s to finish out the week. There is a slim chance of a light rain shower overnight Saturday into Sunday morning.