WBOC Weather Blog: Jan. 1-March 31. 2012 - WBOC-TV 16, Delmarvas News Leader, FOX 21 -

WBOC Weather Blog: Jan. 1-Aug. 16, 2012

Online weather commentary and analysis by members of the WBOC Storm Tracker Team.

7:23 a.m. Thursday, August 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Thursday all,

Look for lots of sun today, with lower humidity levels. Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s through tomorrow, where we'll see our next cold front slide through. So look for a chance of late day showers and storms on Friday, with rain chances spilling over into thew weekend. Even though the front should be South of us Saturday, it appears it will remain in close enough proximity to deliver rain chances Saturday, Sunday,maybe even into Monday. We probably won't be talking a weekend wash out, but you may want to take the umbrella with you. Highs will fall back into the low to mid 80s this weekend, and remain there through the first half of next week.

7:24 a.m. Wednesday, August 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Good Wednesday all,
Today will be very similar to yesterday, as we track the same slow moving cold front pressing in from the West. Look for about a 40-50% chance of showers and storms, some of which could be severe. SPC has Delmarva under a "slight risk" for severe weather, meaning we'll see a roughly 15% chance of damaging winds, and/or small to medium hail.
Tomorrow high pressure filters in and provides lots of sunshine. The sun will be short lived however, with increasing clouds and rain chances returning late Friday and through the day Saturday, as our next cold front slide through. The front should provide a significant cool down for the weekend, and 1st half of next week. Some models hinting at the front stalling just South of the peninsula, keeping clouds and slim chances for showers (mainly South) in the forecast for Sunday and Monday.
Temps will be in the upper 80s to low 90s through Friday, with the low to mid 80s returning for the weekend, and much of next week

7:55 a.m. Tuesday, August 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Tuesday all,
We'll see moderate chances for some showers and thunderstorms today, as a cold front approaches from the West. Some storms that form could be strong to severe later this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has the Northern 2/3 of the peninsula under a "slight risk" for severe weather today. Looks like we'll see around a 15% chances of winds in excess of 60 mph, a 5% chance of small to medium sized hail, and a slightly elevated tornado risk (5% instead of the usual 2%). Rain chances will linger through the day tomorrow, before we see a short lived return of the sunshine Thursday. Another, more potent front will deliver shower and storm chances late in the day Friday, through Saturday, before skies slowly clear to wrap up the weekend Sunday.

Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s through Friday, with Heat Indies in the mid to upper 90s. Look for a shot of cooler dries air Sunday into Monday, as highs fall back into the lower 80s.

11:56 a.m. Monday, August 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Monday all,
Well, a quiet start to the work week, with temps maybe a degree or two above what we saw over the weekend. Humidity is a bit higher, so it feels a little more oppressive out there today.
A few high clouds today, with the clouds thickening out ahead or a weak warm/cold front combo that will head our way for tomorrow into Wednesday. Rain chances look slight both days, but as the low approaches late Tuesday we could see some strong, to possibly even severe storms. SPC has the majority of the peninsula under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow, with the greats threats being wind and hail. Expect better chances of showers and storms Friday into Saturday, as a more potent cold front swings through.
Temps will remain in the upper 80s to around 90 this week, and fall back into the low to mid 80s for next weekend.


6:23 a.m. Friday, August 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Happy Friday all,
No change to the forecast. A trough, followed by a cold front, will deliver chances for showers and storms today. SPC has Delmarva under a slight risk for severe weather today. Any serious threat for tornados should stay to our North, but will see about a 15% chance of destructive winds or large hail. We could see some heavy downpours, and hopefully we'll pick up 1-2" of rain before we start to dry out for the second half of the weekend.
With the exception of Tuesday, where we'll see a few clouds and slight chances for rain, expect lots of sun and seasonal air through the majority of the work week, next week.
10:47 p.m. Thursday, August 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the forecast with rain and thunder expected across the area over the next two days. We will see some sun but just about everyone should end up with some decent amounts of rain from .25 to 2 ". Some overnight rain is possible and it may also start rather early on Friday. A few cells may briefly reach severe limits but the risk of widespread severe is quite low. Sunday still looks mainly dry and winds will diminish. Winds Friday and Saturday will make area waters rather rough.
6:38 a.m. Wednesday, August 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Good Wednesday all,
Much like yesterday, we'll see a slim chance for a few scattered showers and storms. Although we could see a few locally downpours, most locations that do see rain today, should see <.25". Look for better chances for showers and storms as a slow moving front pushes through Friday into Saturday.
No big fluctuations in temps with highs ranging from the mid 80s to lower 90s over the next 7 days.
6:53 a.m. Tuesday, August 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Good Tuesday all,
Temperatures will hover right around average over the next 7 days, with highs 85-90, and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
A stationary front, which looks as if it will wash out as it slowly slides East, will provide hit or miss clouds and slight chances for rain through mid week. It appears we'll see better chances for showers and storms Friday through the 1st half of Saturday, as our next "cold" front slides through.
7:40 a.m. Monday, August 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Good Monday all,
Expect a chance for some showers and storms today, as a slow moving cold front sags South. Best chances/highest totals should come across the Central & Southern sections of the peninsula. The front will remain stationary just South of us tomorrow, keeping the clouds and slim chances for rain in the forecast for early Tuesday. Hope we can get .25-.5" of rain before we start to dry out heading into midweek. We'll see another slight chance of a scattered shower or storm Thursday, before better chances of rain move in to wrap up the work week on Friday. Next weekend, skies should clearing, with mostly sunny conditions expected by Sunday.
Do not expect much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs around 87 or 88 degrees each day, with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

7:40 a.m. Monday, August 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Good Monday all,
Expect a chance for some showers and storms today, as a slow moving cold front sags South. Best chances/highest totals should come across the Central & Southern sections of the peninsula. The front will remain stationary just South of us tomorrow, keeping the clouds and slim chances for rain in the forecast for early Tuesday. Hope we can get .25-.5" of rain before we start to dry out heading into midweek. We'll see another slight chance of a scattered shower or storm Thursday, before better chances of rain move in to wrap up the work week on Friday. Next weekend, skies should clearing, with mostly sunny conditions expected by Sunday.
Do not expect much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs around 87 or 88 degrees each day, with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
7:18 a.m. Thursday, August 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,
Rain chances should sit at about 10% today, and 20% tomorrow, with just slim chances of pop up storms associated with the heating of the day. Look for better chances of rain Sunday into Monday as our next cold front slides on through.
Temperatures should top out around 90 or just above through the weekend. So even though we'll technically be dealing with our 1st August heat wave....I'll take the low 90s over the low 100s any day!
11:31 p.m. Wednesday, August 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield
Sunshine for the next few days is a good bet and rather warm too with highs reaching the low 90's into Sunday. The long range guidance is advertising a cool front that will approach on Sunday increasing thunderstorm activity into Monday. There are also strong indications that the front will usher in some much drier air and cooler temps for much of next week. The Tropical Depression in the Atlantic looks rather ragged, and will not approach the East Coast even if it develops...

10:41 p.m. Wednesday, July 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A decent chance of some more rain and thunder over the area today as an upper level trough approaches. Behind this system on Thursday it will be sunny but isolated pop up storms will return Friday and Saturday. Confidence in the day to day rain chances remains rather low after Thursday but it does seem another system may bring more widespread rain by late Sunday into Monday. Today may be the hottest yet in the central Plains with 114 or higher possible.

7:56 a.m. Wednesday, July 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A few showers and thunderstorms out there this morning for the Southern half of the peninsula, and we'll see a 20-40% chance of additional showers and storm through the rest of today, and a good chunk of tomorrow, before rain chances bump up a bit tomorrow evening. Today's rain has been caused by a couple of lows sitting off the coast, but we'll see several troughs, fronts, and lows provide us with at least slight chances of rain through Thursday, before full sun returns Friday. It looks like clouds and rain chances make a quick comeback for the 1st weekend in August.
Temperatures should remain slightly below average today (mid 80s), with winds coming off the water. Tomorrow we'll shoot for the upper 80s to around 90, with the lower 90s holding steady for the remainder of the 7day.
10:54 p.m. Tuesday, July 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield
Weatherwise, a fairly easy forecast and it looks like Wednesday will be our best chance of thundershowers with up to 40% of the area getting some measurable rain. The rest of the week looks to bring highs near 90 or 92 with only isolated pop up storms.
9:36 a.m. Monday, July 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

7 of the 10 counties WBOC serves were under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point yesterday (Saturday 7/28) evening. Only Worcester, Somerset and Accomack Counties escaped the Warning however, the entire peninsula was under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch as issued by the National Weather Service from about 1pm until 10pm. Hail and high winds as well as some locally heavy downpours were noted. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's picked up 1.83 inches of rain. So, after a stormy Saturday, the rain chances for Sunday are not as promising. However, with a meandering stationary front to our South and an associated area of Low Pressure along the front, rain chances are possible. In fact at least a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms are in the outlook for the week ahead as the front will slowly lift back toward Delmarva as a Warm front and help usher in the humid moist air from the South. At this point the best chance for additional rain appears to be Wednesday. Drier conditions are in the current outlook for next weekend. Overall not as Hot or Humid for the week ahead.
9:36 a.m. Monday, July 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

7 of the 10 counties WBOC serves were under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point yesterday (Saturday 7/28) evening. Only Worcester, Somerset and Accomack Counties escaped the Warning however, the entire peninsula was under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch as issued by the National Weather Service from about 1pm until 10pm. Hail and high winds as well as some locally heavy downpours were noted. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's picked up 1.83 inches of rain. So, after a stormy Saturday, the rain chances for Sunday are not as promising. However, with a meandering stationary front to our South and an associated area of Low Pressure along the front, rain chances are possible. In fact at least a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms are in the outlook for the week ahead as the front will slowly lift back toward Delmarva as a Warm front and help usher in the humid moist air from the South. At this point the best chance for additional rain appears to be Wednesday. Drier conditions are in the current outlook for next weekend. Overall not as Hot or Humid for the week ahead.
6:56 a.m. Thursday, July 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

Good Wednesday all,
Cooler and much drier out there today, as North winds keep us a bit below average (mid 80s) today. Enjoy it while is lasts however! A dry warm front will lift over us tonight, allowing the mid to upper 90s, and higher humidity (Heat Indices 100-110) back into the forecast as we round out the work week. Saturday is also trending a little warmer, with highs in the low to mid 90s for the 1st half of the weekend. We should see the upper 80s return Sunday through the 1st half of next week.
Rain chances are not looking all that good over the next 7 days, with about a 30% chance of showers and storms Friday, and 20% chance Saturday, and maybe some additional slight chances for showers and storms for Tuesday of next week.
10:54 p.m. Wednesday, July 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A nice one day break from the highs in the mid to upper 90's today but the heat will return suddenly tomorrow and linger into Friday. A series of weak cool fronts will bring the temps. back down over the weekend and we may see a brief thunderstorm Friday afternoon and evening as the first one passes through. By Sunday and Monday we should see highs very close to the average if not a little below it for this time of the year.
John and Brian- check out the modules from COMET on Rip Currents. Some really interesting info on forecasting them. There are three overall on their website. I have done two now.
6:11 a.m. Wednesday, July 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,
Its going to be another blazing day on Delmarva, with highs in the mid to upper 90s, and Heat Indices 100-105! A cold front will deliver a chance for late day storms. Even though chances for storms will only sit at 30% or so, and storms that do form could be strong to severe in nature. SPC has us (and much of the Northeast) under a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon/evening; with the greatest threat being the potential for strong, damaging winds.
Highs will briefly fall back into the 80s tomorrow, before highs warm back into the low to mid 90s for Thursday and Friday. Rain chances, although appearing slight, will return Friday into Saturday. look for highs to dip a little for the weekend, with the more seasonal upper 80s to lower 90s returning to the forecast for Saturday & Sunday.
6:54 a.m. Tuesday, July 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,
Well rain totals were disappointing over the weekend (Trace to .15" at the airports), as we picked up much less than forecast in most locations for both Saturday & Sunday. Expect a 20-40% chance of showers and storms through Tuesday, where a cold front will slide through and drop temps for the remainder of the work week. After a good bit of sun, and dry conditions for Wednesday & Thursday. rain chances return Friday into Saturday.
Temps today will be warmer that the weekend, and top out around 90. Even hotter for tomorrow, with the mid to upper 90s for tomorrow, before the front cools us back into the upper 80s to around 90 for the remainder of your 7day forecast.
6:25 a.m. Monday, July 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout
Some late day clearing on Sunday will cap off a mostly cloudy weekend. The departing stationary front and associated Low pressure which brought the cloud cover and light to moderate rain to Delmarva will be slowly moving out and simply diminishing overall as warmer air begins pushing in from the South. Compared to this weekend, a close to 10 degree jump in the daytime high will be noticed on Monday and Tuesday. The most favorable days for the week ahead in terms of outdoor activities under mild conditions will be Wednesday and Thursday. But, for a forecast week ahead that includes a little something for everyone, Friday will bring a chance of showers. Then, for Saturday and Sunday, at this point look sunny and able to appease the beach goers and outdoor enthusiasts who were unable to enjoy this past weekend to the fullest.
10:55 p.m. Thursday, July 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield
Confidence is very high tonight that we will see some locally heavy rain and thunder Friday into Saturday over all of Delmarva. Some strong storms are also possible on Friday. Sunday will be the drier day of the weekend but some lingering storms may pop in Accomack and Northampton counties of VA. Next week looks like a more normal week for late July with some thunderstorms possible Monday into Tuesday and then dry weather for the rest of the week with a slight drop in the humidity.
6:44 a.m. Thursday, July 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than rain chances continuing to stretch farther into the weekend, the forecast is right on track. As we talked about yesterday, it now looks like rain chances will spill on over into Saturday, and this morning's model run indicates rain for Sunday as well. So hopefully we'll squeak out 1-2" of rain before we finally start to dry out. Looks like more sunshine than clouds for the 1st half of next week, with some slight scattered shower chances on Tuesday.
Temperatures will make it into the low 90s today, fall back into the mid 80s for tomorrow and the weekend, and remain around average in the upper 80s to low 90s for the 1st half of next week.

11:11 p.m. Wednesday, July 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It was a hot and stormy afternoon/evening on Delmarva. Dover hit 103, and Salisbury and Georgetown both set records at 100. The heaviest rain was from the thunderstorm that crossed the Bay Bridge into Dover, with .25 to 1.25 inches along its path. Lighter amounts were recorded elsewhere, but the next couple of days will bring more rain and cooler temps. I have added rain chances to Saturday, based on late evening model data, but Sunday looks dry. It will not be as hot next week as a NW Flow aloft develops, and brings a series of weak cool fronts through the area. We will see some passing showers as well into next week, but the storms will be scattered.
Friday looks to be the wettest day of the next 7 as a low pressure center moves along the cool front near us.
7:19 a.m. Wednesday, July 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another hot one today, with a Heat Advisory in effect 11am-8pm. Temps will be in the upper 90s with Heat Indices 100-105. Expect 20% chance of showers and storms, with better chances of rain Thursday & Friday, as a slow moving cold front presses through. Much like yesterday, the models are calling for good chances for showers and storms, as we round out the work week. We could see some heavy rain, before the showers taper off early Saturday, and we dry out and cool down for the weekend (mid 80s)
11:41 p.m. Tuesday, July 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Am thinking that we will see some storms in the area by late tonight and again Thursday and Friday as this weak front moves through. Some storms could have a brief strong wind gust and some hail as well. There is very good agreement among the model guidance tonight and significant rain for the farmers appears likely over the next 48 hours. Next week will not be nearly as hot and I think we will see near normal temps for the next ten days after today.
7:39 a.m. Tuesday, July 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
No big changes to the forecast, with extreme heat forecast for both today & tomorrow (highs in the upper 90s with Heat Indices 100-105).
We're still tracking the cold front off to our Northwest, which should arrive tomorrow. Some of the models hinting at a slightly earlier arrival of showers and storms, some don't be surprised to see a few storms as early as mid to late afternoon. We're still looking for better chances for showers and storms overnight Wednesday & through the day on Thursday, as the cold front slides off the coast. It looks like we may (hopefully) see a good dousing of rain as the front presses off the coast. Yesterday it appeared we'd see tons of sun for the 2nd half of Friday & the entire weekend. The models today were showing a few more clouds and rain chances for both the 2nd half of Friday & Saturday, as an area of low pressure along the front to our South, shifts East. I did not add the rain icon to the 7day since we had mostly sunny skies forecast as of yesterday, but we may have to if the trend persists. Regardless, it will feel much more comfortable, with the falling back into the mid 80s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
7:44 a.m. Monday, July 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see a slight chance for a few pop up showers and storms with the heating of the day, but rain chances will only sit at 20-30% today. Look for better chances for showers and storms, and possibly a good peninsula wide soaking rain late Wednesday through Thursday, as our next cold front slides on through.
Expect highs in the low to mid 90s today, with the mid to upper 90s for both Tuesday & Wednesday (Can anyone say "Beat the Peak"?)...factor in the humidity, and it will feel like 100-105. It will still be hot and muggy Thursday, with highs in the lower 90s. Look for cooler drier air to filter in for Friday and next weekend, with highs back into the mid 80s.
5:14 p.m. Sunday, July 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Saturday afternoon a combination waterspout – tornado was reported in Accomack County, VA. At about 1pm what was a waterspout in the Chesapeake Bay moved Eastward over land and by 2pm was in central Accomack County as a weak tornado. The National Weather Service will determine the velocity of winds however, an EF-0 (winds 65-85 mph) tornado would be most likely to have occurred. As of now, that determination has not been made. Weather Watcher Jan Manyfeathers reported 1.90 inches of rain during the storm as well as downed tree limbs but no injuries or property damage. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue through at least noon Monday. Locally heavy rain can occur as the result of some of these slow moving storms. We have not been under any treat of severe weather this past weekend from the National Storm Prediction Center. We will dry out on Tuesday but see the chance of more widespread showers late day Wednesday and through the day Thursday as a Cold Front drops in from the Northwest. Until the front pushes in, a Southwesterly flow will pump moist hot air in for another heat wave which began Sunday. Cooler and nice late week and next weekend.
11:16 p.m. Thursday, July 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Little change in the forecast with a few hit and miss storms expected Saturday and Sunday, but rain chances will be below 30%. The humidity and temperature will rise significantly over the weekend as well and it looks like highs may reach the mid 90's by the middle of next week. It is looking more likely that a cool front will bring a good chance of thunderstorms by Thursday and we MAY see some drier air return by next weekend with a drop in temps....
7:13 a.m. Thursday, July 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No change in the forecast, with a mix of sun and clouds, <20% chance of rain, and highs at or just below average through the end of the work week. We'll see scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms (in the 20-30% chance range) through the weekend, as highs climb back into the low 90s by Sunday. Expect the typical slight chance for a pop up shower or storm, as high hit the low to mid 80s for the 1st half of next week.
7:12 a.m. Wednesday, July 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is still on track, as the front just South of us continues to slowly creep Southward for the next 36-48 hours. Rain chances for us should remain below 20% for both today & tomorrow, before bumping up a bit Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, as the front retrogrades back across the peninsula, as a warm front.
Look for highs in the mid 80s both today & tomorrow, as NE winds keep us at or just below average. The winds will shift a bit, allowing the upper 80s to return for Friday & Saturday. Temps continue to trend slightly warmer to round out the weekend, and begin next week, as the low 90s return to the forecast.
11:31 p.m. Monday, July 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

I have dropped the rain chances just a bit based on the evening model guidance. Temps. look to be about the same as forecasted earlier and that means highs in the mid 80's. We should see a pretty quiet week weather-wise with the more active weather to our south along the stalled frontal boundary. Some hints of the heat trying to rebuild next week but too soon to say if it will get that hot.
NOAA released data today that the first 6 months of this year were the hottest ever measured in the U.S. We have lived through some real weather history...
9:21 a.m. Sunday, July 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A record Heat Wave involving past daytime High temperature's being broken, burn bans, water restrictions and even death is snapped on Monday. Salisbury, MD broke the previous record of 98 set on July, 7th 2010. 102 was the High for the day Saturday. Readings in the mid to upper 90's for daytime High's will be measured on Sunday however, shave another 10 degrees off that on Monday. A cooler air mass from the North will help to limit daytime heating for the entire Mid-Atlantic region.

Yes, after an 11 day heatwave we leave the 90's behind for the week ahead on Delmarva. However, the Cold Front that brings us the cooler air will linger in the region as a stationary front to our South and allow for rain chances into mid week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the next 48-72 hours possible as the unsettled pattern lingers. Look for more rain late in the week and some gradual clearing by the weekend.
10:15 p.m. Thursday, July 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
We should see temps. remain a few degrees below 100 today but Saturday still looks to be a record breaker with an Exc. Heat Watch in effect. Heat indicies may reach over 110 from 1-6 p.m. Saturday. Some guidance is forecasting 105 degrees and while this may be bit high, the all time record high in Salisbury of 106 is possibly in jeopardy.
We did see some thunderstorms Thursday evening over the Centreville area and down to Milford. They were briefly strong with some hail and the intense heat broke the cap of warm air aloft preventing them earlier in the day. We could see the same Late Saturday and it is even more likely on Sunday as a cool front approaches Delmarva. This front will pass through by Monday and bring a decent chance of rain and thunder and even more importantly some cooler temperatures for next week.
The intense heat wave will weaken greatly across the country by early next week
6:11 a.m. Thursday, July 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The heat is obviously on once again today, with highs around 100, and Heat Indices b/w 100-110. A little front will provide a 20% chance of an isolated storm, and drop temps back into the mid 90s for our Friday. Saturday looks to be the hottest day of Summer thus far, with highs in the low 100s, with Heat Index Values over 110!
Sunday a more potent cold front will deliver a chance for showers and storms, knocking temps back into the mid to upper 80s for the 1st half of next week.
11:14 p.m. Wednesday, July 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The rest of the week looks to be quite hot and today will be the best chance for some rain and thunder as a weak surface trough passes into and through the area. The risk of widespread severe weather is low because the winds aloft are weak but we may see a few "pulse" storms that could briefly bring down some tree limbs. From Thursday- Saturday highs will reach 95-99 degrees with heat indexes near 100 to 107.
Now some good news. The long range guidance is starting to agree that this heat wave will abate next week. The cooler air will be especially noticeable over the Northeast U.S. and a drop in humidity will be felt as well. Even the Midwest should see temps. drop a bit next week but the corn crop is in dire straits already and it may be too late to avoid severe crop losses there.
6:44 a.m. Tuesday, July 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

No big time changes to the forecast. As Dan mentioned, it looks as if the low to mid 90s will return to the forecast today through the upcoming weekend. Look for overnight lows in the lower 70s each night, needless to say, not too much fluctuation in temps for the next week.
Rain chances are not looking all that impressive today or tomorrow (20%/40%), with the slight chances continuing to drop as we head through the end of the work week. Sunday will bring additional chances for showers and storms, as our next cold front slides through...hopefully delivering much drier, and slightly cooler air to begin next week.
As of now I'd say we have a 30-40% chance of seeing a few showers or storms for prime time bbq time, and for the firework festivities tomorrow.
11:17 p.m. Monday, July 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A rather difficult forecast tonight. What does seem certain is that it will not be as hot this week as last and am forecasting highs of 93 for Tuesday and 95 on the 4th. We may very well see some afternoon and nighttime storms Wednesday night and they could have gusty winds but I doubt anything like Friday's "Derecho" event will happen. Trying to time any rain for the rest of the week is difficult but I suspect we might see some evening and overnight storms again. The winds aloft are out of the Northwest and northwest flow aloft always makes for a difficult forecast because it can bring late night storms. They can sometimes be quite strong.
Sunday is our next chance for a more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms and a cool front MAY bring some slightly less humid air to the area along with a few degrees less heat by Monday.
7:53 a.m. Monday, July 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

We had yet another round of severe storms overnight, across central Delmarva. Good news is that the storms we're not nearly as bad as the ones we had over the weekend. Both SBY & OC only registered around a quarter inch of rain, but there were likely some locally higher amounts, as we did see some brief heavy downpours.
Ran chances will persist with the heating of the day, and sit in the 20% chance range both today & tomorrow, with shower and storm chances bumping up to around 50-60% for the 4th. Unfortunately, it looks like our best chance of storms will come through the afternoon and evening, where most folks will be at backyard bbqs and firework celebrations. We'll most likely see a break in rain chances Thursday (still a slight chance), Friday, and Saturday, before chances for showers and storms return to the forecast Sunday. Speaking of Sunday, I went with partly cloudy on the 7day for now (was mostly sunny), but long range models look they're in pretty good agreement for shower & storm chances.
We'll see some slightly "cooler" air filter in for the next couple of days, with highs back down into the lower 90s. Look for the mid 90s Thursday, before highs dip back down to around 90 for next weekend. So even though is slightly less hot, it appears the heat wave will continue in most locations over the next 7 days.

5:00 p.m. Sunday, July 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

What a weekend! Friday, the start to the weekend, saw a record high temperature set in Salisbury – 101 degrees. The previous record of 98 was set in 1959. Numerous communities set or tied record high's as Delmarva sweltered under the intense temperature and heat indices. Early Saturday morning we witnessed Severe Weather on Delmarva, as high winds tore through and thousands were left without power. By first light Saturday morning a bit of some tree and limb clean up awaited many residents. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's reported a wind gust accompanying the Derecho of 80 mph. Sunday we noted cooler temps with no Heat Advisories or Excessive Heat Warnings issued on Delmarva however, with the weekend behind us and those upper 90's readings from the weekend now gone, the mere 90 degree readings will come as a relief during the week ahead. A weak cold front will push through on Monday and drop temperatures back to near normal daytime High's. Through the mid week the Cold Front lifts back as a Warm Front over Delmarva and another front arrives Wednesday. As a result of the unsettled pattern look for a slim chance of showers (20-30%) throughout the week - so keep the umbrella handy. Have a Happy and Safe 4th of July which at this time looks like we could see some showers Wednesday.

11:32 p.m. Thursday, June 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Temperatures will soar into the upper 90's tomorrow as the intense heat wave in the Plains moves eastward. It will become more humid as well, and the night will also be much warmer. Some thunderstorms are possible late Saturday as an upper level low passes across the region. A weak sea breeze will bring temperatures down into the upper 80's on the immediate coast during the afternoons.

The heat will be much worse across the Bay on Virginia with highs reaching 102 and higher. The heat-wave should begin to lessen after Monday with temperatures dropping a few degrees and we may see some passing thunderstorms as well. Look for highs near 90 on the 4th of July.


6:21 a.m. Wednesday, June 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Well, after cool Tuesday, we'll see highs climb back into the more seasonal mid 80s today. Not warm enough for you? You won't be waiting long, with the low 90s back in the forecast for tomorrow, with the mid to upper 90s Friday through the beginning of the work week next week. Factor in the humidity, which will be on the upswing, and we'll be talking Heat Index Values 100-105 Friday through Monday.
High pressure will deliver tons of sun through the end of the week, with a few more clouds, and slight chances (<20%) of scattered showers over the weekend & to begin the work week, next week.
11:26 p.m. Tuesday, June 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It will be warmer today but the real heat will arrive tomorrow with highs climbing into the 90's. Mid 90's are still likely through Sunday but we will see some isolated storms late Saturday into Monday. Temps should come down a few degrees by Monday afternoon as well as this upper level high pressure ridge weakens.
The heat in KS and Colorado, and Nebraska reached all time highs on Tuesday. Denver was 105 which ties the highest ever observed there (old record was set yesterday!). McCook NE hit 114 which is the hottest ever observed there. Colorado Springs at an elevation of 7,000 feet hit 101. The wildfires in Colorado are showing up very clearly on the hi res satellite images this evening as well. As I write this the winds at Denver are still gusting to 40 mph...
We should miss the worst of this heat wave but it will reach 100+ as close as SW and southern VA.
10:31 p.m. Monday, June 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A much cooler and drier air-mass is now in place this morning and it will stay pleasant through tomorrow. After highs today only in the upper 70's, lows tonight will dip into the mid 50's. We will jump back into the low 80's on Wednesday but it will not be humid and a breeze will make it feel comfortable. The real weather story nationally this week is going to be some incredible heat. We will feel some of this ourselves by late week but areas to our south may see temps above 105 by late week and all time hottest temps. may be in jeopardy across the plains and Midwest.
I'm talking really hot...dangerously hot. In 33 years I have never seen a numerical weather model forecast over 115 degrees in the plains, but it is tonight.This is likely to be a major national news story by the weekend.
I bumped up the weekend temps for Delmarva to the mid 90's, but it might get hotter than that. No chance of rain until late week and then we will only see some very isolated late day pop up storms.

7:14 a.m. Monday, June 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A pretty potent cold front will swing through today, providing a chance for showers and storms. SPC has us under a "slight risk" for severe storms, with about a 15% chance of seeing damaging winds and/or small hail. Hopefully we'll see around .5" of rain on average, but my like Friday's storms, expect rain totals to be hit or miss & be very localized. Skies should clear, and barring any effects from TS Debby (which does not look likely), we'll see lots of sun Tuesday through Friday. Another cold front heads our way for the weekend, but rain chances look slight late Saturday into Sunday.
Look for highs back into the mid to upper 80s today, out ahead of the cold front. Tomorrow, expect the drier & cooler upper 70s. The mid 80s return Wednesday, with the low to mid 90s to wrap up the work week, and take us half way through next weekend.

6:14 a.m. Friday, June 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day of extreme heat, before highs dip back into the upper 80s for the weekend. Highs will fall even further, and dip into the lower 80s for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday of next week.
Today's cold front will deliver a chance for some strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe weather later today. Tornados & hail are not looking likely, but we should see around a 15% chance of damaging winds. Hopefully we'll pick up .25-.75" of rain on average, before we dry out for the weekend. Another, more potent front swings through Monday, dropping highs back into the lower 80s for the majority of next week.

11:28 p.m. Thursday, June 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It reached 99 in G'town on Thursday and broke the old record by 4 degrees. Salisbury broke a record for the second day in a row as well at 98.

The end of the heat wave arrives tonight with a cold front and the air will turn less humid as well by Saturday afternoon. A few storms tonight with the cold front may be strong with a brief wind gust to 55 mph. Timing wise, the cool front will not pass until after 11 PM Friday but a line of thundershowers ahead of it should reach Delmarva by late afternoon if not before.
A more significant cool front will bring some more rain for the farmers on Monday followed by some below normal temperatures and less humid conditions for Tue-Thur. of next week.

7:16 a.m. Thursday, June 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another scorcher across the peninsula today, with record setting heat most likely headed our way this afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 90s to around 100, with Heat Indices 100-110. We'll see a slim chance of a shower or two overnight through the 1st half of Friday, but rain chances are looking better (40% or so) through tomorrow afternoon and evening, where we could see a few strong to severe storms. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe storms tomorrow afternoon, with the greatest threats being strong damaging winds, and small hail.
Highs will fall back into the upper 80s for the weekend. After a lingering shower or two early Saturday morning, we should see a dry rest of the weekend. Rain chances return on Monday, as another, more potent front swings through. This will drop temps back into the upper 70s to lower 80s by mid week, next week

11:12 p.m. Wednesday, June 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Today will be the hottest of this early summer heat wave with highs between 97 and 100. A weak sea breeze will bring the beaches down to the mid 80's but only very near the coast. The good news is that forecast confidence is quite high in some rain and thunder Friday followed by a cool down to the mid 80's by the weekend. Another frontal boundary will get here late Monday with some more rain and then some drier and noticeably cooler air will flow into the region with a significant drop in the humidity.

Record highs on Wednesday in Georgetown and Salisbury with 98 and 97 degrees respectively. The record high for Thursday in Salisbury is 97 and this is most certainly in jeopardy. The record in Georgetown is 95 on Thursday and this is most certainly going to be surpassed. Wilmington broke a record that was 117 years old on Wednesday.

6:34 a.m. Wednesday, June 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

That just about sums things up for the next3 days, with highs in the mid to upper 90s, with Heat Indices ranging b/w 100-110 today through Friday!
After a good bit of sun over the next couple of days, a cold front will slide through providing clouds and a chance for showers and storms to round out the work week on Friday. The bulk of the weekend should remain dry, with just a slim chance for a lingering shower early Saturday. Sunday looks dry, with additional chances for showers and storms on Monday.
High temperatures will slip back into the upper 80s for the weekend, and fall back into the lower 80s by Tuesday of next week.

11:32 p.m. Tuesday, June 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The heat is on today with highs in the low to mid 90's and an air quality alert as well. This upper level high will weaken by Friday and an approaching cool front should kick off some scattered thunderstorms toward evening. The front will sag a bit to our south and temps will drop a bit into the upper 80's on both weekend days. Another frontal system will bring some rain back late Sunday into Monday and behind this system some clouds and cooler air are expected with highs back perhaps into the upper 70's.

Heat index values may reach 100 today and above 102 on Thursday. Thursday will be the hottest day by far over the next 7 days. Ozone levels may pass the federal standard over the area today and tomorrow.

5:32 a.m. Tuesday, June 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see temps a little more seasonal for the last full day of Spring, but look out cause Summer will arrive in full force, kicking off the season with our 1st heat wave (3 days with temps 90 or above) of 2012. Expect highs to reach from the low to upper 90s Wed. through Fri., with Heat Indices ranging b/w 100-110!!! Rain chances may return as early as late Thursday, but will most likely hold off until Friday, when our next "cold" front rolls across Delmarva.
Look for lots of sun, with highs back into the mid to upper 80s over the weekend, with clouds and rain chances returning to begin the work week, next week.

4:44 p.m. Sunday, June 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cooler than average weekend and moderate rip risk kept many folks out of the water at area beaches this past Fathers Day weekend on Delmarva. The average temperature of 83 for this time of year was 5-10 degrees under that value here for the last weekend of Spring 2012.

Minimal trace rain amounts could be realized over the Monday - Tuesday period. The models do not agree on timing or amount's. GFS has light to moderate rainfall -Monday afternoon only. HPC shows light rain - Monday and Tuesday and, The CMC shows no rain Monday and light to moderate rain Tuesday.

I've put a rain icon on the 7 Day on Monday and verbally mentioned on air "Rain chances are slim at 20-25%, any rain would be light under a tenth", and since rain is only indicated on Monday, I stated, - "could spill into Tuesday".

In addition to the Drought conditions the big weather headline for the week ahead will be going from the Low to mid 70's for weekend Highs skipping our seasonal average low 80's on all but Tuesday and going straight to the 90's by mid week! Summer will come in HOT and Humid.

10:05 a.m. Friday, June 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No changes to the weekend forecast. Unseasonably mild weather will hold through Sunday and then a warming trend will kick in. Lows will dip into the mid 50's again Saturday night with an onshore flow keeping the beaches in the low 70's. Dew points have dropped into the 40's under this dry Canadian air mass, something we see rarely by the middle of June. Rainfall deficits are now around 9 inches in the Georgetown area and no sign of rain for the next 7 days. The sunshine and low humidities will dry the soils out very quickly over the weekend.

4:31 a.m. Friday, June 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane


Not too much change in the forecast, with the exception of a few temperature trend & maybe a slightly better (but still very slim) chance of showers in the 7 day planner.
We're still expecting tons of sun for Father's Day weekend, but highs are trending a couple of degrees cooler (mid to upper 70s) for both Saturday & Father's Day on Sunday. Temperatures are still forecast to warm through next week, with models trending even warmer for Tuesday & Wednesday, where we should see highs climb from the mid 80s, back into the lower 90s.
Rain is still not looking likely over the next 7 days, but the longer range models are picking up on a few additional clouds and a slim chance of a passing shower or storm late Monday into early Tuesday...but I wouldn't hold your collective weather breath on this one.
6:43 a.m. Thursday, June 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No big time changes to the forecast, but models are trending a few degrees cooler for Father's Day weekend.
After a few clouds out there today, we should see abundant sunshine Friday through the beginning of next week. Look for high temperature in the mid to upper 70s through Monday, with the more seasonal low to mid 80s returning for Tuesday & Wednesday.
Although we may see a scattered shower or storm as we hit mid week next week, rain chances are not looking likely over the next 7 days

10:36 p.m. Wednesday, June 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A blustery day is on the way with winds reaching 25-30 miles per hour on the coast. Seas will build offshore to 7-9 feet and small craft advisories will likely remain in effect through tonight and perhaps into late Friday. Clouds should break up by midday if not before and a long stretch if sunny weather is on the way. The air will dry out and this will allow the nights to be comfortably cool into the weekend. Daytime highs will be near 80 through Sunday and with a gentle breeze and low humidity it will be very comfortable.

11:31 p.m. Tuesday, June 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rainfall totals have now approached an inch in several spots with nearly everyone else between .25 and .50 inches. This is almost exactly in line with what we forecasted and will help the crops out greatly. A cool front is now pushing through the area and will bring in a very pleasant air-mass that will linger through the weekend. Winds will be gusty today and tomorrow and the Atlantic and Bays will be rough. Small Craft Advisories will continue through tonight at least.


As the winds turn NE tonight clouds will roll back in and we may see some light showers inland and showers or even some drizzle on the coast. Highs will be below the average by about 3-5 degrees through Friday.

Online weather commentary and analysis by members of the WBOC Storm Tracker Team.

11:12 p.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.
We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.

We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

11:12 p.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.
We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, a, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier, side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.

We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer deve, loping, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

7:31 a.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day in the mid 80s, then we'll fall back into the upper 70s to lower 80s through next weekend.
Expect increasing clouds today, out ahead of an area of low pressure to our South & a cold front to our West, that will merge & deliver our next chance of rain. We could see a few showers overnight, but rain chances look better for the 2nd half of Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. As of now, it appears we'll pick up anywhere from .5-! of rain before we start to dry out by the 2nd half of Wednesday.

3:57 p.m. Sunday, June 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

After a weekend that saw a taste of summer-like weather with the mercury topping the 90 degree mark in several communities both Saturday and Sunday, some relief is in sight for the week ahead. Both cooler temperatures and rain chances are in store for one of the remaining weeks of spring 2012. Some very moist air from the south will move toward Delmarva and interact with a cold front from the west on Tuesday night. This combination could produce some locally heavy downpour as thunderstorms are probable. Much needed rainfall will be welcomed as especially for portions of Kent and Sussex counties which are now in the severe drought status. Daily High temperatures for the week ahead will be in the upper 70's to low 80's, more of the average seasonal high for this time of year.

11:29 p.m. Friday, June 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the forecast with highs well into the 80's this weekend. It looks like the dew points will stay in the 50's on Saturday and then climb into the 60's on Sunday. A wind shift to the SE will bring temps. on the beaches back into the 70's on Monday with inland temps. dropping a bit as well to the low to mid 80's. Showers also are still on track for the middle of next week.
11pm numbers:

SAT: 59-88 Sunny

SUN: 65-89 Sunny

MON: 66-84 Mo. Sunny

TUE: 67-85 Mo. Sunny 20%

WED: 69-84 Pt sunny 40%

THU 68-83 40%

FRI: 66-83 20%

5:54 a.m. Friday, June 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No change to the forecast. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies today through the beginning of next week, with highs in the mid 80s to around 90. Saturday & Sunday will be the warmest days of the next week, with Heat Indices in the mid 90s! Highs will remain in the mid 80s next week, with rain chances holding off until Wednesday & Thursday.

11:53 p.m. Thursday, June 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A few passing thunderstorms today produced some light rain, lightning and a couple reports of a few passing storms produced some pea sized hail in Dover and Mardela Springs. Showers, which were not reported exceeding .20" in area communities have wound down and clearing skies will take place overnight. A cool Friday with NW winds but the 84 degree High will seem mild compared to Sunday when the mercury will hit 89. With summer now less than 2 weeks away, look for the summer like heat to crank up as Sunday the Heat Index for Salisbury is expected to hit 93 degrees. The Low to our North that has spun off cloud cover and the threat of rain all week is pulling away and yielding to High pressure building in for Friday. A cloud Sun mix but little moisture for the weekend so going with no rain! The next significant rain is looking like Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

10:22 p.m. Wednesday, June 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A weak trough will bring a little better chance of some passing showers Thursday afternoon. Mainly between 2 and 9 p.m,. After this system passes, a NW breeze will keep conditions comfortable and dry on Friday but it will be a bit warmer. The weekend still looks quite warm with temps. rising into the mid 80's. It will turn much more humid as well and winds will be westerly which will hold off the cool air over the Atlantic. This means highs will at least briefly reach the mid 80's as well but a weak afternoons ea breeze will likely come in during the late afternoon. Our next chance of rain will come late Wednesday into Thursday as the high pressure ridge weakens a little..

THU: 54-78 PC 30%

FRI: 58-83 Mainly sunny

SAT: 59-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-87 Sunny

MON: 69-88 Sunny

TUE: 69-88 Mo. Sunny

WED: 70-87 Pt sunny 20%

5:22 a.m. Wednesday, June 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than temperatures continuing to trend a little warmer for the end of the week & weekend, no changes to the forecast.
Expect a 20-30% chance of a few scattered showers through Thursday, then mostly sunny skies can be expected Friday through Tuesday.
Temps will remain in the low to mid 70s today, with the upper 70s returning Thursday. We should see highs in the mid 80s to around 90, with higher humidity Friday through the first few days of next week.

11:12 p.m. Tuesday, June 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Little changes to the forecast with a slow warming trend kicking in on Wednesday. Highs will reach 80 by Friday and the humid conditions we normally see by June will return in full force by the weekend. There may be a few hit and miss showers again today or tomorrow but after that no rain is likely until the middle of next week- at the earliest. The coastal flood warning is unlikely to be reissued again on Wednesday. Water levels were about one foot above normal high tide on Tuesday night.

THU: 55-78 PC 25%

FRI: 60-82 P Cloudy 20%

SAT: 63-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-86 Sunny

MON: 68-88 Sunny

TUE: 66-87 Mo Sunny

7:44 a.m. Tuesday, June 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like an upper level low sitting off the coast will spin a few clouds, along with slight chances of rain our way over the next few days. Rain chances & amounts are not looking all that impressive, with roughly a 20% chance of seeing around .1" of rain today through Thursday. Looks like we'll dry out and warm up for next weekend, with tons of sun returning.
After highs struggle to hit 70 today, we'll see a slow & steady warm up. Expect temperatures back into the upper 80s to around 90 by Sunday. Models are trending a good bit warmer/hotter as we round out the weekend.

11:27 p.m. Monday, June 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another coastal flood warning is likely on Tuesday, and tide models are indicating the levels may be a bit higher than they were Monday night. Tides were around 1.5 feet above normal at high tide near the Delaware Bay on Monday night and near 1 foot above on the Maryland coast and bays.

The unusually cool weather will be very noticeable on Tuesday with highs not reaching 70 in most locations on Delmarva. Winds will be a little less gusty than Monday but breezy conditions will continue. We had more rain than I expected across Delaware and all of northern Delmarva on Monday evening. Timing these quick passing showers will be difficult in this type of pattern, but the rain will in general be less than .25 inches. Tomorrow will be the same with the better chance of rain north of a Cambridge-Bethany Beach line.

5:05 p.m. Friday, June 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 6PM SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL 11 PM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE. MINOR ROADWAY FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IS ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING. TIMING...HIGH TIDE ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT IS BETWEEN 7 PM AND 9 PM.

The week ahead is a roller coaster of temperatures and sky cover. The ability to pinpoint shower activity is tricky and so rain chances have been put at about 30% over the period. Forecasting the timing and rain amounts rests with an upper level Low spinning off several short waves. The unsettle, d weather pattern will continue for most of the week. Even though the various forecast models are very inconsistent, one thing that can be determined from the week ahead is that we do have a slim chance of showers each day. CMC and GFS do not agree however, HPC shows light rain through the 5 day period. Rainfall, with the exception of a downpour in a thunderstorm for the most part, would be light in intensity through Wednesday. A passing thunderstorm, especially in the afternoon for the week ahead is possible. Daytime High's will drop back to below the seasonal average value of 79 degrees. So look for considerable cloudiness and light rain chances through the week ahead. Tuesday is the coolest day ahead with a High of 71 degrees but by Saturday we are back to 85. Moving forward, we will all be ready for a sunny weekend.

11:49 p.m. Thursday, May 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The tornado watch expired at 2 AM and a (unusually strong for June) cool front is bringing in a much more stable airmass to Delmarva. The air will dry out with dew points dropping from the muggy 65-70 degree point all the way down into the low 50's by Saturday afternoon. It will be breezy through the weekend and even more so on the waters. The only real question forecast wise is the chance of some light rain near dark Sunday. I'd put the odds at 1 out of 3 but John Trout may drop it all together if the new guidance looks better.

Next week will be fairly mild with highs at or below normal for early June. We will see showers at times as upper level low pressure centers rotate around an unusually strong trough in the upper atmosphere over the Northeast U.S.

5:26 a.m. Thursday, May 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like we'll see a chance for some showers, and possibly strong storms as we begin June/hurricane season 2012. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe weather today. The percent chances of strong winds & hail look to be about the norm ( 30 & 15%), but the upper level dynamics look slightly better than usual for possible tornados. Usually we see about a 2% chance of twisters here on Delmarva. Late this afternoon, more likely into the evening hours, chances may be as high as 10% across the Western half of the peninsula. We should see rain (.25-.75" on average) taper off early Saturday, with a mix of sun and clouds in the forecast for the remainder of the weekend.
Next week is looking a little sloppy, with rain chances returning to the forecast. Although the chances for rain generally don['t look all that impressive, we'll see at least a slight chance of rain Monday through Thursday next week.
High temperatures will hover around seasonal over the next 7 days (75-80), with lows bottoming out arouns 60.

11:10 p.m. Wednesday, May 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A warm front will bring more humid weather on Friday and winds will increase out of the south with gusts over 25 by late afternoon. A line of thunderstorms will move across Delmarva with some locally heavy downpours. The storms should not likely get here before 6 pm and most likely from 9pm through 5 am. Skies will clear quickly on Saturday morning behind the front with lower humidity and west wind. This will not be a good weekend for boating with winds over 15 mph on area waters through Sunday. Clouds may return with hit and miss showers early next week but a rather mild airmass will remain over the area for much of the week. I should note that the Storm Prediction Center has Delmarva in a slight risk area on Friday and a few storms could have gusty winds.

5:51 a.m. Wednesday, May 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A cooler day on tap, yet still a few degrees above average, with highs in the lower 80s, Not too much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs generally in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

We'll see rain chances taper off as we progress through the day, as a cold front continues to very slowly press off the coast, knocking the remnants of Beryl out into the central Atlantic. We'll dry out with tons of sun for Thursday, but rain chances return as we close out the work week, and head into the weekend. A cold front will slide through overnight Friday into early Saturday delivering another decent shot at showers and storms. The extended forecast is a little sloppy, with several disturbances in and around the vicinity, keeping at least a slim chance of rain in the forecast through the 1st half of next week.

11:30 p.m. Tuesday, May 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Thunderstorms moved into the area pretty much on schedule this evening but they are weakening and there is no risk of severe weather. Rain amounts will be around .25 to .75 inches in most areas. We may see some scattered showers and a few hit and miss storms on Wednesday afternoon as well with some sunshine as well. Temps. will be about ten degrees cooler than Tuesday and some drier air will flow in with blue skies on Thursday. Clouds will return with rain and thunder Friday night into early Saturday.

It now looks as if we will see clearing skies by mid morning Saturday and the rest of the weekend looks dry and pleasant with highs in the 70's! Meteorological summer begins on Friday by the way!

5:46 a.m. Tuesday, May 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another scorcher out there today! Highs will hover around 90 inland, with Heat Indices in the mid to upper 90s this afternoon. No advisories as of yet, but I sure wouldn't be surprised to at least see a Beat the Peak alert this afternoon.
Temps will be a bit cooler tomorrow, with additional cloud cover and rain chances returning to the forecast as a cold front slides through. Actually rain chances will return as early as this evening, but look much better past midnight tonight. Expect a good chance of rain through Wednesday morning, with chances for storms lingering through Wednesday evening. Models are a bit at odds on when exactly the rain will wrap up, just know that rain chances will be diminishing through the afternoon into the evening on Wednesday. On average, most locations will hopefully see .25-.75" of rain before we dry out to end the work week.
This front will help nudge Beryl farther out to sea. Beryl right now is a depression over Florida, and is expected to strengthen as it heads back out over the open ocean. As of now, Beryl should have little to any effect here on the peninsula.
Once again, the models are a little at odds on up coming rain chances. It certainly looks like we'll see some decent rain chances over next weekend. The GFF & ECMWF show rain Saturday, with clearing for Sunday. The CMC keeps things dry for Saturday, with heavy rain in the forecast for Sunday. Guess we'll have to wait a little closer to the weekend, to get a better handle on which scenario will pan out.

11:27 p.m. Monday, May 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another hot one is on the way for Tuesday but rain and some thunder will arrive overnight as a weak cool front approaches. A few locations will get a good soaking of nearly an inch of rain from these cells. The hot weather has increased evaporation rates considerably, so this rain is much needed by the farm community. Some drier air (and a little cooler) will arrive on Thursday afternoon but it looks like more rain on the way by late Friday and into Saturday. We should see no real effects from Tropical Depression Beryl although a small craft advisory remains in effect on the Atlantic and Chesapeake waters as winds will be rather gusty from the SW again on Tuesday.

The west winds allowed the temperatures to reach the mid to upper 80's on the beaches Monday and it may get as warm or warmer today. The rest of the week will not be as warm.
Note: Steve Mclvain in Millsboro has a good quality weather station and has offered to supply some data via email. I have added Millsboro in Sussex County onto the weather watchers map.

3:56 a.m. Monday, May 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The stalled frontal boundary to our North will eventually continue Northward as a Warm Front keeping showers away from Delmarva for your Memorial Day plans. Recreational boaters will note fairly calm waters and light winds today. Boaters should keep an eye on Tropical Storm Beryl and be alert to changing local conditions. A Southwesterly air flow will continue to funnel in unseasonably warm conditions today as we average 8 degrees above normal the next 2 days. Showers enter the picture just in time for the end of the long weekend. A Cold Front from the West will slowly move toward Delmarva throughout the day on Tuesday with the potential for late day thunderstorms then delivering rain through a better part of the day Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to be off shore from Delmarva Wednesday into Thursday but does not appear to be a weather maker on the peninsula. the latest forecast fan does not include Delmarva so little if any effect would be felt on shore however mariners and watermen will want to remain alert as watches and/or warnings on area waters may be issued. Potential storm surge inland especially during High Tide could be noted as well as Rip current and wave height increases. However the most likely scenario has the storm downgrading to a Tropical Depression when it's path is closest (way out at sea) to Delmarva.

11:14 p.m. Friday, May 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Subtropical storm Beryl formed in the Atlantic about 11 PM Friday night. The subtropical designation indicates that it is not fully tropical..it will likely become so and a Tropical Storm Warning is now posted from Volusia County FL to Edisto Beach in S. Carolina.  6:53 a.m. Friday, May 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane Even though we may be dealing with our 2nd named storm of the season that has yet to begin, NOAA thinks hurricane season will be about average.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center says there's a 70 percent chance of nine to 15 named storms (with top winds of 39 mph or higher), of which four to eight will strengthen to a hurricane (with top winds of 74 mph or higher) and of those one to three will become major hurricanes (with top winds of 111 mph or higher, ranking Category 3, 4 or 5). Based on the period 1981-2010, an average season produces 12 named storms with six hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
If Beryl does form this weekend, it should remain far enough out to sea to have little if any effect on Delmarva.
The unofficial start to the Summer season is going to feel pretty official, with high humidty & temps close to 10 degrees above average. We should see more sun than clouds through Memorial weekend, with our, next best chance of rain holding off until Tuesday & Wednesday of next week.

5:22 a.m. Thursday, May 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No Internet this morning, so from what I could deduce from the tiny little screen on my phone, not too many changes headed our way over the next 7 days. Highs will top out in the mid 80s almost each and every day over the next week, with overnight lows only fluctuating a degree or two each side of 65.
The tail end of a stationary front will provide roughly a 20% chance of showers and storms today, with about a 30% shot tomorrow. Although we most likely won't see any organized rain events over the holiday weekend, it does now appear we may see a few more clouds, with a front approaching from the Northwest, and an area of low pressure just off the coast. Since we'll have lots of heat energy in place, expect around a 20% chance for a pop up shower or storm just about each afternoon through Memorial Day, with maybe a slightly better chance of rain by mid week, next week.

11:13 p.m. Wednesday, May 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The only real worry in the forecast is for the fog in the morning. It looks like the winds will stay up just enough to keep it from being as dense and widespread as it was early Wed. but some areas may see some dense patches.

A few scattered storms will redevelop on Thurs. afternoon and a couple may be briefly heavy with frequent lightning. Isolated storms are possible on Friday but they will likely be far fewer and it will be warmer. Saturday through late Monday looks warm with sun and cloud. There is still the risk of a thunderstorm cluster late Monday with the NW flow around the strong upper level high being a favored location for these things. All in all the odds are low, and forecasting these kind of things 4 days out is next to impossible.
Salisbury climate stats for Wed. 23 May. Notice we are still over 4 inches below since Mar 1:

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                      VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                        NORMAL              .................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F)                                                       TODAY                                                                  MAXIMUM         81    217 PM  96    1925  75      6       84          MINIMUM         64    636 AM  33    2002  54     10       64          AVERAGE         73                                                                                                                       PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                      TODAY            0.01          1.80 1951   0.13  -0.12     0.11       MONTH TO DATE    2.24                      2.60  -0.36     1.64       SINCE MAR 1      6.33                     10.57  -4.24     6.87       SINCE JAN 1     12.02                     17.53  -5.51    11.59    

8:25 a.m. Wednesday, May 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Some dense fog out there this morning, and we could see a repeat performance tomorrow morning as well.
We're still expecting a chance for showers and storms , both this afternoon & tomorrow as a couple of areas of low pressure sit along a dying stationary front just to our West. Rain chances will sit at about 20-50% today, and 10-30% tomorrow. If you do happen to see rain,don't expect more than .25" each day. We may see a few clouds linger Friday, but the rain should be out of here to wrap up the work week.
Although its still likely the weekend will be packed with sun, the GFS did show a few more clouds (and even slight chances for rain) Sunday & Memorial Day. The other models we're looking as certain concerning the cloud deck either, so I went with partly cloudyt skies for the 2nd half of the holiday weekend. Most likely rain chances will hold off until at least Tuesday of next week.
It still appears we'll end the work week in the mid 80s, with the mid to upper 80s ion the forecast Sunday & Memorial Day Monday.

11:27 p.m. Tuesday, May 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

An upper level low will bring an increasing chance of rain to the area Wed. and Wed. night. A few claps of thunder are also possible and for those directly under one of the heavier showers, a half an inch of rain is possible. Most locations will see far less though. Winds will be light through the weekend and great for the boaters!
High pressure builds in on Friday, and the weekend looks great with sun and cloud. Temperatures will reach the low 80's and perhaps mid 80's in some interior areas. Beaches will see mid 70's or warmer.
The 11 PM numbers:

WED: 63-78 Pt. Sunny 50%

THU: 63-81 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 63-83 Mo.Sunny
SAT 64-84 Sunny

SUN: 66-84 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (20%)

An upper level low will bring an increasing chance of rain to the area Wed. and Wed. night. A few claps of thunder are also possible and for those directly under one of the heavier showers, a half an inch of rain is possible. Most locations will see far less though. Winds will be light through the weekend and great for the boaters!
High pressure builds in on Friday, and the weekend looks great with sun and cloud. Temperatures will reach the low 80's and perhaps mid 80's in some interior areas. Beaches will see mid 70's or warmer.
The 11 PM numbers:

WED: 63-78 Pt. Sunny 50%

THU: 63-81 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 63-83 Mo.Sunny
SAT 64-84 Sunny

SUN: 66-84 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (20%)

5:09 a.m. Tuesday, May 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Most locations dodged the rain yesterday, with showers and t'storms for folks in DC/Baltimore, and for our neighbors to the North, in NJ. Today will bring another 30-40% of a few scattered showers and storms, as an upper level low off to our West, and a weak cold front draped across the Ohio River Valley team up to create an unstable air mass. We'll keep the partly to mostly cloudy skies & slight chances for showers and storms in the forecast for Wednesday & Thursday as well. High pressure will move in for the end of the work week & the up coming holiday weekend.
The upcoming Memorial Day weekend is looking pretty nice! Although it won't be as hot as last year, highs are trending a bit warmer for Sunday & Memorial day, where inland locations should be back into the upper 80s Sunday & Memorial Day Monday. So it looks like tons of sun, with highs 10-15 degrees above average for the holiday weekend.
11:39 p.m. Monday, May 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rain chances will not be all that high but we will see some spotty showers through Thursday with a rather unsettled weather pattern. An upper level low will slowly move away by Friday and bring sunshine and warmer weather for the weekend and Memorial Day. The weekend is still a ways out so this could still change but confidence is moderate. After next Monday, a rather wet and stormy pattern may develop.

11 p.m. forecast:

TUESDAY: Partly Sunny with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. High 79 (Beaches 70). Wind: SW 5-11 mph. Rain amounts .05-.25". Rain chance at any one spot 50%.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy with a few passing showers about. Low 63. Wind: S 1-6 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers possible. Rain chance 50%. High 80 (Beaches 74). Wind: SW 5-11 mph

THU: 63-82 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 64-84 Mo.Sunny
SAT 65-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-85 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (10%)

FYI: Climatological chance of rain on Memorial Day in Salisbury is 41%. Hottest ever was last year at 95 degrees! I can guarantee this one will not be that hot

6:35 a.m. Sunday, May 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Tropical Storm Alberto formed this past Saturday, May 19, 2012 off the coast of the Carolinas. Alberto is the earliest-forming tropical storm in the Atlantic basin since Ana in 2003. This is also the first time a tropical storm has formed before the official start of the hurricane season. Ironically, a day before (this past Friday), I received an e mail that stated NOAA will be releasing its 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction "next week". Thursday, May 24 at 11 a.m. you'll be able to see the official outlook from NOAA as to their idea of what the season holds. The impact of Alberto does not even appear to be minimal for Delmarva or the East Coast at this time (Sunday, May 20, 6:30 AM) with the exception of area waters and beaches perhaps as advisories and/or warnings with impacts to rip current and/or maritime conditions may be issued. Regardless, the public will want to know how this "early Tropical Storm, if at all, will effect the long range outlook when Thursday's announcement is made.

A dreary week ahead includes a 30% chance of rain for a better part of the week. Sunday and Monday the rain-maker is a Stationary Front and Low pressure off the Atlantic Coast. Monday night through Tuesday rain is likely due to an upper level Trough swinging in from the Northwest. For the remainder of the week the rain chances at 30% and unsettled pattern continue as the combination of the possibility of Alberto and an approaching Cold Front from the West provide rain chances. All in all, look for Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies for a good portion of the week but, temperatures will begin to climb into the 80's and by the weekend, which appears to look promising for a return to sunshine, we could see mid 80's.

11:07 p.m. Friday, May 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Clouds will increase Saturday night and Sunday will bring a mix of cloud and sunshine with some showers possible. Rain amounts will be very light and it will continue to be rather breezy. Onshore flow will keep the beaches cooler with highs in the mid to upper 60's. Late data tonight continues to indicate a fair amount of sun on Sunday.

There is also a chance for more showers Monday into Wednesday as an upper level trough develops over the Mid-Atlantic region. , and there is higher than normal forecast uncertainty during this period.

 

6:24 a.m. Friday, May 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We're still expecting an area of low pressure (currently located off the North Carolina coast) to meander just off shore over the weekend and the 1st couple of days next week, before a little cool front swings through & clears us out late next week.

As of now it looks like we'll see increasing clouds tomorrow, with less than a 20% chance of showers late in the day. Rain chances will bump up to 30-40% for Sunday and much of next week. Showers that we do receive through Tuesday should not amount to all that much (.25" or less) on any given day. Rain totals could bump up a bit mid week, with chances for t'storms re-entering the forecast, before we clear out & dry out for the end of next week.

With the low sitting offshore through the beginning of next week, we'll most likely see an onshore flow, keeping things relatively humid with highs in the mid 70s. High temps will warm back to around 80 for mid to late next week.

11:08 p.m. Thursday, May 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

 There is finally some agreement among the weather models late this evening and confidence in the weekend forecast is now rising.

5:40 a.m. Thursday, May 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like some changes to the forecast....
We should still round out the work week with lots of sun & cooler (seasonal) temps, but the weekend forecast may include a good bit more cloud cover than originally anticipated, and possibly even some rain chances. Basically, an area of low pressure now looks like it will be forming out over the open waters of the Atlantic, and possibly retrograding back to the West, delivering clouds and rain chances to the forecast. Since the 12z runs yesterday was really the 1st hint of clouds and rain, I just went with partly cloudy skies for the weekend to avoid a super dramatic change to the 7day, but may add the rain icon tomorrow, as the CMC, WRF, ECMWF (GFS still dry) are now showing chances for rain both Saturday & Sunday. The forecast for next week appears to still be right on track, with slight chances for scattered showers Monday, with rain chances bumping up towards mid week.
Highs will remain in the lower 70s today & tomorrow, with highs rebounding back into the upper 70s to around the 80 degree mark Saturday through mid week next week.

10:48 p.m. Wednesday, May 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A cool front will come through overnight and bring in some drier and more stable air for the rest of the week. Skies will clear tomorrow, and mainly sunny and pleasant conditions will continue through Friday. The upcoming weekend may see an increase in cloudiness but there is considerable uncertainty as of now. I suspect that we will not see any weekend rain but the forecast will be a lot more clear tomorrow.

The high in Salisbury was 84 on Wednesday- a full 11 degrees above the average high for the date. We also had a peak alert from the Delaware electric coop. No repeat of that today with highs a good 10-15 degrees cooler. The onshore flow will keep beaches in the mid 60's through Saturday at least.

A haze of smoke is stretching from TX to Michigan from forest fires in Asia! The smoke is at high altitudes and at times visible on the GOES satellite images. Unlikely we will see it here and if it does pass over, it may not be noticeable other than a slight haze in the sky.

7:33 a.m. Wednesday, May 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We may catch a scattered shower through mid afternoon, as a trough continues to press off the coast. However, showers and storms chances are looking a little better (30-40%) this afternoon and evening, as a cold front swings through. Expect clearing skies, tons of sun, and drier/cooler air (mid 70s) for the end of the work week. The sun will persist over the weekend, with highs back into the lower 80s. Expect increasing clouds to begin next w, week, with rain chances returning by Tuesday.

11:14 p.m. Tuesday, May 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Note: The Small Craft Adv. have all been dropped now. There is no risk of severe weather overnight but some rain is likely.

A few more scattered thunderstorms may develop ahead of a cool front on Wednesday, but a significant cool down with much lower humidity is on the way. A cool front will usher in a dry and stable airmass for Thursday and it will linger through the weekend. I actually see little chance of rain until later on Tuesday and even then the showers will be widely scattered. Rain amounts early Tuesday were around a half an inch in most areas and a few spots had close to an inch.

NOAA has the global temps for April out- 5th warmest on record (past 133 years). Ocean temps worldwide were the second warmest on record.
Tuesday night numbers below:

WED: 66-82 MC 30%.

THU: 58-73 Sunny and less humid.

FRI 49-74 Sunny and pleasant.

SAT 53-76 Sunny

SUN 55-79 Sunny

MON 58-79 P-C

TUE 60-78 PC 30%

9:29 p.m. Monday, May 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A decent amount of rain is likely on Tuesday ahead of a weak cool front. Rain amounts will range from .25 to .5 inches with a few spots getting a bit more. No risk of severe weather but there may be some thunder on Tuesday afternoon. Skies will start clearing on Wednesday with some iso. showers and then sunshine is on tap for the rest of the week as a drier air mass follows the front. Highs will range from 73 Thursday, climbing into the upper 70's by Sunday.

6:57 a.m. Monday, May 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A few scattered showers out there this morning, but rainfall should be light in intensity today, with heavier rain headed our way overnight and through the day on Tuesday. We'll continue to monitor a slow moving area of low pressure, as it slowly tracks in from the Southwest. It will most likely deliver less than .25" of rain today, with .5-1" expected through the day tomorrow. Although no organized severe weather is expected, we'll see a slim chance of t'storms this afternoon, with better chances through the PM hours of your Tuesday. Rainfall should taper off through the morning hours Wednesday, with lots of sun headed our way to wrap up the work week & next weekend.

Not too much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs ranging from the mid 70s to around the 80 degree mark, with lows in the 50s and 60s.

5:43 a.m. Friday, May 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

High pressure will provide tons of sun through a good chunk of Mother's Day weekend. The high will shift off the coast tomorrow, allowing Southerly winds to kick back in & warm us up close to the 80 degree mark for Saturday and Sunday.

Look for clouds to increase during Mother's Day, with slight chances of rain returning to the forecast for Monday & Tuesday, as our next front approaches from the West.

Have a happy & safe Mother's Day!

6:19 a.m. Thursday, May 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We picked up .25-2.1" of rain across Delmarva yesterday, and well start to dry out today.

After a few clouds this morning, we'll see clearing skies & tons of sun as we wrap up the work week. Winds will play a factor today & tomorrow, as they pick up out of the NW. Today expect winds 10-20 G 30, and 5-15 G 20 mph for tomorrow.

High pressure shifts off the coast, and warms us up. In fact, models are tending warmer for both Saturday and Sunday. I went w/ the upper 70s, but would not be surprised to see a few lower 80s degree readings come Sunday.

Speaking of Sunday, we'll see increasing clouds late in the day, with slight chances of rain returning for the 1st half of next week, as out next front approaches the peninsula.

11:11 p.m. Wednesday, May 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It's been a very wet evening across the area with rainfall totals over and inch at several locations. Ocean City was up to 1.58 as of 10 PM and SBY was approaching an inch. The heaviest rainfall was in Accomack County with over 1.5 inches widespread. Skies will clear behind a cool front early today and a gusty NW wind will usher in a drier and cooler airmass. Dry weather is expected through Sunday with plenty of sunshine.
Rain data for Salisbury through 5 PM Wednesday:

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                      VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                       NORMAL         
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.47          1.81 1978   0.10   0.37     0.00       MONTH TO DATE    1.01                      0.94   0.07     0.70       SINCE MAR 1      5.10                      8.91  -3.81     5.93       SINCE JAN 1     10.79                     15.87  -5.08    10.65 

The evening rain should bring us down to a deficit of about 4.5" since Jan 1.
11 PM Forecast:

THURSDAY: Becoming partly cloudy. Very breezy, and less humid. High: 70. Winds: NW 14-26 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mainly clear and cooler. Low 48. Wind: NW 6-12 mph

FRIDAY: Mainly sunny, breezy and pleasant. High 72. Wind: NW 11-20 mph

 

EXTENDED FORECAST: Rain will taper off tonight as a cool front passes through Delmarva. Skies will clear with less humid conditions on Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks very pleasant with sunshine and near seasonable highs in the middle 70's.

A few spotty showers are possible again late Monday into early Tuesday, but amounts look light as of now.

11:38 p.m. Tuesday, May 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The wet forecast is still on track and many areas will likely see over an inch of rain over the next 24 hours. Skies will clear on Thursday and the rest of the weekend looks good as high pressure builds into the area. This is a fairly straightforward forecast, and confidence in temps and winds is high.
For Brian, John: I made two maps saved under the future-cast folder for Highs and Lows across Delmarva. I plan on making a few more with various cities so that we can showcase the smaller towns as well. I also made a future-cast rainfall accumulation map using the Microcast model. I saved that in the future-cast folder as well. Also: The Nat Climate Data Center put out the Jan-Apr. temps Y'day- the warmest on record nationwide and for MD and DE. I have a graphic for that in my DAN folder if you want to use. You can call up my 6pm show and save it where you want if that is easier. In case your wondering there is no correlation with winter temps and summer temps, so a warm winter does not necc. mean a hot summer!
The NCDC Climate report is here: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/

11 PM DELMARVA FORECAST

WED: Cloudy with rain likely. High 73. Wind: SW/W 6-14 mph.

THURSDAY: Clearing early then sunny, breezy, and less humid. High: 72. Winds: NW 10-16 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mainly clear and cooler. Low 49. Wind: NW 4-12 mph

FRIDAY: Mainly sunny, breezy and pleasant. High 73. Wind: NW 11-20 mph

EXTENDED FORECAST: Rain will taper off tonight as a cool front passes through Delmarva. Skies will clear with less humid conditions on Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks very pleasant with sunshine and near seasonable highs in the low to mid 70's.

A few spotty showers are possible again by Tuesday and Wednesday but amounts look light as of now.

7:44 a.m. Tuesday, May 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is on track...

We'll see a slow moving cold front, with several areas of low pressure imbedded along it, push through late Wednesday. Out ahead of the front, we'll see a chance for scattered showers and storms, starting as early as overnight tonight, and stretching through the day tomorrow. SPC has the Southern half of the peninsula under a "slight risk"...so expect possibly about a 15% of winds in excess of 60 mph, and small hail. Hopefully we'll see a good dousing of rain, with most locations expected to recieve .75-1.25" of rain, however, I would not be surprised to see some locations top the 2" mark, before rain chances dwindle overnight into early Thursday. After a few clouds Thursday morning, expect tons of sun Thursday afternoon through the majority of the weekend, with rain returning to begin next week.

Highs will be in the low to mid 70s over the next 7 days, with lows from the upper 40s to low 60s.

11:32 p.m. Monday, May 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A small craft adv. is now in effect for all coastal waters around Delmarva and winds will gust to 25 or high on Tuesday ahead of a cool front. Each model run is wetter it seems and rain amounts with the frontal passage look to range from .5 to 1.25 " and perhaps some spots seeing 1.75". Forecast confidence is actually fairly high with this system and for the rest of the week. Behind the front we will clear quickly Thursday with a cooler and dry airmass bringing sunshine for the rest of the week and through the weekend.

TUESDAY: Very breezy with a mix of sun and cloud. High: 76 (66-70 beaches). Winds: S 14-26 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy, breezy and more humid. Passing showers late. Low: 62. Winds: S 10-20 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mainly cloudy and breezy. Rain chance 80%. High: 74 (69 near beaches). Winds: SW 8-17 mph.

7:10 a.m. Monday, May 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

clouds will slowly be on the increase out ahead of a warm/cold front combo that will be headed in our direction. The warm front won't provide much of any chance for rain, and should lift North of us around mid day Tuesday. The trailing cold front will slide off the coast late Wednesday into early Thursday. Since the cold front will be such a slow mover, we'll see a good chance for a good dousing of rain. Right now it looks like we could see .75-1.25" of rain, before we start to dry out early Thursday. SPC has the Southern portion of the peninsula under "slight risk" in the 3day outlook...so we'll need to keep an eye to the sky Wednesday. skies will clear for the end of the work week, with tons of sun returning to the forecast for next weekend.

Even though we'll be dealing w/ a warm/cold front combo, don't expect too much fluctuation in temps over the next week, with highs in the low to mid 70s (cooler at the beaches), and overnight lows generally in the 50s.

12:01 a.m. Saturday, May 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The Storm Prediction Center in Okla. has Delmarva out-looked for a slight risk on Friday. This may change as it is a borderline situation. The best chance for any stronger storms will be in the late afternoon ending around 12 AM. The main threat would be some strong gusty winds with a minimal threat of tornadic activity. The Bay and ocean waters are still rather cool and this should reduce the threat somewhat.

Ahead of the storms we should see temps reach the mid 80's except on the beaches where it will cool quickly to the upper 60's by early afternoon.

The weekend looks good with a few isolated showers on Saturday but skies will clear Saturday night and it will be sunny and a little cooler Sunday with lower humidity. The next chance of significant rain will be late Tuesday into Wed. as a stronger front and upper level trough approach. It is still a way out but there does seem to the risk of some severe weather, and in any event a good rain event seems a good bet.

11 PM Forecast Numbers:

FRI: Pt Sunny High 85. Rain chance 60% PM.

SAT: 62-79 20% P-C showers

SUN: 57-71 Mo. Sunny and Cooler

MON: 51-72 Pt. to mainly Sunny

TUE: 54-73 PC 35%

WED 58-77 PS with strong storms

11:06 p.m. Thursday, May 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The Storm Prediction Center in Okla. has Delmarva out-looked for a slight risk on Friday. This may change as it is a borderline situation. The best chance for any stronger storms will be in the late afternoon ending around 12 AM. The main threat would be some strong gusty winds with a minimal threat of tornadic activity. The Bay and ocean waters are still rather cool and this should reduce the threat somewhat.

Ahead of the storms we should see temps reach the mid 80's except on the beaches where it will cool quickly to the upper 60's by early afternoon.

The weekend looks good with a few isolated showers on Saturday but skies will clear Saturday night and it will be sunny and a little cooler Sunday with lower humidity. The next chance of significant rain will be late Tuesday into Wed. as a stronger front and upper level trough approach. It is still a way out but there does seem to the risk of some severe weather, and in any event a good rain event seems a good bet.
11 PM Forecast Numbers:

FRI: Pt Sunny High 85. Rain chance 60% PM.

SAT: 62-79 20% P-C showers

SUN: 57-71 Mo. Sunny and Cooler

MON: 51-72 Pt. to mainly Sunny

TUE: 54-73 PC 35%

WED 58-77 PS with strong storms

5:16 a.m. Thursday, May 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The front that has delivered rain chances over the past few days, will linger on or near the peninsula through the end of the work week, delivering slight to moderate chances for showers and storms. Don't expect too much in the old rain gauges, with most locations receiving <.25" of rain. Another cold front presses through late Saturday, again delivering a chance for late day showers and storms, before clearing the skies & cooling us down for the end of the weekend. After tons of sun for Sunday & Monday, clouds and rain chances return to the forecast for Tuesday & Wednesday of next week.

Look for highs to climb back into the mid 70s today, with the low to mid 80s expected for Friday & Saturday. We'll cool back into the lower 70s to round out the weekend and begin next week, with highs warming into the upper 70s by mid week.

7:39 a.m. Wednesday, May 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another round of t'storms is pushing across central Delmarva this morning. Much like yesterday, we should see a break in the action, then another slight chance for some late day showers and storms (even though the rain dodged us to the South yesterday). This morning's rain is riding along a warm front off to our West. The warm front is connected to a back door cold front off to our Northeast, that will retro grade back to the Southwest, possibly keeping temps a little cooler than yesterday. I say possibly, cause the amount of cool air we see today will be very location dependant. Temps will be coolest (upper 60s) at the beaches across the Northern sections of the peninsula. We'll most likely see the low to mid 70s inland across the heart of Delmarva, with folks across the South could see the upper 70s to lower 80s...depending on where the front lines up.

The latest model run (0z) shows the quasi stationary front now lingering in/around our vicinity until Saturday's cold front swings through and knock the clouds and rain chances off the coast. So as I mentioned yesterday, the sloppy front could have us seeing repeat performances of yesterday & today, for Thursday & Friday, with scattered shower and thunderstorms remaining in the forecast through the end of the work week. As the front meanders, the confidence is not high as to the exact timing of said showers and storms...so keep an eye to the sky!

Temperatures will climb from the mid to upper 70s tomorrow, back into the low to mid 80s to round out the work week, and take us through the day on Saturday. Highs will fall back into the mid to upper 70s to round out the weekend on Sunday, before dipping back into the low to mid 70s to begin the work week next week. Expect mostly sunny skies Sunday & Monday, before clouds and rain chances possibly return by Tuesday of next week.

10:55 p.m. Tuesday, May 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A weak cool front will bring temps. down into the 70's on Wednesday and an easterly flow off the Atlantic will keep skies mostly cloudy. The beaches will struggle to stay much above 63 degrees and there will be a fairly large contrast in temps across Delmarva with 72 in Dover to 79 in Onley. Thursday will see a mix of cloud and sun and with the cool front stalled nearby a passing shower is possible at anytime.
The best chances of rain look to be early Wednesday and again late Wed. night but chances at any one spot remain below 30%.

A warm up is expected on a south breeze Friday with highs above 80 degrees.

The weekend looks very mild as well although there might be some showers with a weak cool front Saturday afternoon and evening. Slightly cooler air will follow the front on Sunday-Tuesday. Salisbury hit 8, 4 on Tuesday,just 4 shy of the record of 88.

11 PM Numbers

WED: 61-78 Pt. sunny. E 4-11 mph 30%
THU 57-77 P-cloudy N 1-7 mph 30%

FRI: 61-83 Mo. Sunny. W 6-15 mph

SAT: 61-82 30% P-C T-showers late? 30%

SUN: 55-72 Sunny and Cooler

4:43 a.m. Tuesday, May 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The warm front has lifted North already, and temps have started to climb! We'll see highs in the lower 80s today, out ahead of cold/quasi stationary front we've been talking about. The cold front now appears as if it will dip a little farther South than originally anticipated. This would give us East-Northeast winds, instead of Southwest winds, potentially keeping temps in the low to mid 70s inland, and in the 60s at the beaches for both Wednesday and Thursday. To be honest, I wouldn't be surprised to see the front divide the peninsula, with the mid to upper 60s Northeast (Kent county beaches), and the lower 80s for folks in inland locations across the Southwest (Somerset, Wicomico, etc.). To be honest, the models are at odds, with up to a 10+ degree difference in temps forecast over the next couple of days. So even if we do see the potential peninsula wide cool down, the front will remain in the vicinity, leaving at least a slim chance for an isolated shower or storm over the next few days. Basically we're looking at a sloppy, low confidence forecast through at least Thursday.

We'll warm back into the low to mid 80s to wrap up the work week, and head through the 1st half of the weekend. Speaking of the weekend, we'll see our next cold front, which should slide through Saturday night into Sunday, delivering additional chances for showers and storms. Look for highs to fall back into the mid 70s Sunday, with the upper 60s returning to kick start next week.

11:26 p.m. Monday, April 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another tough forecast to start the week. A warm front will come through early Tuesday and we should see a rapid warm up to 80 or above across nearly all of Delmarva on Tuesday. There might be a few isolated showers or thundershowers but rain will be very spotty. A weak cool front will come through late Tuesday night, and an easterly breeze behind the front means cooler weather on Wed. The beaches will fall into the upper 50's and stay there on Wed. with inland locations making the low 70's.

Warmer weather returns again on Thursday and the weekend looks fairly decent but confidence in that forecast remains rather low.

My 11 PM numbers:

TUE: 56-80 sct. showers. 40% AM 20% PM SW 14-24 mph
WED: 59-72 (58 beaches) Pt. sunny. Shower late?? E 4-10 mph
THU 54-78 (63 beaches) P-cloudy S 7-14 mph

FRI: 56-80 Pt. Sunny.

SAT: 59-80 30% showers

SUN: 57-73 PC and Cooler

The UK had it's wettest April on record and more severe storm hit the Plains last night with a slew of tornado warnings for KS. and Okla.

Salisbury Climate Data for Monday

TEMPERATURE (F)                                                       TODAY                           records    Nrml.          Last Yr.                                  MAXIMUM         64   1217 PM  86    1974  69     -5       64          MINIMUM         45    123 AM  31    1909  47     -2       45          AVERAGE         55                                               

5:14 a.m. Monday, April 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Get ready for a big time warm up! After a shot of seasonal air today (upper 60s), we'll shoot back into the upper 70s to mid 80s through the 1st half of the weekend, before we fall back into the mid to upper 70s for Sunday.

A warm front will lift over us tonight, providing a chance of showers after midnight, through the AM commute Tuesday. The trailing "cold" front will approach, before becoming quasi stationary late in the day Tuesday, providing another chance for showers, and perhaps some t'storms. It looks as if shower and storm chances could linger through Wednesday, possibly spilling on over into Thursday (at least according to the GFS), before we dry out for the end of the work week., Another, more potent cold front will head our way for the weekend, providing a chance for showers , and storms, and drop temps from the mid 80s Saturday, back into the mid to upper 70s for Sunday.

 6:04 a.m. Saturday, April 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY UNTIL SATURDAY AT 8:00 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES, :

KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD. IMPACTS...FLOWERING FRUIT TREES AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY SUFFER DAMAGE IF NOT PROTECTED.

An area of Low pressure in the Midwest will lift a Warm Front into Delmarva today. Rain chances are looking good ahead of the front. Overall, a .25" total is probably all we'll see on Delmarva. Some weak High pressure will keep skies at least Partly Sunny but, look for increasing clouds through the day Saturday. Although rain showers are expected, that likely chance of rain will come after sunset Saturday night and end by daybreak Sunday morning. Partial clearing through the day Sunday and a return to High pressure will allow us to finish the weekend under clear skies. Finishing out a cool April 2012, a return to near 80's like temperatures begins mid-week.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY UNTIL SATURDAY AT 8:00 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD. IMPACTS...FLOWERING FRUIT TREES AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY SUFFER DAMAGE IF NOT PROTECTED.

 

An area of Low pressure in the Midwest will lift a Warm Front into Delmarva today. Rain chances are looking good ahead of the front. Overall, a .25" total is probably all we'll see on Delmarva. Some weak High pressure will keep skies at least Partly Sunny but, look for increasing clouds through the day Saturday. Although rain showers are expected, that likely chance of rain will come after sunset Saturday night and end by daybreak Sunday morning. Partial clearing through the day Sunday and a return to High pressure will allow us to finish the weekend under clear skies. Finishing out a cool April 2012, a return to near 80's like temperatures begins mid-week.

7:22 a.m. Thursday, April 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like some rain out there today, as a little warm/cold front combo pushes across the peninsula., Expect scattered showers to develop into more substantial rain late morning into the early afternoon as the warm front passes. We should see a break in the action, then another slight chance for showers or an isolated t'storm, as the trailing cold front pushes through this evening. It looks like most will see .25-.5", with totals up to .75"across the Southern sections of the peninsula before we dry out for Friday. Rain chances quickly return to the forecast for the 1st half of the weekend, as a low pressure center slides off the coast to our South.

Models are trending much cooler for today, and the upcoming weekend. So instead of seeing mid 70s degree readings fall back into the mid to upper 60s, we'll most likely see the upper 60s of today, dip back into the lower 60s Friday through the beginning of next week. Like it a bit warmer? Look for the mid 70s to return to the forecast by next Wednesday.

10:52 p.m. Wednesday, April 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A very difficult forecast for today and rather so for the weekend as well.... We should see showers up until early afternoon and rain amounts will likely be heavier from SBY to the south. Rain amounts of .25-.75" are expected with less than .3 in the Dover area. There is quite a spread among the model guidance though and the rain may end up being a bit more evenly spread. Skies will clear some in the afternoon and if so, temps will zoom to near 70 ahead of a cold front. The cold front will usher in a cooler and drier airmass Thursday night and Friday will be mainly clear but very breezy. In fact it will stay rather blustery from Thursday morning into the weekend.

Showers will likely return Sat. night into Sunday but most of the weekend will probably be dry with considerable cloudiness and highs i the low to mid 60's. Small craft adv. are in effect on all area waters.

THU: 49-67 Rain likely. Varbl. clouds. S 12-26

FRI: 51-63 Mainly clear and very breezy. NW 12-24

SAT 45-61 Showers early. Mainly cloudy. NE 7-16

SUN: 46-61 Partly sunny. AM Shower? (30%) N 8-15

8:17 a.m. Wednesday, April 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is pretty much on track through the end of the work week, with the 0z runs keeping things a bit warmer for both today and tomorrow when compared to the 12z over the past couple of days.

We're still expecting that warm/cold front combo to provide rain chances through the day on Thursday. It looks like the bulk of the rain should press through mid morning through about mid afternoon. However, shower chances will materialize overnight tonight, and we could see lingering showers, and perhaps a t'storm Thursday afternoon stretching into the evening hours. Hopefully we'll see, on average, .25-.5" of rain before we dry out to round out the work week on Friday.

As Dan mentioned the weekend & the beginning of next week are still a little up in the air. First of all Saturday is trending dramatically cooler. Also, the low forecast to deliver rain chances over the weekend, will be riding along a quasi stationary front to our South, making timing of rain a bit tricky. In fact, Sunday looked to be our best chance of rain yesterday...today it looks like Saturday will bring rain chances, with a good bit of sun to round out the weekend on Sunday. The clouds now look like they'll hold off for Monday as well, before returning, along with rain chances for Tuesday.

Temperatures are still forecast (at least on the 0z run) to make it into the low to mid 70s today & tomorrow, out ahead of the cold front. Behind the front, we'll see highs retreat back into the low to mid 60s Friday through the beginning of next week.

11:14 p.m. Tuesday, April 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rain is definitely on the way for Thursday and amounts will range from .25 to.75". Skies will clear on Friday but the weekend is still rather iffy. Lots of model differences but all in all, the amounts over the weekend will likely not be that much. The weekend forecast uncertainty also makes temperature forecasts difficult but highs in the mid 60's are the best bet. Monday and Tuesday in contrast are easy forecasts with sunshine and cooler/drier air. Another rain event MAY be on the way as early as next Wed.

My 11 pm forecast for: Today: Sunny. High 68-70. Wind: W 6-16 mph.

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy with some light rain possible after 2 AM. Low 48. Wind: S 2-9 mph

THURSDAY: Morning rain likely with amounts from .25 to .75 inches. High: 68. Winds: Varbl. 4-12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. Low: 50. Winds: W 6-15 mph.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny with some showers possible after 6 PM High: 64. Winds: NW 6-14 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: Clouds and rain will spread into the area late tonight and into late morning on Thursday. As a low pressure system passes to our east on Thursday evening, skies should clear. Variable clouds and mainly dry conditions can be expected for Friday with seasonable temperatures.

The weekend forecast remains difficult and confidence is low. It does look as if we will see some scattered showers along with some limited sunshine both days. Sunday looks to be the wetter day as of now. Skies will clear and it will be cooler and less humid on Monday and Tuesday.

11:31 p.m. Monday, April 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It will stay breezy on Tuesday and likely into Wednesday but sunshine will return with low humidity. The strong surface low is moving slowly away from the area but the large upper level low will steer cool and dry air over the region.. I am still thinking we may see some patchy showers on Thursday as a weak surface low passes by but mainly just a cloudy day.
Another cool front will approach and bring more widespread showers on Sunday but nothing like this past weekend!

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy, chilly and very breezy. Low 38. Wind: W 6-14 mph

WEDNESDAY: Mainly sunny and breezy. High: 64. Winds: SW 12-22 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and cool. Low: 39. Winds: W 1-6 mph.

THURSDAY: Mainly sunny with some high cloud. High: 67. Winds: W 9-18 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: All of Delmarva received a real soaking on Sunday, with rain totals generally from 1.5- 2.25 inches. Skies will begin to clear tonight and it will stay quite cool on Tuesday, with lows in the upper 30's Tuesday night. As a strong low moves into New England, it will stay quite breezy over Delmarva with gusts to over 30 mph. Winds will diminish Tuesday night, but it will stay breezy on Tuesday with gusts to 25 mph.

Some passing showers are possible with a series of weak upper level disturbances Wednesday night into Thursday and another cool front may bring some periods of light rain Friday night into Saturday and again on Sunday.

7:28 a.m. Monday, April 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We picked up a lot of rain out there for the 2nd half of the weekend, with most locations receiving 1.75-2.5" of rain! We'll see just a slim chance for mist or drizzle as the low continues to pull off to the NE & strengthen. The intensifying low to our North & the strong high off to our SW, will be kicking up the West winds over the next 2 days, with gusts around 30 mph for both Monday & Tuesday. Winds should calm for mid week, as we welcome our next cold front for Thursday. We'll see a little warming trend out ahead of our next front, with highs climbing from the low to mid 50s today, back to around 70 by Thursday. Expect lots of sun Friday, with highs back into the mid 60s. The weekend appears to bring additional chances for rain, along with a bit of a warm up, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Changes to the forecast include, temperatures trending considerably warmer for much of the next week. It also appears that rain chances for both next Saturday & Sunday are looking much more impressive in the long range models.

5:22 a.m. Thursday, April 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

A few showers out there early this morning, will yield to partially clearing skies through the remainder of the day. As anticipated, most locations picked up less than .1" of rain...in fact, we only had a trace-.05" at the airports. Expect a good bit of sunshine Friday, before the clouds and rain chances return for the weekend. The expected rainfall will arrive, as our next slow moving cold front slides on through. Its still a little early to pinpoint just how much rain we'll receive, but I think its safe to say we have a shot of eclipsing the 1" mark. In fact, HPC is calling for anywhere b/w 1.5-2.5" of rain through Sunday...however, keep in mind HPC often over estimates rain totals...we'll see. Regardless of how much rain we see, it looks like we could see it a little earlier than it appeared we would. The 0z models yesterday were in good agreement that the bulk of the rain would hold off until Saturday night into Sunday, yesterday's 12z and this morning's 0z runs hinting that we may see some pretty decent showers as early as midday Saturday.

Temperatures will slowly warm, and we'll be maxing out in the mid 70s on Saturday, then falling back into the upper 50s to around the 60 degree mark to round out the weekend, and begin next week. Expect more seasonal temps to persist through at least mid week next week, with highs in the mid 60s.

11:42 p.m. Wednesday, April 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The question of how much rain for the weekend remains a difficult one but no doubt we will see the best rain event for quite sometime. I suspect the models are too slow in starting the rain and we will likely see showers across Delmarva by 4 PM if no Noon Saturday.

Skies should begin clearing this afternoon and Friday looks pleasant with highs near 70 as a south wind returns. It will be blustery and cool from Monday into Wednesday but just how windy depends on the development and track of the upper level low and that is still iffy!


A viewer sent in a pic of a rare cloud type last night. They are called Asperatus clouds, and it was the viewer pic on the 11 PM newscast. I did a blog about them a few years back and you can read about them here: http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2009/10/08/rare-asperatus-clouds-over-osage-county-oklahoma/
The clouds over Delmarva were the best I have seen in a long while.
SBY 48-65 46-70 OC 49-57

5:14 a.m. Wednesday, April 18, 2012 by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than today, tomorrow, and the upcoming weekend trending warmer, forecast is right on track.

Even though temps are trending warmer for the next few days, it will still be much cooler & closer to seasonal than it has been as of late. Look for highs in the mid to upper 60s to round out the work week, with the low to mid 70s for the weekend, before cooling back into the low to mid 60s to start next week

We'll see a good bit of cloud cover, and slight chances for scattered showers today, and through the morning Thursday, as a couple areas of low pressure slowly meander off the coast well to our South. Don't expect much in the ol' rain bucket through Thursday though, with less than .1" of rain for folks lucky enough to see a few showers. Rain chances are looking much better for the second half of the weekend, and the beginning of the work week next week, as our next cold front gathers up what will hopefully be a good bit of Gulf moisture, and heads our way. As of now, it looks like we could receive a peninsula wide dousing, with rain totals over an inch...but its a little far out to be too specific on amounts just yet.

11:29 p.m. Tuesday, April 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Keeping spotty showers in the forecast through Thurs. morning but amounts will be very light. The weekend remains the big forecast question but there is no doubt a major cut off low ill develop and slowly meander our way. Yes, we could end up with not a lot of rain but the betting in my mind is that we will see some decent rainfall. We might even see some thunder with the cold air aloft, depending ont he track of the upper low. Severe weather risk is very minimal as it looks now.

My final numbers below:

SBY 53-62 (30%)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and cooler. A few light showers possible. Rain chance 30% High 62. (Beaches near 55-60.) Winds: NE 3-10 mph. Rain amounts under .15 inches.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with some passing light showers. Rain chance 50% Low: 48. Winds: NE 0-5 mph.

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy with spotty showers early. Some PM clearing. High: 64. Winds: E 1-6 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: A cool front passed through the area early this morning and temps. were not quite as warm across Delmarva today compared to yesterday. Clouds will return later tonight across Delmarva and we may see some showers about from Wednesday into early Thursday. Rain amounts will be very light for those that see a shower. Skies will clear some on Thursday, and it should turn milder Friday and Saturday with a mix of sun and cloud.

A heavier rain event should develop la, te Saturday and continue into Monday, as a strong upper level low-pressure system forms over the Mid-Atlantic region. It's still too far out to forecast rainfall amounts but widespread amounts over an inch are quite possible. It will stay much cooler into early next week as the low-pressure system slowly moves away from our area.

10:48 p.m. Monday, April 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A tricky forecast for Wed. with the poss. of some rainfall over the area as a low develops along the front that will be stalled to our south. Rain amounts will be light if so and clouds will roll in late Tuesday ahead of this weak system. No more near record temps. for awhile with a good ten degrees off of Mondays 88 in SBY expected for Tuesday and then down another 10 degrees at least on Wed. The beaches will be much cooler with an onshore flow developing quickly as winds turn from the NW to NE. Wed. will bring a NE wind with even cooler temps near the beaches.

Some sun for Thur/-Fri-Sat. but rain will overspread the area on Sat. night into Sunday and Monday but as is always the case with an upper level low, the models have a great deal fo difficulty with these systems. The old saying among forecaster is very accurate- "There's almost always a surprise under a cold core low"! Still, this system looks promising for some rains that would at least put a dent in the drought.

7:58 a.m. Sunday, April 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A weak disturbance to our North did bring some clouds and trace amounts of rainfall overnight. The mild weather continues thanks to High pressure anchored off the Carolina's. Skies will return to Mostly Sunny conditions by late afternoon on Sunday. A Cold Front will enter the picture Monday night into Tuesday however, most of the moisture will have rung out before arriving on Delmarva. A few isolated showers are possible Tuesday morning. Mid-week rain chances look slim. Little chance and little amounts of precip. that is, until Friday. The upcoming weekend looks promising for much needed rain. As we enter mid April - 30 degree overnight Low's are not forecast and only two nights of 40 degree overnight Low's are forecast. With a seasonally average High of 65 for the week and Low of 43, we will be well above those averages for temps this time of year.

4:29 a.m. Thursday, April 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

Looks like dry & breezy/windy through the beginning of next week. After 2 more days in the low to mid 60s, we'll see the low 70s Saturday, and highs around 80 as a warm front lifts North on Sunday. Looks like we'll see temps hang in the mid 70s to lower 80s for the 1st half of next week.

Chances for rain are still bleak. We'll see a very slim chance for a sprinkle, with the warm front passage Saturday night into early Sunday. Our best chance of rain will come with the passage of the trailing cold front, around mid week, next week. However, don't your hopes too high, as said rain chances are really not looking all the promising, with the GFS only picking up on .1 to maybe 25"...and its usually the more precip latent model!

I say don't get your hopes too high, cause as we all know, we have been extremely dry as of late. In fact, most of Delmarva remains under Moderate Drought conditions (with Abnormally Dry conditions confined to the extreme Western periphery of Delmarva) as of this writing. Bet we're all thrown into the Moderate to maybe even Severe Drought conditions when the Drought Monitor Index is updated later today.

11:38 p.m. Wednesday, April 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the ongoing forecast- A Small craft advisory is still in effect until at least Noon for all area waters. Winds will be a factor this weekend again.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy, cool and very breezy. High 56. (Beaches near 53-56.) Winds: W-NW 11-22 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy and quite cool. Low: 35-37. Winds: NW 6-13 mph.

FRIDAY: Intervals of cloud and sun., Cool and breezy. High: 58. Winds: NW 12-24 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: Gusty winds will continue across Delmarva as a strong low pressure system remains over New England tonight through Thursday. A series of upper level disturbances will bring some clouds and cooler air into the area on Wednesday with a few brief light showers possible. Rain chances are less than 15%.

Clouds will clear some on Thursday, and Friday will be sunny and milder. A westerly wind will usher in warmer weather with sunshine as we head into the weekend. Highs should approach 70 Saturday and climb into the upper 70's with just a few clouds on Sunday!

4:41 a.m. Wednesday, April 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track. Unfortunately for farmers and folks that just want to see a little green grass, no widespread soaking rain is in the forecast until at least mid week, next week...and even then, chances aren't looking all that promising. Bad news considering some locations are over 7 inches shy of their average annual precip so far through 2012 (most of the deficit accrued over the past 5 weeks).

It will remain relatively dry & breezy today, with NW winds 5-15 G 20 kts. Only expect a 20% chance of a few scattered showers through the PM hours, as the low to our North slowly pulls off to the Northeast. The GFS is showing a slight chance for a shower Sunday, in association with a warm front off to our West. Really don't think we'll see anything, nor do any of the other longer range models at this time.

Temps will top out in the upper 50s to lower 60s through the end of the work week, so it will be nice to be at, or just below average for a change. Our cool down won't last long, with highs around 70 Saturday, and possibly flirting w./ the 80 degree mark by Sunday. Temps are trending a few degrees cooler to start next week, but we can probably still expect the low to mid 70s for next Monday & Tuesday.

11:25 p.m. Tuesday, April 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Low clouds and cooler weather will arrive overnight but a late look at the guidance makes me think we will see some blue patches. Highs should be about 10 degrees cooler in most areas with sunshine increasing again on Thursday. The weekend looks great with much warmer weather but winds will increase again and fire danger will be high.
With the clouds inhibiting heating the winds should be down a bit on Wed. and the Red Flag Warning is unlikely to be reissued. A Small Craft Adv. remains in effect for the Chesapeake only.
Rainfall deficits are increasing and for Brian I did a graphic that is in my 6 PM Show you might want to use. The red flag warning is down off the web ( I think- do not see it anywhere).
Long range guidance looks good for some rain on next Wednesday with even some thunderstorms possible. This is our next real chance of rain other than some instability sprinkles tomorrow. I only mentioned a chance of a sprinkle in the forecast.

SBY Climate data for Tuesday is below
WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                 VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                   NORMAL .................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F)  TODAY   MAXIMUM         70    328 PM  91    1922  63      7       68   MINIMUM         41    607 AM  21    2007  42     -1       47   AVERAGE         56  PRECIPITATION (IN)   TODAY            0.00          3.00 1918   0.13  -0.13     0.00   MONTH TO DATE    0.18                      1.33  -1.15     0.53   SINCE MAR 1      1.31                      5.75  -4.44     4.06   SINCE JAN 1      7.00                     12.71  -5.71     8.78                                                                      

5:10 a.m. Tuesday, April 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM LATE MORNING/NOON, UNTIL 8 PM FOR THE ENTIRE DELMARVA PENINSULA. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL! PLEASE AVOID ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE, AND AVOID THE POTENTIAL RAPID SPREAD OF UNMANAGEABLE AND OUT OF CONTROL FIRES.

Well, the winds won't be quite as relentless as they were yesterday, but West winds will still ru 10-20 G 30 mph through the day today. Even though most did pick up a scattered shower last night (only a trace to a couple one hundredths of an inch), it will remain very dry w/ Red Flag Warnings in effect today. We'll only see about a 10% chance of a scattered shower today/overnight, and potentially a 20% chance of a scattered shower or storm tomorrow, as the low to our North spins a few clouds and a couple impulses of energy our way through mid week. Look for slightly calmer winds, cooler conditions, and lots of sun for Thursday & Friday. The winds will pick back up for the weekend, and beginning of next week, as temps once again soar well above average.

It looks like we'll squeak out one more warm today, with temps trending a good bit warmer, in the mid to upper 60s. Highs will fall back into the upper 50s to lower 60s for Thursday and Friday. The 0z runs continues the trending towards a big time warm up for the weekend & beginning of next week, with highs in the lower 70s Saturday, and the mid to upper 70s Sunday & Monday.

11:40 p.m. Monday, April 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The weather story is the wind again for Tuesday with a red flag warning likely. We are seeing some rain showers in the area but they will be gone by sunrise and amounts will be light. Still, a bit more than I expected but we will have to wait and see the totals because a lot is evaporating as it falls in the dry air. The clouds will thicken on Wed. as clouds move in from the NW and the temp. will drop back into the 50's for highs. Winds gusted to over 40 mph at several locations on the coast Monday aftn.

The weekend still looks nice with a warm up into the 70's by Sunday. Still quite breezy though!

SBY 43-64 36 55

5:39 a.m. Monday, April 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM FOR KENT, SUSSEX, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT, AND CAROLINE COUNTIES; AND FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM FOR DORCHESTER, WICOMICO, SOMERSET, WORCESTER, AND ACCOMACK COUNTIES. A WIND ADVISORY WILL ALSO BE IN EFFECT FOR KENT, SUSSEX, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT, AND CAROLINE COUNTIES FROM 8 AM UNTIL 6 PM. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH, WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED, AND MAY TOPPLE TREES AND POWER LINES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL! PLEASE AVOID ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE, AND AVOID THE POTENTIAL RAPID SPREAD OF UNMANAGEABLE AND OUT OF CONTROL FIRES.

Well, needless to say, the dry windy conditions will persist today, even though a couple of areas of low pressure will team up to give us slight chances for rain. The first low is connected to a weak little cool front, that will slide through tonight, providing a 20-30% chance for a passing shower. The second low will continue to spin over the New England states, providing a few clouds, and a slim chance for a wrap around showers Tuesday and Wednesday. Looks like we'll see lots of sun Thursday and Friday, with more clouds and a warm up for next weekend.

Highs today should hit the upper 60s, then fall back into the upper 50s to lower 60s for the remainder of the work week. Next weekend was trending much warmer with the upper 60s to lower 70s Saturday, and the upper 70s come Sunday.

10:44 p.m. Friday, April 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

I've bumped up the high on Sunday to 67 based on the afternoon guidance showing winds turning more westerly and the flow should be strong enough to hold off the coastal onshore flow so the beaches too should get in on the action. Clear skies will continue through Sunday midday but some high clouds are likely as the trough passes through Sunday evening. Winds will go back to the NW behind the trough on Monday but temps. should stay in the mid 60's.

Red flag warnings for fire danger are likely on Saturday and Sunday with low afternoon relative humidities and the gusty winds. The dry vegetation is also a strongly contributing factor. Any brush fires could rapidly get out of control. A strong short wave aloft passes through Monday night and both the NAM and GFS are indicating some precipitation with this. Am going to put some pops into the 7 Day forecast for the 11. I have held off until now because the air is dry and I believed the guidance was overdoing it. Can no longer ignore it.

The rest of next week looks very breezy with a deepening upper low over the NE U.S. and this will keep winds from the W to NW and temps at or slightly below normal. Rain is possible with some fast moving disturbances in this pattern but timing is very difficult this far out. Clouds will linger Tuesday night into Wednesday and perhaps Thursday as moisture wraps around the strong upper Low over Newfoundland.

4:50 a.m. Friday, April 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Although the 12z model run must have shown cooler temps filtering in for the weekend, the 0z remains consistent w/ highs in the mid to upper 60s. With strong West winds by Easter, I do think we'll see some good compressional warming & a nice, mild (but windy) weekend. Speaking of the winds, look for them to blow 10-20 G 30 through the next few days, as the pressure gradient strengthens b/w the low offshore and the high to our West. Speaking of that strengthening low offshore...it should push North, then retrograde back into Eastern Canada, where it will most likely spin clouds, and slight chances of rain our way through the 1st half of next week.

After enjoying the mid to upper 60s for Easter weekend & Monday, highs will fall back to a little below average, in the upper 50s for the majority of next week.

4:17 a.m. Thursday, April 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like pretty much like clear sailing through the holiday weekend, as we're expecting lots of sun and breezy conditions through the Easter Sunday. We may see a few additional clouds across Southern Delmarva today & Good Friday, but expect more sun than cloud cover from now through the daylight hours of Easter Sunday. As Dan mentioned, the 1st half of next week could be interesting, with a an area of low pressure strengthening off the New England coast. As of now, the GFS & ECMWF keep a good bit of cloud cover and slight chances for wrap around showers in the forecast from overnight Sunday through the day on Wednesday. The CMC & NOGAPS are not quite as aggressive, with the low pulling out & slowly clearing skies for Tuesday & Wednesday.

Look for temps a degree or two below seasonal average today & tomorrow (around 60), with highs back into the mid to upper 60s for Easter weekend. The low to mid 60s return to begin next week, with highs potentially dipping back into the mid 50s by Wednesday.

10:34 p.m. Wednesday, April 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Salisbury reached 79 on Wed. Just 4 deg shy of the record. Ocean City was at 76 before a sea breeze brought temps back down to the low 60's. No rainfall across the area although thunderstorms were as close as Norfolk.

all of the guidance is advertising a much cooler airmass to arrive on Thurs. with highs nearly 20 degrees cooler. Winds will increase on Friday and Saturday as a reinforcing shot of cool air is brought down behind a strong upper level trough. Small craft advisories are likely Friday and into Saturday on area waters. While clouds will not be far away, we should stay sunny into the weekend and likely into Monday as well.

Next week is looking interesting with some of the longer range models trying to develop a strong nor-easter. This could give us some wind and heavier rains, but it looks now as if this is a rather far fetched possibility. It is worth monitoring and no doubt, next week will feel more like April should feel on Delmarva.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and cooler. Rain chance 0%. High:, 57-60. Winds: N 4-11 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and colder. Low: 37. Winds: N 3-10 mph.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny, breezy and cool. High: 54 Dover to 57 Salisbury. Winds: N 11-22 mph.

7:55 a.m. Wednesday, April 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No big time changes to the forecast. In fact, with the exception of Easter Sunday and Monday trending a bit cooler, forecast is right on track.

Look for a slim chance of a shower or storm this afternoon, with the cold front pressing just South of Delmarva. Most should experince lots of sun heading inti the holiday weekend, but folks across the South could see a few more clouds with the front laying up stationary South of Delmarva through Good Friday. Looks like lots of sun for the weekend, with clouds and slim chances of rain returning to begin next week. Actually one more little tweak to the forecast, as we may now see Monday's clouds and slight chances for rain spill on over into Tuesday. Since we had mostly sunny skies for Tuesday, I just split the difference, and changed it to partly cloudy.

After the low to mid 70s today, expect highs to fall back into the low to mid 60s Thursday through the beginning of next week. Temps appear to be a little cooler as we head into Tuesday of next week, with highs in the mid 50s.

11:40 p.m. Tuesday, April 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Clouds are returning as a weak cool front moves toward Delmarva. All of the numerical guidance agree that any rain amounts will be light and I kept the chance at 20% on the 7 day Tuesday. The west wind ahead of the front will push us into the low or even mid 70's tomorrow. The west wind will hold off the chilly air over the ocean and the beaches too will see a very mild April day.

Behind the front on Tuesday it will turn cooler with sunshine returning. Highs will likely struggle to reach 60 Thursday with lows in the mid 30's Thursday night. I see little if any cloud from Thursday through Sunday and temps should slowly moderate through the weekend. Winds may reach Small Craft Adv. levels behind the front on Thursday, but it is a close call.

The rainfall deficit since March 1st in Salisbury is now 3.54" and for the year -4.81" Georgetown DE is over 5 inches in deficit for the year.

SBY
wed thu
46 74 44 59

12:39 a.m. Tuesday, April 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The forecast looks good for the rest of the week but we will see some spotty showers with another fast moving (but rather weak) cool front. The dew points are low so this system will not be able to produce much if any precip. in most locations. New guidance tonight is a bit cooler for Wed. and Thursday and I dropped the temps a bit. Thursday may see temps in the upper 50's for highs with mid 50's from Dover Northward.

The weekend looks sunny with highs just a bit above average for this time of year. March was the 2nd warmest on record here in Salisbury. The only warmer March was 1945.

11pm numbers:

SBY
34-65
DOV
33-63
OCity
38-63

7:54 a.m. Monday, April 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little light rain out there overnight w/ rain totals <.25". The winds have already kicked in behind the front, and will continue to blow at 10-20 G 30 mph through the day. So even though we'll top out around 60, it will probably feel a couple degrees cooler, when you factor in the winds. We'll see lot of sun both today, and Tuesday...where winds should be much calmer. Speaking of the winds...not only will the blow at a pretty good clip today, but they'll also usher in some very very dry air, elevating our fire danger this afternoon. So its probably a good idea to avoid all out door burning until the winds calm tomorrow.

The clouds thicken up Wednesday, out ahead of our next potential wet weather maker. Our next slim chances of rain will come from a moisture starved cold front that will press through late Wednesday. As of now, expect less than a 20% chance of isolated showers or storms. The front does look like it will stall just South of our area for Thursday and Good Friday. So even though we're still calling for lots of sun for the end of the work week, if the front jogs just the slightest bit North, we could see a, few additional clouds, or maybe even an isolated shower across the extreme Southern sections of the peninsula. It looks like a reinforcing shot of dry air heads our way for the holiday weekend, keeping sunny skies in the forecast Saturday & Easter Sunday.

Tempertures will remain in the low to mid 60s today & Tuesday, with the low to mid 70s in the forecast for Wednesday. Behind Wednesday's front, temps will fall back into the low to mid 60s to round out the work week, and take us through Easter weekend.

5:28 p.m. Sunday, April 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Early to late evening tonight, a weak Low pressure area will move in from the Northwest pulling in a Cold Front boundary. Sunday's early evening clouds bring a chance of showers overnight into Monday morning with around .25" of precip. expected. Rain quickly ends early morning Monday and then it's back to a mostly sunny but windy day. Wind gusts Monday will be near 30 mph. High pressure for Monday and Tuesday build in with the next round of showers possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. The week ahead should finish out with sunny daytime skies and clear overnight conditions. Both daytime High and overnight Lows will average above normal once again for the week ahead. Rainfall will be under average for the week ahead. Easter, 2012, is only a week away. Sunrise for Easter Sunday is at 6:36 AM and (at this time) a High of 66 and sunshine for the day is expected.

 

 

It looks like a really nice day on Friday with only some thin high clouds. Clouds will increase on Saturday and it will become cloudy by late afternoon. Mainly cloudy conditions are likely Sunday, with some light passing showers possible. This will continue into Monday as well. An onshore flow will continue through Sunday and this means cool weather on the beaches with highs in the mid 60's. Inland temps will be 5-8 degrees warmer.
The pressure gradient will stay tight enough for a small craft adv. Friday for the Chesapeake and Atlantic waters. Seas of 5-6 ft. are possible in the Atlantic well offshore. I suspect a small craft. advisory will also be needed for Saturday as well. 

7:23 a.m. Thursday, August 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Thursday all,

Look for lots of sun today, with lower humidity levels. Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s through tomorrow, where we'll see our next cold front slide through. So look for a chance of late day showers and storms on Friday, with rain chances spilling over into thew weekend. Even though the front should be South of us Saturday, it appears it will remain in close enough proximity to deliver rain chances Saturday, Sunday,maybe even into Monday. We probably won't be talking a weekend wash out, but you may want to take the umbrella with you. Highs will fall back into the low to mid 80s this weekend, and remain there through the first half of next week.

7:24 a.m. Wednesday, August 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Wednesday all,

Today will be very similar to yesterday, as we track the same slow moving cold front pressing in from the West. Look for about a 40-50% chance of showers and storms, some of which could be severe. SPC has Delmarva under a "slight risk" for severe weather, meaning we'll see a roughly 15% chance of damaging winds, and/or small to medium hail.

Tomorrow high pressure filters in and provides lots of sunshine. The sun will be short lived however, with increasing clouds and rain chances returning late Friday and through the day Saturday, as our next cold front slide through. The front should provide a significant cool down for the weekend, and 1st half of next week. Some models hinting at the front stalling just South of the peninsula, keeping clouds and slim chances for showers (mainly South) in the forecast for Sunday and Monday.

Temps will be in the upper 80s to low 90s through Friday, with the low to mid 80s returning for the weekend, and much of next week

7:55 a.m. Tuesday, August 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Tuesday all,

We'll see moderate chances for some showers and thunderstorms today, as a cold front approaches from the West. Some storms that form could be strong to severe later this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has the Northern 2/3 of the peninsula under a "slight risk" for severe weather today. Looks like we'll see around a 15% chances of winds in excess of 60 mph, a 5% chance of small to medium sized hail, and a slightly elevated tornado risk (5% instead of the usual 2%). Rain chances will linger through the day tomorrow, before we see a short lived return of the sunshine Thursday. Another, more potent front will deliver shower and storm chances late in the day Friday, through Saturday, before skies slowly clear to wrap up the weekend Sunday.

Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s through Friday, with Heat Indies in the mid to upper 90s. Look for a shot of cooler dries air Sunday into Monday, as highs fall back into the lower 80s.

11:56 a.m. Monday, August 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Monday all,

Well, a quiet start to the work week, with temps maybe a degree or two above what we saw over the weekend. Humidity is a bit higher, so it feels a little more oppressive out there today.

A few high clouds today, with the clouds thickening out ahead or a weak warm/cold front combo that will head our way for tomorrow into Wednesday. Rain chances look slight both days, but as the low approaches late Tuesday we could see some strong, to possibly even severe storms. SPC has the majority of the peninsula under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow, with the greats threats being wind and hail. Expect better chances of showers and storms Friday into Saturday, as a more potent cold front swings through.

Temps will remain in the upper 80s to around 90 this week, and fall back into the low to mid 80s for next weekend.

6:23 a.m. Friday, August 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Happy Friday all,

No change to the forecast. A trough, followed by a cold front, will deliver chances for showers and storms today. SPC has Delmarva under a slight risk for severe weather today. Any serious threat for tornados should stay to our North, but will see about a 15% chance of destructive winds or large hail. We could see some heavy downpours, and hopefully we'll pick up 1-2" of rain before we start to dry out for the second half of the weekend.

With the exception of Tuesday, where we'll see a few clouds and slight chances for rain, expect lots of sun and seasonal air through the majority of the work week, next week.

10:47 p.m. Thursday, August 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the forecast with rain and thunder expected across the area over the next two days. We will see some sun but just about everyone should end up with some decent amounts of rain from .25 to 2 ". Some overnight rain is possible and it may also start rather early on Friday. A few cells may briefly reach severe limits but the risk of widespread severe is quite low. Sunday still looks mainly dry and winds will diminish. Winds Friday and Saturday will make area waters rather rough.

6:38 a.m. Wednesday, August 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Wednesday all,

Much like yesterday, we'll see a slim chance for a few scattered showers and storms. Although we could see a few locally downpours, most locations that do see rain today, should see <.25". Look for better chances for showers and storms as a slow moving front pushes through Friday into Saturday.

No big fluctuations in temps with highs ranging from the mid 80s to lower 90s over the next 7 days.

6:53 a.m. Tuesday, August 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Tuesday all,

Temperatures will hover right around average over the next 7 days, with highs 85-90, and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

A stationary front, which looks as if it will wash out as it slowly slides East, will provide hit or miss clouds and slight chances for rain through mid week. It appears we'll see better chances for showers and storms Friday through the 1st half of Saturday, as our next "cold" front slides through.

7:40 a.m. Monday, August 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Monday all,

Expect a chance for some showers and storms today, as a slow moving cold front sags South. Best chances/highest totals should come across the Central & Southern sections of the peninsula. The front will remain stationary just South of us tomorrow, keeping the clouds and slim chances for rain in the forecast for early Tuesday. Hope we can get .25-.5" of rain before we start to dry out heading into midweek. We'll see another slight chance of a scattered shower or storm Thursday, before better chances of rain move in to wrap up the work week on Friday. Next weekend, skies should clearing, with mostly sunny conditions expected by Sunday.

Do not expect much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs around 87 or 88 degrees each day, with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.


7:40 a.m. Monday, August 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good Monday all,

Expect a chance for some showers and storms today, as a slow moving cold front sags South. Best chances/highest totals should come across the Central & Southern sections of the peninsula. The front will remain stationary just South of us tomorrow, keeping the clouds and slim chances for rain in the forecast for early Tuesday. Hope we can get .25-.5" of rain before we start to dry out heading into midweek. We'll see another slight chance of a scattered shower or storm Thursday, before better chances of rain move in to wrap up the work week on Friday. Next weekend, skies should clearing, with mostly sunny conditions expected by Sunday.

Do not expect much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs around 87 or 88 degrees each day, with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

7:18 a.m. Thursday, August 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,

Rain chances should sit at about 10% today, and 20% tomorrow, with just slim chances of pop up storms associated with the heating of the day. Look for better chances of rain Sunday into Monday as our next cold front slides on through.

Temperatures should top out around 90 or just above through the weekend. So even though we'll technically be dealing with our 1st August heat wave....I'll take the low 90s over the low 100s any day!

11:31 p.m. Wednesday, August 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Sunshine for the next few days is a good bet and rather warm too with highs reaching the low 90's into Sunday. The long range guidance is advertising a cool front that will approach on Sunday increasing thunderstorm activity into Monday. There are also strong indications that the front will usher in some much drier air and cooler temps for much of next week. The Tropical Depression in the Atlantic looks rather ragged, and will not approach the East Coast even if it develops...


10:41 p.m. Wednesday, July 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A decent chance of some more rain and thunder over the area today as an upper level trough approaches. Behind this system on Thursday it will be sunny but isolated pop up storms will return Friday and Saturday. Confidence in the day to day rain chances remains rather low after Thursday but it does seem another system may bring more widespread rain by late Sunday into Monday. Today may be the hottest yet in the central Plains with 114 or higher possible.

7:56 a.m. Wednesday, July 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A few showers and thunderstorms out there this morning for the Southern half of the peninsula, and we'll see a 20-40% chance of additional showers and storm through the rest of today, and a good chunk of tomorrow, before rain chances bump up a bit tomorrow evening. Today's rain has been caused by a couple of lows sitting off the coast, but we'll see several troughs, fronts, and lows provide us with at least slight chances of rain through Thursday, before full sun returns Friday. It looks like clouds and rain chances make a quick comeback for the 1st weekend in August.

Temperatures should remain slightly below average today (mid 80s), with winds coming off the water. Tomorrow we'll shoot for the upper 80s to around 90, with the lower 90s holding steady for the remainder of the 7day.

10:54 p.m. Tuesday, July 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Weatherwise, a fairly easy forecast and it looks like Wednesday will be our best chance of thundershowers with up to 40% of the area getting some measurable rain. The rest of the week looks to bring highs near 90 or 92 with only isolated pop up storms.

9:36 a.m. Monday, July 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

7 of the 10 counties WBOC serves were under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point yesterday (Saturday 7/28) evening. Only Worcester, Somerset and Accomack Counties escaped the Warning however, the entire peninsula was under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch as issued by the National Weather Service from about 1pm until 10pm. Hail and high winds as well as some locally heavy downpours were noted. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's picked up 1.83 inches of rain. So, after a stormy Saturday, the rain chances for Sunday are not as promising. However, with a meandering stationary front to our South and an associated area of Low Pressure along the front, rain chances are possible. In fact at least a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms are in the outlook for the week ahead as the front will slowly lift back toward Delmarva as a Warm front and help usher in the humid moist air from the South. At this point the best chance for additional rain appears to be Wednesday. Drier conditions are in the current outlook for next weekend. Overall not as Hot or Humid for the week ahead.

9:36 a.m. Monday, July 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

7 of the 10 counties WBOC serves were under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point yesterday (Saturday 7/28) evening. Only Worcester, Somerset and Accomack Counties escaped the Warning however, the entire peninsula was under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch as issued by the National Weather Service from about 1pm until 10pm. Hail and high winds as well as some locally heavy downpours were noted. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's picked up 1.83 inches of rain. So, after a stormy Saturday, the rain chances for Sunday are not as promising. However, with a meandering stationary front to our South and an associated area of Low Pressure along the front, rain chances are possible. In fact at least a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms are in the outlook for the week ahead as the front will slowly lift back toward Delmarva as a Warm front and help usher in the humid moist air from the South. At this point the best chance for additional rain appears to be Wednesday. Drier conditions are in the current outlook for next weekend. Overall not as Hot or Humid for the week ahead.

6:56 a.m. Thursday, July 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

Good Wednesday all,

Cooler and much drier out there today, as North winds keep us a bit below average (mid 80s) today. Enjoy it while is lasts however! A dry warm front will lift over us tonight, allowing the mid to upper 90s, and higher humidity (Heat Indices 100-110) back into the forecast as we round out the work week. Saturday is also trending a little warmer, with highs in the low to mid 90s for the 1st half of the weekend. We should see the upper 80s return Sunday through the 1st half of next week.

Rain chances are not looking all that good over the next 7 days, with about a 30% chance of showers and storms Friday, and 20% chance Saturday, and maybe some additional slight chances for showers and storms for Tuesday of next week.

10:54 p.m. Wednesday, July 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A nice one day break from the highs in the mid to upper 90's today but the heat will return suddenly tomorrow and linger into Friday. A series of weak cool fronts will bring the temps. back down over the weekend and we may see a brief thunderstorm Friday afternoon and evening as the first one passes through. By Sunday and Monday we should see highs very close to the average if not a little below it for this time of the year.

John and Brian- check out the modules from COMET on Rip Currents. Some really interesting info on forecasting them. There are three overall on their website. I have done two now.

6:11 a.m. Wednesday, July 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,

Its going to be another blazing day on Delmarva, with highs in the mid to upper 90s, and Heat Indices 100-105! A cold front will deliver a chance for late day storms. Even though chances for storms will only sit at 30% or so, and storms that do form could be strong to severe in nature. SPC has us (and much of the Northeast) under a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon/evening; with the greatest threat being the potential for strong, damaging winds.

Highs will briefly fall back into the 80s tomorrow, before highs warm back into the low to mid 90s for Thursday and Friday. Rain chances, although appearing slight, will return Friday into Saturday. look for highs to dip a little for the weekend, with the more seasonal upper 80s to lower 90s returning to the forecast for Saturday & Sunday.

6:54 a.m. Tuesday, July 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good day all,

Well rain totals were disappointing over the weekend (Trace to .15" at the airports), as we picked up much less than forecast in most locations for both Saturday & Sunday. Expect a 20-40% chance of showers and storms through Tuesday, where a cold front will slide through and drop temps for the remainder of the work week. After a good bit of sun, and dry conditions for Wednesday & Thursday. rain chances return Friday into Saturday.

Temps today will be warmer that the weekend, and top out around 90. Even hotter for tomorrow, with the mid to upper 90s for tomorrow, before the front cools us back into the upper 80s to around 90 for the remainder of your 7day forecast.

6:25 a.m. Monday, July 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Some late day clearing on Sunday will cap off a mostly cloudy weekend. The departing stationary front and associated Low pressure which brought the cloud cover and light to moderate rain to Delmarva will be slowly moving out and simply diminishing overall as warmer air begins pushing in from the South. Compared to this weekend, a close to 10 degree jump in the daytime high will be noticed on Monday and Tuesday. The most favorable days for the week ahead in terms of outdoor activities under mild conditions will be Wednesday and Thursday. But, for a forecast week ahead that includes a little something for everyone, Friday will bring a chance of showers. Then, for Saturday and Sunday, at this point look sunny and able to appease the beach goers and outdoor enthusiasts who were unable to enjoy this past weekend to the fullest.

10:55 p.m. Thursday, July 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Confidence is very high tonight that we will see some locally heavy rain and thunder Friday into Saturday over all of Delmarva. Some strong storms are also possible on Friday. Sunday will be the drier day of the weekend but some lingering storms may pop in Accomack and Northampton counties of VA. Next week looks like a more normal week for late July with some thunderstorms possible Monday into Tuesday and then dry weather for the rest of the week with a slight drop in the humidity.

6:44 a.m. Thursday, July 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than rain chances continuing to stretch farther into the weekend, the forecast is right on track. As we talked about yesterday, it now looks like rain chances will spill on over into Saturday, and this morning's model run indicates rain for Sunday as well. So hopefully we'll squeak out 1-2" of rain before we finally start to dry out. Looks like more sunshine than clouds for the 1st half of next week, with some slight scattered shower chances on Tuesday.

Temperatures will make it into the low 90s today, fall back into the mid 80s for tomorrow and the weekend, and remain around average in the upper 80s to low 90s for the 1st half of next week.

11:11 p.m. Wednesday, July 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It was a hot and stormy afternoon/evening on Delmarva. Dover hit 103, and Salisbury and Georgetown both set records at 100. The heaviest rain was from the thunderstorm that crossed the Bay Bridge into Dover, with .25 to 1.25 inches along its path. Lighter amounts were recorded elsewhere, but the next couple of days will bring more rain and cooler temps. I have added rain chances to Saturday, based on late evening model data, but Sunday looks dry. It will not be as hot next week as a NW Flow aloft develops, and brings a series of weak cool fronts through the area. We will see some passing showers as well into next week, but the storms will be scattered.

Friday looks to be the wettest day of the next 7 as a low pressure center moves along the cool front near us.

7:19 a.m. Wednesday, July 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another hot one today, with a Heat Advisory in effect 11am-8pm. Temps will be in the upper 90s with Heat Indices 100-105. Expect 20% chance of showers and storms, with better chances of rain Thursday & Friday, as a slow moving cold front presses through. Much like yesterday, the models are calling for good chances for showers and storms, as we round out the work week. We could see some heavy rain, before the showers taper off early Saturday, and we dry out and cool down for the weekend (mid 80s)

11:41 p.m. Tuesday, July 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Am thinking that we will see some storms in the area by late tonight and again Thursday and Friday as this weak front moves through. Some storms could have a brief strong wind gust and some hail as well. There is very good agreement among the model guidance tonight and significant rain for the farmers appears likely over the next 48 hours. Next week will not be nearly as hot and I think we will see near normal temps for the next ten days after today.

7:39 a.m. Tuesday, July 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No big changes to the forecast, with extreme heat forecast for both today & tomorrow (highs in the upper 90s with Heat Indices 100-105).

We're still tracking the cold front off to our Northwest, which should arrive tomorrow. Some of the models hinting at a slightly earlier arrival of showers and storms, some don't be surprised to see a few storms as early as mid to late afternoon. We're still looking for better chances for showers and storms overnight Wednesday & through the day on Thursday, as the cold front slides off the coast. It looks like we may (hopefully) see a good dousing of rain as the front presses off the coast. Yesterday it appeared we'd see tons of sun for the 2nd half of Friday & the entire weekend. The models today were showing a few more clouds and rain chances for both the 2nd half of Friday & Saturday, as an area of low pressure along the front to our South, shifts East. I did not add the rain icon to the 7day since we had mostly sunny skies forecast as of yesterday, but we may have to if the trend persists. Regardless, it will feel much more comfortable, with the falling back into the mid 80s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

7:44 a.m. Monday, July 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see a slight chance for a few pop up showers and storms with the heating of the day, but rain chances will only sit at 20-30% today. Look for better chances for showers and storms, and possibly a good peninsula wide soaking rain late Wednesday through Thursday, as our next cold front slides on through.

Expect highs in the low to mid 90s today, with the mid to upper 90s for both Tuesday & Wednesday (Can anyone say "Beat the Peak"?)...factor in the humidity, and it will feel like 100-105. It will still be hot and muggy Thursday, with highs in the lower 90s. Look for cooler drier air to filter in for Friday and next weekend, with highs back into the mid 80s.

5:14 p.m. Sunday, July 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Saturday afternoon a combination waterspout – tornado was reported in Accomack County, VA. At about 1pm what was a waterspout in the Chesapeake Bay moved Eastward over land and by 2pm was in central Accomack County as a weak tornado. The National Weather Service will determine the velocity of winds however, an EF-0 (winds 65-85 mph) tornado would be most likely to have occurred. As of now, that determination has not been made. Weather Watcher Jan Manyfeathers reported 1.90 inches of rain during the storm as well as downed tree limbs but no injuries or property damage. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue through at least noon Monday. Locally heavy rain can occur as the result of some of these slow moving storms. We have not been under any treat of severe weather this past weekend from the National Storm Prediction Center. We will dry out on Tuesday but see the chance of more widespread showers late day Wednesday and through the day Thursday as a Cold Front drops in from the Northwest. Until the front pushes in, a Southwesterly flow will pump moist hot air in for another heat wave which began Sunday. Cooler and nice late week and next weekend.

11:16 p.m. Thursday, July 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Little change in the forecast with a few hit and miss storms expected Saturday and Sunday, but rain chances will be below 30%. The humidity and temperature will rise significantly over the weekend as well and it looks like highs may reach the mid 90's by the middle of next week. It is looking more likely that a cool front will bring a good chance of thunderstorms by Thursday and we MAY see some drier air return by next weekend with a drop in temps....

7:13 a.m. Thursday, July 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No change in the forecast, with a mix of sun and clouds, <20% chance of rain, and highs at or just below average through the end of the work week. We'll see scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms (in the 20-30% chance range) through the weekend, as highs climb back into the low 90s by Sunday. Expect the typical slight chance for a pop up shower or storm, as high hit the low to mid 80s for the 1st half of next week.

7:12 a.m. Wednesday, July 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is still on track, as the front just South of us continues to slowly creep Southward for the next 36-48 hours. Rain chances for us should remain below 20% for both today & tomorrow, before bumping up a bit Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, as the front retrogrades back across the peninsula, as a warm front.

Look for highs in the mid 80s both today & tomorrow, as NE winds keep us at or just below average. The winds will shift a bit, allowing the upper 80s to return for Friday & Saturday. Temps continue to trend slightly warmer to round out the weekend, and begin next week, as the low 90s return to the forecast.

11:31 p.m. Monday, July 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

I have dropped the rain chances just a bit based on the evening model guidance. Temps. look to be about the same as forecasted earlier and that means highs in the mid 80's. We should see a pretty quiet week weather-wise with the more active weather to our south along the stalled frontal boundary. Some hints of the heat trying to rebuild next week but too soon to say if it will get that hot.

NOAA released data today that the first 6 months of this year were the hottest ever measured in the U.S. We have lived through some real weather history...

9:21 a.m. Sunday, July 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A record Heat Wave involving past daytime High temperature's being broken, burn bans, water restrictions and even death is snapped on Monday. Salisbury, MD broke the previous record of 98 set on July, 7th 2010. 102 was the High for the day Saturday. Readings in the mid to upper 90's for daytime High's will be measured on Sunday however, shave another 10 degrees off that on Monday. A cooler air mass from the North will help to limit daytime heating for the entire Mid-Atlantic region.

Yes, after an 11 day heatwave we leave the 90's behind for the week ahead on Delmarva. However, the Cold Front that brings us the cooler air will linger in the region as a stationary front to our South and allow for rain chances into mid week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the next 48-72 hours possible as the unsettled pattern lingers. Look for more rain late in the week and some gradual clearing by the weekend.

10:15 p.m. Thursday, July 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We should see temps. remain a few degrees below 100 today but Saturday still looks to be a record breaker with an Exc. Heat Watch in effect. Heat indicies may reach over 110 from 1-6 p.m. Saturday. Some guidance is forecasting 105 degrees and while this may be bit high, the all time record high in Salisbury of 106 is possibly in jeopardy.

We did see some thunderstorms Thursday evening over the Centreville area and down to Milford. They were briefly strong with some hail and the intense heat broke the cap of warm air aloft preventing them earlier in the day. We could see the same Late Saturday and it is even more likely on Sunday as a cool front approaches Delmarva. This front will pass through by Monday and bring a decent chance of rain and thunder and even more importantly some cooler temperatures for next week.

The intense heat wave will weaken greatly across the country by early next week

6:11 a.m. Thursday, July 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The heat is obviously on once again today, with highs around 100, and Heat Indices b/w 100-110. A little front will provide a 20% chance of an isolated storm, and drop temps back into the mid 90s for our Friday. Saturday looks to be the hottest day of Summer thus far, with highs in the low 100s, with Heat Index Values over 110!

Sunday a more potent cold front will deliver a chance for showers and storms, knocking temps back into the mid to upper 80s for the 1st half of next week.

11:14 p.m. Wednesday, July 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The rest of the week looks to be quite hot and today will be the best chance for some rain and thunder as a weak surface trough passes into and through the area. The risk of widespread severe weather is low because the winds aloft are weak but we may see a few "pulse" storms that could briefly bring down some tree limbs.
From Thursday- Saturday highs will reach 95-99 degrees with heat indexes near 100 to 107.

Now some good news. The long range guidance is starting to agree that this heat wave will abate next week. The cooler air will be especially noticeable over the Northeast U.S. and a drop in humidity will be felt as well. Even the Midwest should see temps. drop a bit next week but the corn crop is in dire straits already and it may be too late to avoid severe crop losses there.

6:44 a.m. Tuesday, July 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

No big time changes to the forecast. As Dan mentioned, it looks as if the low to mid 90s will return to the forecast today through the upcoming weekend. Look for overnight lows in the lower 70s each night, needless to say, not too much fluctuation in temps for the next week.

Rain chances are not looking all that impressive today or tomorrow (20%/40%), with the slight chances continuing to drop as we head through the end of the work week. Sunday will bring additional chances for showers and storms, as our next cold front slides through...hopefully delivering much drier, and slightly cooler air to begin next week.

As of now I'd say we have a 30-40% chance of seeing a few showers or storms for prime time bbq time, and for the firework festivities tomorrow.

11:17 p.m. Monday, July 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A rather difficult forecast tonight. What does seem certain is that it will not be as hot this week as last and am forecasting highs of 93 for Tuesday and 95 on the 4th. We may very well see some afternoon and nighttime storms Wednesday night and they could have gusty winds but I doubt anything like Friday's "Derecho" event will happen. Trying to time any rain for the rest of the week is difficult but I suspect we might see some evening and overnight storms again. The winds aloft are out of the Northwest and northwest flow aloft always makes for a difficult forecast because it can bring late night storms. They can sometimes be quite strong.

Sunday is our next chance for a more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms and a cool front MAY bring some slightly less humid air to the area along with a few degrees less heat by Monday.

7:53 a.m. Monday, July 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Briane Keane

We had yet another round of severe storms overnight, across central Delmarva. Good news is that the storms we're not nearly as bad as the ones we had over the weekend. Both SBY & OC only registered around a quarter inch of rain, but there were likely some locally higher amounts, as we did see some brief heavy downpours.

Ran chances will persist with the heating of the day, and sit in the 20% chance range both today & tomorrow, with shower and storm chances bumping up to around 50-60% for the 4th. Unfortunately, it looks like our best chance of storms will come through the afternoon and evening, where most folks will be at backyard bbqs and firework celebrations. We'll most likely see a break in rain chances Thursday (still a slight chance), Friday, and Saturday, before chances for showers and storms return to the forecast Sunday. Speaking of Sunday, I went with partly cloudy on the 7day for now (was mostly sunny), but long range models look they're in pretty good agreement for shower & storm chances.

We'll see some slightly "cooler" air filter in for the next couple of days, with highs back down into the lower 90s. Look for the mid 90s Thursday, before highs dip back down to around 90 for next weekend. So even though is slightly less hot, it appears the heat wave will continue in most locations over the next 7 days.

5:00 p.m. Sunday, July 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

What a weekend! Friday, the start to the weekend, saw a record high temperature set in Salisbury – 101 degrees. The previous record of 98 was set in 1959. Numerous communities set or tied record high's as Delmarva sweltered under the intense temperature and heat indices. Early Saturday morning we witnessed Severe Weather on Delmarva, as high winds tore through and thousands were left without power. By first light Saturday morning a bit of some tree and limb clean up awaited many residents. Weather Watcher Bob Dann on St Michael's reported a wind gust accompanying the Derecho of 80 mph. Sunday we noted cooler temps with no Heat Advisories or Excessive Heat Warnings issued on Delmarva however, with the weekend behind us and those upper 90's readings from the weekend now gone, the mere 90 degree readings will come as a relief during the week ahead. A weak cold front will push through on Monday and drop temperatures back to near normal daytime High's. Through the mid week the Cold Front lifts back as a Warm Front over Delmarva and another front arrives Wednesday. As a result of the unsettled pattern look for a slim chance of showers (20-30%) throughout the week - so keep the umbrella handy. Have a Happy and Safe 4th of July which at this time looks like we could see some showers Wednesday.

11:32 p.m. Thursday, June 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Temp, eratures will soar into the upper 90's tomorrow as the intense heat wave in the Plains moves eastward. It will become more humid as well, and the night will also be much warmer. Some thunderstorms are possible late Saturday as an upper level low passes across the region. A weak sea breeze will bring temperatures down into the upper 80's on the immediate coast during the afternoons.

The heat will be much worse across the Bay on Virginia with highs reaching 102 and higher. The heat-wave should begin to lessen after Monday with temperatures dropping a few degrees and we may see some passing thunderstorms as well. Look for highs near 90 on the 4th of July.


6:21 a.m. Wednesday, June 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Well, after cool Tuesday, we'll see highs climb back into the more seasonal mid 80s today. Not warm enough for you? You won't be waiting long, with the low 90s back in the forecast for tomorrow, with the mid to upper 90s Friday through the beginning of the work week next week. Factor in the humidity, which will be on the upswing, and we'll be talking Heat Index Values 100-105 Friday through Monday.

High pressure will deliver tons of sun through the end of the week, with a few more clouds, and slight chances (<20%) of scattered showers over the weekend & to begin the work week, next week.

11:26 p.m. Tuesday, June 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It will be warmer today but the real heat will arrive tomorrow with highs climbing into the 90's. Mid 90's are still likely through Sunday but we will see some isolated storms late Saturday into Monday. Temps should come down a few degrees by Monday afternoon as well as this upper level high pressure ridge weakens.

The heat in KS and Colorado, and Nebraska reached all time highs on Tuesday. Denver was 105 which ties the highest ever observed there (old record was set yesterday!). McCook NE hit 114 which is the hottest ever observed there. Colorado Springs at an elevation of 7,000 feet hit 101. The wildfires in Colorado are showing up very clearly on the hi res satellite images this evening as well. As I write this the winds at Denver are still gusting to 40 mph...

We should miss the worst of this heat wave but it will reach 100+ as close as SW and southern VA.

10:31 p.m. Monday, June 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A much cooler and drier air-mass is now in place this morning and it will stay pleasant through tomorrow. After highs today only in the upper 70's, lows tonight will dip into the mid 50's. We will jump back into the low 80's on Wednesday but it will not be humid and a breeze will make it feel comfortable. The real weather story nationally this week is going to be some incredible heat. We will feel some of this ourselves by late week but areas to our south may see temps above 105 by late week and all time hottest temps. may be in jeopardy across the plains and Midwest.

I'm talking really hot...dangerously hot. In 33 years I have never seen a numerical weather model forecast over 115 degrees in the plains, but it is tonight.This is likely to be a major national news story by the weekend.

I bumped up the weekend temps for Delmarva to the mid 90's, but it might get hotter than that. No chance of rain until late week and then we will only see some very isolated late day pop up storms.


7:14 a.m. Monday, June 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A pretty potent cold front will swing through today, providing a chance for showers and storms. SPC has us under a "slight risk" for severe storms, with about a 15% chance of seeing damaging winds and/or small hail. Hopefully we'll see around .5" of rain on average, but my like Friday's storms, expect rain totals to be hit or miss & be very localized. Skies should clear, and barring any effects from TS Debby (which does not look likely), we'll see lots of sun Tuesday through Friday. Another cold front heads our way for the weekend, but rain chances look slight late Saturday into Sunday.

Look for highs back into the mid to upper 80s today, out ahead of the cold front. Tomorrow, expect the drier & cooler upper 70s. The mid 80s return Wednesday, with the low to mid 90s to wrap up the work week, and take us half way through next weekend.

6:14 a.m. Friday, June 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day of extreme heat, before highs dip back into the upper 80s for the weekend. Highs will fall even further, and dip into the lower 80s for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday of next week.

Today's cold front will deliver a chance for some strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe weather later today. Tornados & hail are not looking likely, but we should see around a 15% chance of damaging winds. Hopefully we'll pick up .25-.75" of rain on average, before we dry out for the weekend. Another, more potent front swings through Monday, dropping highs back into the lower 80s for the majority of next week.

11:28 p.m. Thursday, June 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It reached 99 in G'town on Thursday and broke the old record by 4 degrees. Salisbury broke a record for the second day in a row as well at 98.

The end of the heat wave arrives tonight with a cold front and the air will turn less humid as well by Saturday afternoon. A few storms tonight with the cold front may be strong with a brief wind gust to 55 mph. Timing wise, the cool front will not pass until after 11 PM Friday but a line of thundershowers ahead of it should reach Delmarva by late afternoon if not before.

A more significant cool front will bring some more rain for the farmers on Monday followed by some below normal temperatures and less humid conditions for Tue-Thur. of next week.

7:16 a.m. Thursday, June 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another scorcher across the peninsula today, with record setting heat most likely headed our way this afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 90s to around 100, with Heat Indices 100-110. We'll see a slim chance of a shower or two overnight through the 1st half of Friday, but rain chances are looking better (40% or so) through tomorrow afternoon and evening, where we could see a few strong to severe storms. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe storms tomorrow afternoon, with the greatest threats being strong damaging winds, and small hail.

Highs will fall back into the upper 80s for the weekend. After a lingering shower or two early Saturday morning, we should see a dry rest of the weekend. Rain chances return on Monday, as another, more potent front swings through. This will drop temps back into the upper 70s to lower 80s by mid week, next week

11:12 p.m. Wednesday, June 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Today will be the hottest of this early summer heat wave with highs between 97 and 100. A weak sea breeze will bring the beaches down to the mid 80's but only very near the coast. The good news is that forecast confidence is quite high in some rain and thunder Friday followed by a cool down to the mid 80's by the weekend. Another frontal boundary will get here late Monday with some more rain and then some drier and noticeably cooler air will flow into the region with a significant drop in the humidity.

Record highs on Wednesday in Georgetown and Salisbury with 98 and 97 degrees respectively. The record high for Thursday in Salisbury is 97 and this is most certainly in jeopardy. The record in Georgetown is 95 on Thursday and this is most certainly going to be surpassed. Wilmington broke a record that was 117 years old on Wednesday.

6:34 a.m. Wednesday, June 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

That just about sums things up for the next3 days, with highs in the mid to upper 90s, with Heat Indices ranging b/w 100-110 today through Friday!

After a good bit of sun over the next couple of days, a cold front will slide through providing clouds and a chance for showers and storms to round out the work week on Friday. The bulk of the weekend should remain dry, with just a slim chance for a lingering shower early Saturday. Sunday looks dry, with additional chances for showers and storms on Monday.

High temperatures will slip back into the upper 80s for the weekend, and fall back into the lower 80s by Tuesday of next week.

11:32 p.m. Tuesday, June 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The heat is on today with highs in the low to mid 90's and an air quality alert as well. This upper level high will weaken by Friday and an approaching cool front should kick off some scattered thunderstorms toward evening. The front will sag a bit to our south and temps will drop a bit into the upper 80's on both weekend days. Another frontal system will bring some rain back late Sunday into Monday and behind this system some clouds and cooler air are expected with highs back perhaps into the upper 70's.

Heat index values may reach 100 today and above 102 on Thursday. Thursday will be the hottest day by far over the next 7 days. Ozone levels may pass the federal standard over the area today and tomorrow.

5:32 a.m. Tuesday, June 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see temps a little more seasonal for the last full day of Spring, but look out cause Summer will arrive in full force, kicking off the season with our 1st heat wave (3 days with temps 90 or above) of 2012. Expect highs to reach from the low to upper 90s Wed. through Fri., with Heat Indices ranging b/w 100-110!!! Rain chances may return as early as late Thursday, but will most likely hold off until Friday, when our next "cold" front rolls across Delmarva.

Look for lots of sun, with highs back into the mid to upper 80s over the weekend, with clouds and rain chances returning to begin the work week, next week.

4:44 p.m. Sunday, June 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cooler than average weekend and moderate rip risk kept many folks out of the water at area beaches this past Fathers Day weekend on Delmarva. The average temperature of 83 for this time of year was 5-10 degrees under that value here for the last weekend of Spring 2012.

Minimal trace rain amounts could be realized over the Monday - Tuesday period. The models do not agree on timing or amount's. GFS has light to moderate rainfall -Monday afternoon only. HPC shows light rain - Monday and Tuesday and, The CMC shows no rain Monday and light to moderate rain Tuesday.

I've put a rain icon on the 7 Day on Monday and verbally mentioned on air "Rain chances are slim at 20-25%, any rain would be light under a tenth", and since rain is only indicated on Monday, I stated, - "could spill into Tuesday".

In addition to the Drought conditions the big weather headline for the week ahead will be going from the Low to mid 70's for weekend Highs skipping our seasonal average low 80's on all but Tuesday and going straight to the 90's by mid week! Summer will come in HOT and Humid.

10:05 a.m. Friday, June 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No changes to the weekend forecast. Unseasonably mild weather will hold through Sunday and then a warming trend will kick in. Lows will dip into the mid 50's again Saturday night with an onshore flow keeping the beaches in the low 70's. Dew points have dropped into the 40's under this dry Canadian air mass, something we see rarely by the middle of June. Rainfall deficits are now around 9 inches in the Georgetown area and no sign of rain for the next 7 days. The sunshine and low humidities will dry the soils out very quickly over the weekend.

4:31 a.m. Friday, June 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane


Not too much change in the forecast, with the exception of a few temperature trend & maybe a slightly better (but still very slim) chance of showers in the 7 day planner.

We're still expecting tons of sun for Father's Day weekend, but highs are trending a couple of degrees cooler (mid to upper 70s) for both Saturday & Father's Day on Sunday. Temperatures are still forecast to warm through next week, with models trending even warmer for Tuesday & Wednesday, where we should see highs climb from the mid 80s, back into the lower 90s.

Rain is still not looking likely over the next 7 days, but the longer range models are picking up on a few additional clouds and a slim chance of a passing shower or storm late Monday into early Tuesday...but I wouldn't hold your collective weather breath on this one.

6:43 a.m. Thursday, June 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No big time changes to the forecast, but models are trending a few degrees cooler for Father's Day weekend.

After a few clouds out there today, we should see abundant sunshine Friday through the beginning of next week. Look for high temperature in the mid to upper 70s through Monday, with the more seasonal low to mid 80s returning for Tuesday & Wednesday.

Although we may see a scattered shower or storm as we hit mid week next week, rain chances are not looking likely over the next 7 days

10:36 p.m. Wednesday, June 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A blustery day is on the way with winds reaching 25-30 miles per hour on the coast. Seas will build offshore to 7-9 feet and small craft advisories will likely remain in effect through tonight and perhaps into late Friday. Clouds should break up by midday if not before and a long stretch if sunny weather is on the way. The air will dry out and this will allow the nights to be comfortably cool into the weekend. Daytime highs will be near 80 through Sunday and with a gentle breeze and low humidity it will be very comfortable.

11:31 p.m. Tuesday, June 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rainfall totals have now approached an inch in several spots with nearly everyone else between .25 and .50 inches. This is almost exactly in line with what we forecasted and will help the crops out greatly. A cool front is now pushing through the area and will bring in a very pleasant air-mass that will linger through the weekend. Winds will be gusty today and tomorrow and the Atlantic and Bays will be rough. Small Craft Advisories will continue through tonight at least.


As the winds turn NE tonight clouds will roll back in and we may see some light showers inland and showers or even some drizzle on the coast. Highs will be below the average by about 3-5 degrees through Friday.

Online weather commentary and analysis by members of the WBOC Storm Tracker Team.

11:12 p.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.
We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.

We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

11:12 p.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.
We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer developing, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

The evening guidance is coming in and it still looks like a good soaking on Tuesday and especially Tuesday evening across the area. Rain totals vary widely between the different numerical models and range from a quarter of an inch to over 2 inches is some spots. Since this is a deep layer of tropical moisture, a, and the models often underestimate rain from these systems, am leaning toward the heavier, side as of now. This same system dumped 22 inches of rain in Pensacola over the past weekend. Right now rain amounts of .25 to .75" will be widespread but local amounts of 1.5-2.0 inches are certainly possible.

We should see the rain move out by early Wed. but as a low develops on the coast Wednesday night the flow will turn NE and increase considerably. With a deep marine layer deve, loping, clouds may very well rule the day Thursday. Some spotty showers and drizzle along the coast also possible for late Wed. into early Thursday. With all this in mind, I am trimming the highs back from what the MOS numbers (Model guidance) are showing (and what I forecasted for the early newscasts).

By Friday, the sun should return with a pleasant air mass lingering into the weekend. Highs will reach the low 80's with lows in the low 60's. Downright pleasant actually!

7:31 a.m. Monday, June 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day in the mid 80s, then we'll fall back into the upper 70s to lower 80s through next weekend.

Expect increasing clouds today, out ahead of an area of low pressure to our South & a cold front to our West, that will merge & deliver our next chance of rain. We could see a few showers overnight, but rain chances look better for the 2nd half of Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. As of now, it appears we'll pick up anywhere from .5-! of rain before we start to dry out by the 2nd half of Wednesday.

3:57 p.m. Sunday, June 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

After a weekend that saw a taste of summer-like weather with the mercury topping the 90 degree mark in several communities both Saturday and Sunday, some relief is in sight for the week ahead. Both cooler temperatures and rain chances are in store for one of the remaining weeks of spring 2012. Some very moist air from the south will move toward Delmarva and interact with a cold front from the west on Tuesday night. This combination could produce some locally heavy downpour as thunderstorms are probable. Much needed rainfall will be welcomed as especially for portions of Kent and Sussex counties which are now in the severe drought status. Daily High temperatures for the week ahead will be in the upper 70's to low 80's, more of the average seasonal high for this time of year.

11:29 p.m. Friday, June 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the forecast with highs well into the 80's this weekend. It looks like the dew points will stay in the 50's on Saturday and then climb into the 60's on Sunday. A wind shift to the SE will bring temps. on the beaches back into the 70's on Monday with inland temps. dropping a bit as well to the low to mid 80's. Showers also are still on track for the middle of next week.
11pm numbers:

SAT: 59-88 Sunny

SUN: 65-89 Sunny

MON: 66-84 Mo. Sunny

TUE: 67-85 Mo. Sunny 20%

WED: 69-84 Pt sunny 40%

THU 68-83 40%

FRI: 66-83 20%

5:54 a.m. Friday, June 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No change to the forecast. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies today through the beginning of next week, with highs in the mid 80s to around 90. Saturday & Sunday will be the warmest days of the next week, with Heat Indices in the mid 90s! Highs will remain in the mid 80s next week, with rain chances holding off until Wednesday & Thursday.

11:53 p.m. Thursday, June 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A few passing thunderstorms today produced some light rain, lightning and a couple reports of a few passing storms produced some pea sized hail in Dover and Mardela Springs. Showers, which were not reported exceeding .20" in area communities have wound down and clearing skies will take place overnight. A cool Friday with NW winds but the 84 degree High will seem mild compared to Sunday when the mercury will hit 89. With summer now less than 2 weeks away, look for the summer like heat to crank up as Sunday the Heat Index for Salisbury is expected to hit 93 degrees. The Low to our North that has spun off cloud cover and the threat of rain all week is pulling away and yielding to High pressure building in for Friday. A cloud Sun mix but little moisture for the weekend so going with no rain! The next significant rain is looking like Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

10:22 p.m. Wednesday, June 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A weak trough will bring a little better chance of some passing showers Thursday afternoon. Mainly between 2 and 9 p.m,. After this system passes, a NW breeze will keep conditions comfortable and dry on Friday but it will be a bit warmer. The weekend still looks quite warm with temps. rising into the mid 80's. It will turn much more humid as well and winds will be westerly which will hold off the cool air over the Atlantic. This means highs will at least briefly reach the mid 80's as well but a weak afternoons ea breeze will likely come in during the late afternoon. Our next chance of rain will come late Wednesday into Thursday as the high pressure ridge weakens a little..

THU: 54-78 PC 30%

FRI: 58-83 Mainly sunny

SAT: 59-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-87 Sunny

MON: 69-88 Sunny

TUE: 69-88 Mo. Sunny

WED: 70-87 Pt sunny 20%

5:22 a.m. Wednesday, June 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than temperatures continuing to trend a little warmer for the end of the week & weekend, no changes to the forecast.

Expect a 20-30% chance of a few scattered showers through Thursday, then mostly sunny skies can be expected Friday through Tuesday.

Temps will remain in the low to mid 70s today, with the upper 70s returning Thursday. We should see highs in the mid 80s to around 90, with higher humidity Friday through the first few days of next week.

11:12 p.m. Tuesday, June 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Little changes to the forecast with a slow warming trend kicking in on Wednesday. Highs will reach 80 by Friday and the humid conditions we normally see by June will return in full force by the weekend. There may be a few hit and miss showers again today or tomorrow but after that no rain is likely until the middle of next week- at the earliest. The coastal flood warning is unlikely to be reissued again on Wednesday. Water levels were about one foot above normal high tide on Tuesday night.

THU: 55-78 PC 25%

FRI: 60-82 P Cloudy 20%

SAT: 63-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-86 Sunny

MON: 68-88 Sunny

TUE: 66-87 Mo Sunny

7:44 a.m. Tuesday, June 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like an upper level low sitting off the coast will spin a few clouds, along with slight chances of rain our way over the next few days. Rain chances & amounts are not looking all that impressive, with roughly a 20% chance of seeing around .1" of rain today through Thursday. Looks like we'll dry out and warm up for next weekend, with tons of sun returning.

After highs struggle to hit 70 today, we'll see a slow & steady warm up. Expect temperatures back into the upper 80s to around 90 by Sunday. Models are trending a good bit warmer/hotter as we round out the weekend.

11:27 p.m. Monday, June 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another coastal flood warning is likely on Tuesday, and tide models are indicating the levels may be a bit higher than they were Monday night. Tides were around 1.5 feet above normal at high tide near the Delaware Bay on Monday night and near 1 foot above on the Maryland coast and bays.

The unusually cool weather will be very noticeable on Tuesday with highs not reaching 70 in most locations on Delmarva. Winds will be a little less gusty than Monday but breezy conditions will continue. We had more rain than I expected across Delaware and all of northern Delmarva on Monday evening. Timing these quick passing showers will be difficult in this type of pattern, but the rain will in general be less than .25 inches. Tomorrow will be the same with the better chance of rain north of a Cambridge-Bethany Beach line.

5:05 p.m. Friday, June 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 6PM SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL 11 PM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE. MINOR ROADWAY FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IS ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING. TIMING...HIGH TIDE ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT IS BETWEEN 7 PM AND 9 PM.

The week ahead is a roller coaster of temperatures and sky cover. The ability to pinpoint shower activity is tricky and so rain chances have been put at about 30% over the period. Forecasting the timing and rain amounts rests with an upper level Low spinning off several short waves. The unsettled weather pattern will continue for most of the week. Even though the various forecast models are very inconsistent, one thing that can be determined from the week ahead is that we do have a slim chance of showers each day. CMC and GFS do not agree however, HPC shows light rain through the 5 day period. Rainfall, with the exception of a downpour in a thunderstorm for the most part, would be light in intensity through Wednesday. A passing thunderstorm, especially in the afternoon for the week ahead is possible. Daytime High's will drop back to below the seasonal average value of 79 degrees. So look for considerable cloudiness and light rain chances through the week ahead. Tuesday is the coolest day ahead with a High of 71 degrees but by Saturday we are back to 85. Moving forward, we will all be ready for a sunny weekend.

11:49 p.m. Thursday, May 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The tornado watch expired at 2 AM and a (unusually strong for June) cool front is bringing in a much more stable airmass to Delmarva. The air will dry out with dew points dropping from the muggy 65-70 degree point all the way down into the low 50's by Saturday afternoon. It will be breezy through the weekend and even more so on the waters. The only real question forecast wise is the chance of some light rain near dark Sunday. I'd put the odds at 1 out of 3 but John Trout may drop it all together if the new guidance looks better.

Next week will be fairly mild with highs at or below normal for early June. We will see showers at times as upper level low pressure centers rotate around an unusually strong trough in the upper atmosphere over the Northeast U.S.

5:26 a.m. Thursday, May 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like we'll see a chance for some showers, and possibly strong storms as we begin June/hurricane season 2012. SPC has us under a slight risk for severe weather today. The percent chances of strong winds & hail look to be about the norm ( 30 & 15%), but the upper level dynamics look slightly better than usual for possible tornados. Usually we see about a 2% chance of twisters here on Delmarva. Late this afternoon, more likely into the evening hours, chances may be as high as 10% across the Western half of the peninsula. We should see rain (.25-.75" on average) taper off early Saturday, with a mix of sun and clouds in the forecast for the remainder of the weekend.

Next week is looking a little sloppy, with rain chances returning to the forecast. Although the chances for rain generally don['t look all that impressive, we'll see at least a slight chance of rain Monday through Thursday next week.

High temperatures will hover around seasonal over the next 7 days (75-80), with lows bottoming out arouns 60.

11:10 p.m. Wednesday, May 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A warm front will bring more humid weather on Friday and winds will increase out of the south with gusts over 25 by late afternoon. A line of thunderstorms will move across Delmarva with some locally heavy downpours. The storms should not likely get here before 6 pm and most likely from 9pm through 5 am. Skies will clear quickly on Saturday morning behind the front with lower humidity and west wind. This will not be a good weekend for boating with winds over 15 mph on area waters through Sunday. Clouds may return with hit and miss showers early next week but a rather mild airmass will remain over the area for much of the week. I should note that the Storm Prediction Center has Delmarva in a slight risk area on Friday and a few storms could have gusty winds.

5:51 a.m. Wednesday, May 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A cooler day on tap, yet still a few degrees above average, with highs in the lower 80s, Not too much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs generally in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

We'll see rain chances taper off as we progress through the day, as a cold front continues to very slowly press off the coast, knocking the remnants of Beryl out into the central Atlantic. We'll dry out with tons of sun for Thursday, but rain chances return as we close out the work week, and head into the weekend. A cold front will slide through overnight Friday into early Saturday delivering another decent shot at showers and storms. The extended forecast is a little sloppy, with several disturbances in and around the vicinity, keeping at least a slim chance of rain in the forecast through the 1st half of next week.

11:30 p.m. Tuesday, May 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Thunderstorms moved into the area pretty much on schedule this evening but they are weakening and there is no risk of severe weather. Rain amounts will be around .25 to .75 inches in most areas. We may see some scattered showers and a few hit and miss storms on Wednesday afternoon as well with some sunshine as well. Temps. will be about ten degrees cooler than Tuesday and some drier air will flow in with blue skies on Thursday. Clouds will return with rain and thunder Friday night into early Saturday.

It now looks as if we will see clearing skies by mid morning Saturday and the rest of the weekend looks dry and pleasant with highs in the 70's! Meteorological summer begins on Friday by the way!

5:46 a.m. Tuesday, May 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another scorcher out there today! Highs will hover around 90 inland, with Heat Indices in the mid to upper 90s this afternoon. No advisories as of yet, but I sure wouldn't be surprised to at least see a Beat the Peak alert this afternoon.

Temps will be a bit cooler tomorrow, with additional cloud cover and rain chances returning to the forecast as a cold front slides through. Actually rain chances will return as early as this evening, but look much better past midnight tonight. Expect a good chance of rain through Wednesday morning, with chances for storms lingering through Wednesday evening. Models are a bit at odds on when exactly the rain will wrap up, just know that rain chances will be diminishing through the afternoon into the evening on Wednesday. On average, most locations will hopefully see .25-.75" of rain before we dry out to end the work week.

This front will help nudge Beryl farther out to sea. Beryl right now is a depression over Florida, and is expected to strengthen as it heads back out over the open ocean. As of now, Beryl should have little to any effect here on the peninsula.

Once again, the models are a little at odds on up coming rain chances. It certainly looks like we'll see some decent rain chances over next weekend. The GFF & ECMWF show rain Saturday, with clearing for Sunday. The CMC keeps things dry for Saturday, with heavy rain in the forecast for Sunday. Guess we'll have to wait a little closer to the weekend, to get a better handle on which scenario will pan out.

11:27 p.m. Monday, May 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another hot one is on the way for Tuesday but rain and some thunder will arrive overnight as a weak cool front approaches. A few locations will get a good soaking of nearly an inch of rain from these cells. The hot weather has increased evaporation rates considerably, so this rain is much needed by the farm community. Some drier air (and a little cooler) will arrive on Thursday afternoon but it looks like more rain on the way by late Friday and into Saturday. We should see no real effects from Tropical Depression Beryl although a small craft advisory remains in effect on the Atlantic and Chesapeake waters as winds will be rather gusty from the SW again on Tuesday.

The west winds allowed the temperatures to reach the mid to upper 80's on the beaches Monday and it may get as warm or warmer today. The rest of the week will not be as warm.

Note: Steve Mclvain in Millsboro has a good quality weather station and has offered to supply some data via email. I have added Millsboro in Sussex County onto the weather watchers map.

3:56 a.m. Monday, May 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The stalled frontal boundary to our North will eventually continue Northward as a Warm Front keeping showers away from Delmarva for your Memorial Day plans. Recreational boaters will note fairly calm waters and light winds today. Boaters should keep an eye on Tropical Storm Beryl and be alert to changing local conditions. A Southwesterly air flow will continue to funnel in unseasonably warm conditions today as we average 8 degrees above normal the next 2 days. Showers enter the picture just in time for the end of the long weekend. A Cold Front from the West will slowly move toward Delmarva throughout the day on Tuesday with the potential for late day thunderstorms then delivering rain through a better part of the day Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to be off shore from Delmarva Wednesday into Thursday but does not appear to be a weather maker on the peninsula. the latest forecast fan does not include Delmarva so little if any effect would be felt on shore however mariners and watermen will want to remain alert as watches and/or warnings on area waters may be issued. Potential storm surge inland especially during High Tide could be noted as well as Rip current and wave height increases. However the most likely scenario has the storm downgrading to a Tropical Depression when it's path is closest (way out at sea) to Delmarva.

11:14 p.m. Friday, May 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Subtropical storm Beryl formed in the Atlantic about 11 PM Friday night. The subtropical designation indicates that it is not fully tropical..it will likely become so and a Tropical Storm Warning is now posted from Volusia County FL to Edisto Beach in S. Carolina.
 
6:53 a.m. Friday, May 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane
Even though we may be dealing with our 2nd named storm of the season that has yet to begin, NOAA thinks hurricane season will be about average.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center says there's a 70 percent chance of nine to 15 named storms (with top winds of 39 mph or higher), of which four to eight will strengthen to a hurricane (with top winds of 74 mph or higher) and of those one to three will become major hurricanes (with top winds of 111 mph or higher, ranking Category 3, 4 or 5). Based on the period 1981-2010, an average season produces 12 named storms with six hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.

If Beryl does form this weekend, it should remain far enough out to sea to have little if any effect on Delmarva.

The unofficial start to the Summer season is going to feel pretty official, with high humidty & temps close to 10 degrees above average. We should see more sun than clouds through Memorial weekend, with our, next best chance of rain holding off until Tuesday & Wednesday of next week.

5:22 a.m. Thursday, May 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No Internet this morning, so from what I could deduce from the tiny little screen on my phone, not too many changes headed our way over the next 7 days. Highs will top out in the mid 80s almost each and every day over the next week, with overnight lows only fluctuating a degree or two each side of 65.

The tail end of a stationary front will provide roughly a 20% chance of showers and storms today, with about a 30% shot tomorrow. Although we most likely won't see any organized rain events over the holiday weekend, it does now appear we may see a few more clouds, with a front approaching from the Northwest, and an area of low pressure just off the coast. Since we'll have lots of heat energy in place, expect around a 20% chance for a pop up shower or storm just about each afternoon through Memorial Day, with maybe a slightly better chance of rain by mid week, next week.

11:13 p.m. Wednesday, May 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The only real worry in the forecast is for the fog in the morning. It looks like the winds will stay up just enough to keep it from being as dense and widespread as it was early Wed. but some areas may see some dense patches.

A few scattered storms will redevelop on Thurs. afternoon and a couple may be briefly heavy with frequent lightning. Isolated storms are possible on Friday but they will likely be far fewer and it will be warmer. Saturday through late Monday looks warm with sun and cloud. There is still the risk of a thunderstorm cluster late Monday with the NW flow around the strong upper level high being a favored location for these things. All in all the odds are low, and forecasting these kind of things 4 days out is next to impossible.

Salisbury climate stats for Wed. 23 May. Notice we are still over 4 inches below since Mar 1:
WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                      VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                        NORMAL              .................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F)                                                       TODAY                                                                  MAXIMUM         81    217 PM  96    1925  75      6       84          MINIMUM         64    636 AM  33    2002  54     10       64          AVERAGE         73                                                                                                                       PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                      TODAY            0.01          1.80 1951   0.13  -0.12     0.11       MONTH TO DATE    2.24                      2.60  -0.36     1.64       SINCE MAR 1      6.33                     10.57  -4.24     6.87       SINCE JAN 1     12.02                     17.53  -5.51    11.59    

8:25 a.m. Wednesday, May 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Some dense fog out there this morning, and we could see a repeat performance tomorrow morning as well.

We're still expecting a chance for showers and storms , both this afternoon & tomorrow as a couple of areas of low pressure sit along a dying stationary front just to our West. Rain chances will sit at about 20-50% today, and 10-30% tomorrow. If you do happen to see rain,don't expect more than .25" each day. We may see a few clouds linger Friday, but the rain should be out of here to wrap up the work week.

Although its still likely the weekend will be packed with sun, the GFS did show a few more clouds (and even slight chances for rain) Sunday & Memorial Day. The other models we're looking as certain concerning the cloud deck either, so I went with partly cloudyt skies for the 2nd half of the holiday weekend. Most likely rain chances will hold off until at least Tuesday of next week.

It still appears we'll end the work week in the mid 80s, with the mid to upper 80s ion the forecast Sunday & Memorial Day Monday.

11:27 p.m. Tuesday, May 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

An upper level low will bring an increasing chance of rain to the area Wed. and Wed. night. A few claps of thunder are also possible and for those directly under one of the heavier showers, a half an inch of rain is possible. Most locations will see far less though. Winds will be light through the weekend and great for the boaters!
High pressure builds in on Friday, and the weekend looks great with sun and cloud. Temperatures will reach the low 80's and perhaps mid 80's in some interior areas. Beaches will see mid 70's or warmer.
The 11 PM numbers:

WED: 63-78 Pt. Sunny 50%

THU: 63-81 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 63-83 Mo.Sunny
SAT 64-84 Sunny

SUN: 66-84 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (20%)

An upper level low will bring an increasing chance of rain to the area Wed. and Wed. night. A few claps of thunder are also possible and for those directly under one of the heavier showers, a half an inch of rain is possible. Most locations will see far less though. Winds will be light through the weekend and great for the boaters!

High pressure builds in on Friday, and the weekend looks great with sun and cloud. Temperatures will reach the low 80's and perhaps mid 80's in some interior areas. Beaches will see mid 70's or warmer.

The 11 PM numbers:

WED: 63-78 Pt. Sunny 50%

THU: 63-81 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 63-83 Mo.Sunny
SAT 64-84 Sunny

SUN: 66-84 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (20%)

5:09 a.m. Tuesday, May 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Most locations dodged the rain yesterday, with showers and t'storms for folks in DC/Baltimore, and for our neighbors to the North, in NJ. Today will bring another 30-40% of a few scattered showers and storms, as an upper level low off to our West, and a weak cold front draped across the Ohio River Valley team up to create an unstable air mass. We'll keep the partly to mostly cloudy skies & slight chances for showers and storms in the forecast for Wednesday & Thursday as well. High pressure will move in for the end of the work week & the up coming holiday weekend.

The upcoming Memorial Day weekend is looking pretty nice! Although it won't be as hot as last year, highs are trending a bit warmer for Sunday & Memorial day, where inland locations should be back into the upper 80s Sunday & Memorial Day Monday. So it looks like tons of sun, with highs 10-15 degrees above average for the holiday weekend.

11:39 p.m. Monday, May 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rain chances will not be all that high but we will see some spotty showers through Thursday with a rather unsettled weather pattern. An upper level low will slowly move away by Friday and bring sunshine and warmer weather for the weekend and Memorial Day. The weekend is still a ways out so this could still change but confidence is moderate. After next Monday, a rather wet and stormy pattern may develop.

11 p.m. forecast:

TUESDAY: Partly Sunny with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. High 79 (Beaches 70). Wind: SW 5-11 mph. Rain amounts .05-.25". Rain chance at any one spot 50%.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy with a few passing showers about. Low 63. Wind: S 1-6 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers possible. Rain chance 50%. High 80 (Beaches 74). Wind: SW 5-11 mph

THU: 63-82 Pt.sunny 40%

FRI: 64-84 Mo.Sunny
SAT 65-85 Sunny

SUN: 66-85 Sunny

MON: 66-85 Mo. Sunny (10%)

FYI: Climatological chance of rain on Memorial Day in Salisbury is 41%. Hottest ever was last year at 95 degrees! I can guarantee this one will not be that hot

6:35 a.m. Sunday, May 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Tropical Storm Alberto formed this past Saturday, May 19, 2012 off the coast of the Carolinas. Alberto is the earliest-forming tropical storm in the Atlantic basin since Ana in 2003. This is also the first time a tropical storm has formed before the official start of the hurricane season. Ironically, a day before (this past Friday), I received an e mail that stated NOAA will be releasing its 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction "next week". Thursday, May 24 at 11 a.m. you'll be able to see the official outlook from NOAA as to their idea of what the season holds. The impact of Alberto does not even appear to be minimal for Delmarva or the East Coast at this time (Sunday, May 20, 6:30 AM) with the exception of area waters and beaches perhaps as advisories and/or warnings with impacts to rip current and/or maritime conditions may be issued. Regardless, the public will want to know how this "early Tropical Storm, if at all, will effect the long range outlook when Thursday's announcement is made.

A dreary week ahead includes a 30% chance of rain for a better part of the week. Sunday and Monday the rain-maker is a Stationary Front and Low pressure off the Atlantic Coast. Monday night through Tuesday rain is likely due to an upper level Trough swinging in from the Northwest. For the remainder of the week the rain chances at 30% and unsettled pattern continue as the combination of the possibility of Alberto and an approaching Cold Front from the West provide rain chances. All in all, look for Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies for a good portion of the week but, temperatures will begin to climb into the 80's and by the weekend, which appears to look promising for a return to sunshine, we could see mid 80's.

11:07 p.m. Friday, May 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Clouds will increase Saturday night and Sunday will bring a mix of cloud and sunshine with some showers possible. Rain amounts will be very light and it will continue to be rather breezy. Onshore flow will keep the beaches cooler with highs in the mid to upper 60's. Late data tonight continues to indicate a fair amount of sun on Sunday.

There is also a chance for more showers Monday into Wednesday as an upper level trough develops over the Mid-Atlantic region. , and there is higher than normal forecast uncertainty during this period.


6:24 a.m. Friday, May 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We're still expecting an area of low pressure (currently located off the North Carolina coast) to meander just off shore over the weekend and the 1st couple of days next week, before a little cool front swings through & clears us out late next week.

As of now it looks like we'll see increasing clouds tomorrow, with less than a 20% chance of showers late in the day. Rain chances will bump up to 30-40% for Sunday and much of next week. Showers that we do receive through Tuesday should not amount to all that much (.25" or less) on any given day. Rain totals could bump up a bit mid week, with chances for t'storms re-entering the forecast, before we clear out & dry out for the end of next week.

With the low sitting offshore through the beginning of next week, we'll most likely see an onshore flow, keeping things relatively humid with highs in the mid 70s. High temps will warm back to around 80 for mid to late next week.

11:08 p.m. Thursday, May 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

 There is finally some agreement among the weather models late this evening and confidence in the weekend forecast is now rising.

5:40 a.m. Thursday, May 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like some changes to the forecast....

We should still round out the work week with lots of sun & cooler (seasonal) temps, but the weekend forecast may include a good bit more cloud cover than originally anticipated, and possibly even some rain chances. Basically, an area of low pressure now looks like it will be forming out over the open waters of the Atlantic, and possibly retrograding back to the West, delivering clouds and rain chances to the forecast. Since the 12z runs yesterday was really the 1st hint of clouds and rain, I just went with partly cloudy skies for the weekend to avoid a super dramatic change to the 7day, but may add the rain icon tomorrow, as the CMC, WRF, ECMWF (GFS still dry) are now showing chances for rain both Saturday & Sunday. The forecast for next week appears to still be right on track, with slight chances for scattered showers Monday, with rain chances bumping up towards mid week.

Highs will remain in the lower 70s today & tomorrow, with highs rebounding back into the upper 70s to around the 80 degree mark Saturday through mid week next week.

10:48 p.m. Wednesday, May 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A cool front will come through overnight and bring in some drier and more stable air for the rest of the week. Skies will clear tomorrow, and mainly sunny and pleasant conditions will continue through Friday. The upcoming weekend may see an increase in cloudiness but there is considerable uncertainty as of now. I suspect that we will not see any weekend rain but the forecast will be a lot more clear tomorrow.

The high in Salisbury was 84 on Wednesday- a full 11 degrees above the average high for the date. We also had a peak alert from the Delaware electric coop. No repeat of that today with highs a good 10-15 degrees cooler. The onshore flow will keep beaches in the mid 60's through Saturday at least.

A haze of smoke is stretching from TX to Michigan from forest fires in Asia! The smoke is at high altitudes and at times visible on the GOES satellite images. Unlikely we will see it here and if it does pass over, it may not be noticeable other than a slight haze in the sky.

7:33 a.m. Wednesday, May 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We may catch a scattered shower through mid afternoon, as a trough continues to press off the coast. However, showers and storms chances are looking a little better (30-40%) this afternoon and evening, as a cold front swings through. Expect clearing skies, tons of sun, and drier/cooler air (mid 70s) for the end of the work week. The sun will persist over the weekend, with highs back into the lower 80s. Expect increasing clouds to begin next w, week, with rain chances returning by Tuesday.

11:14 p.m. Tuesday, May 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Note: The Small Craft Adv. have all been dropped now. There is no risk of severe weather overnight but some rain is likely.

A few more scattered thunderstorms may develop ahead of a cool front on Wednesday, but a significant cool down with much lower humidity is on the way. A cool front will usher in a dry and stable airmass for Thursday and it will linger through the weekend. I actually see little chance of rain until later on Tuesday and even then the showers will be widely scattered. Rain amounts early Tuesday were around a half an inch in most areas and a few spots had close to an inch.

NOAA has the global temps for April out- 5th warmest on record (past 133 years). Ocean temps worldwide were the second warmest on record.
Tuesday night numbers below:

WED: 66-82 MC 30%.

THU: 58-73 Sunny and less humid.

FRI 49-74 Sunny and pleasant.

SAT 53-76 Sunny

SUN 55-79 Sunny

MON 58-79 P-C

TUE 60-78 PC 30%

9:29 p.m. Monday, May 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A decent amount of rain is likely on Tuesday ahead of a weak cool front. Rain amounts will range from .25 to .5 inches with a few spots getting a bit more. No risk of severe weather but there may be some thunder on Tuesday afternoon. Skies will start clearing on Wednesday with some iso. showers and then sunshine is on tap for the rest of the week as a drier air mass follows the front. Highs will range from 73 Thursday, climbing into the upper 70's by Sunday.

6:57 a.m. Monday, May 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A few scattered showers out there this morning, but rainfall should be light in intensity today, with heavier rain headed our way overnight and through the day on Tuesday. We'll continue to monitor a slow moving area of low pressure, as it slowly tracks in from the Southwest. It will most likely deliver less than .25" of rain today, with .5-1" expected through the day tomorrow. Although no organized severe weather is expected, we'll see a slim chance of t'storms this afternoon, with better chances through the PM hours of your Tuesday. Rainfall should taper off through the morning hours Wednesday, with lots of sun headed our way to wrap up the work week & next weekend.

Not too much fluctuation in temps over the next 7 days, with highs ranging from the mid 70s to around the 80 degree mark, with lows in the 50s and 60s.

5:43 a.m. Friday, May 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

High pressure will provide tons of sun through a good chunk of Mother's Day weekend. The high will shift off the coast tomorrow, allowing Southerly winds to kick back in & warm us up close to the 80 degree mark for Saturday and Sunday.

Look for clouds to increase during Mother's Day, with slight chances of rain returning to the forecast for Monday & Tuesday, as our next front approaches from the West.

Have a happy & safe Mother's Day!

6:19 a.m. Thursday, May 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We picked up .25-2.1" of rain across Delmarva yesterda, y, and well start to dry out today.

After a few clouds this morning, we'll see clearing skies & tons of sun as we wrap up the work week. Winds will play a factor today & tomorrow, as they pick up out of the NW. Today expect winds 10-20 G 30, and 5-15 G 20 mph for tomorrow.

High pressure shifts off the coast, and warms us up. In fact, models are tending warmer for both Saturday and Sunday. I went w/ the upper 70s, but would not be surprised to see a few lower 80s degree readings come Sunday.

Speaking of Sunday, we'll see increasing clouds late in the day, with slight chances of rain returning for the 1st half of next week, as out next front approaches the peninsula.

11:11 p.m. Wednesday, May 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It's been a very wet evening across the area with rainfall totals over and inch at several locations. Ocean City was up to 1.58 as of 10 PM and SBY was approaching an inch. The heaviest rainfall was in Accomack County with over 1.5 inches widespread. Skies will clear behind a cool front early today and a gusty NW wind will usher in a drier and cooler airmass. Dry weather is expected through Sunday with plenty of sunshine.

Rain data for Salisbury through 5 PM Wednesday:
WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                      VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                       NORMAL         
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.47          1.81 1978   0.10   0.37     0.00       MONTH TO DATE    1.01                      0.94   0.07     0.70       SINCE MAR 1      5.10                      8.91  -3.81     5.93       SINCE JAN 1     10.79                     15.87  -5.08    10.65 

The evening rain should bring us down to a deficit of about 4.5" since Jan 1.
11 PM Forecast:

THURSDAY: Becoming partly cloudy. Very breezy, and less humid. High: 70. Winds: NW 14-26 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mainly clear and cooler. Low 48. Wind: NW 6-12 mph

FRIDAY: Mainly sunny, breezy and pleasant. High 72. Wind: NW 11-20 mph

 

EXTENDED FORECAST: Rain will taper off tonight as a cool front passes through Delmarva. Skies will clear with less humid conditions on Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks very pleasant with sunshine and near seasonable highs in the middle 70's.

A few spotty showers are possible again late Monday into early Tuesday, but amounts look light as of now.

11:38 p.m. Tuesday, May 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The wet forecast is still on track and many areas will likely see over an inch of rain over the next 24 hours. Skies will clear on Thursday and the rest of the weekend looks good as high pressure builds into the area. This is a fairly straightforward forecast, and confidence in temps and winds is high.

For Brian, John: I made two maps saved under the future-cast folder for Highs and Lows across Delmarva. I plan on making a few more with various cities so that we can showcase the smaller towns as well. I also made a future-cast rainfall accumulation map using the Microcast model. I saved that in the future-cast folder as well.
Also:
The Nat Climate Data Center put out the Jan-Apr. temps Y'day- the warmest on record nationwide and for MD and DE. I have a graphic for that in my DAN folder if you want to use. You can call up my 6pm show and save it where you want if that is easier. In case your wondering there is no correlation with winter temps and summer temps, so a warm winter does not necc. mean a hot summer!

The NCDC Climate report is here: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/

11 PM DELMARVA FORECAST

WED: Cloudy with rain likely. High 73. Wind: SW/W 6-14 mph.

THURSDAY: Clearing early then sunny, breezy, and less humid. High: 72. Winds: NW 10-16 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mainly clear and cooler. Low 49. Wind: NW 4-12 mph

FRIDAY: Mainly sunny, breezy and pleasant. High 73. Wind: NW 11-20 mph

EXTENDED FORECAST: Rain will taper off tonight as a cool front passes through Delmarva. Skies will clear with less humid conditions on Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks very pleasant with sunshine and near seasonable highs in the low to mid 70's.

A few spotty showers are possible again by Tuesday and Wednesday but amounts look light as of now.

7:44 a.m. Tuesday, May 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is on track...

We'll see a slow moving cold front, with several areas of low pressure imbedded along it, push through late Wednesday. Out ahead of the front, we'll see a chance for scattered showers and storms, starting as early as overnight tonight, and stretching through the day tomorrow. SPC has the Southern half of the peninsula under a "slight risk"...so expect possibly about a 15% of winds in excess of 60 mph, and small hail. Hopefully we'll see a good dousing of rain, with most locations expected to recieve .75-1.25" of rain, however, I would not be surprised to see some locations top the 2" mark, before rain chances dwindle overnight into early Thursday. After a few clouds Thursday morning, expect tons of sun Thursday afternoon through the majority of the weekend, with rain returning to begin next week.

Highs will be in the low to mid 70s over the next 7 days, with lows from the upper 40s to low 60s.

11:32 p.m. Monday, May 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A small craft adv. is now in effect for all coastal waters around Delmarva and winds will gust to 25 or high on Tuesday ahead of a cool front. Each model run is wetter it seems and rain amounts with the frontal passage look to range from .5 to 1.25 " and perhaps some spots seeing 1.75". Forecast confidence is actually fairly high with this system and for the rest of the week. Behind the front we will clear quickly Thursday with a cooler and dry airmass bringing sunshine for the rest of the week and through the weekend.

TUESDAY: Very breezy with a mix of sun and cloud. High: 76 (66-70 beaches). Winds: S 14-26 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy, breezy and more humid. Passing showers late. Low: 62. Winds: S 10-20 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mainly cloudy and breezy. Rain chance 80%. High: 74 (69 near beaches). Winds: SW 8-17 mph.

7:10 a.m. Monday, May 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

clouds will slowly be on the increase out ahead of a warm/cold front combo that will be headed in our direction. The warm front won't provide much of any chance for rain, and should lift North of us around mid day Tuesday. The trailing cold front will slide off the coast late Wednesday into early Thursday. Since the cold front will be such a slow mover, we'll see a good chance for a good dousing of rain. Right now it looks like we could see .75-1.25" of rain, before we start to dry out early Thursday. SPC has the Southern portion of the peninsula under "slight risk" in the 3day outlook...so we'll need to keep an eye to the sky Wednesday. skies will clear for the end of the work week, with tons of sun returning to the forecast for next weekend.

Even though we'll be dealing w/ a warm/cold front combo, don't expect too much fluctuation in temps over the next week, with highs in the low to mid 70s (cooler at the beaches), and overnight lows generally in the 50s.

12:01 a.m. Saturday, May 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The Storm Prediction Center in Okla. has Delmarva out-looked for a slight risk on Friday. This may change as it is a borderline situation. The best chance for any stronger storms will be in the late afternoon ending around 12 AM. The main threat would be some strong gusty winds with a minimal threat of tornadic activity. The Bay and ocean waters are still rather cool and this should reduce the threat somewhat.

Ahead of the storms we should see temps reach the mid 80's except on the beaches where it will cool quickly to the upper 60's by early afternoon.

The weekend looks good with a few isolated showers on Saturday but skies will clear Saturday night and it will be sunny and a little cooler Sunday with lower humidity. The next chance of significant rain will be late Tuesday into Wed. as a stronger front and upper level trough approach. It is still a way out but there does seem to the risk of some severe weather, and in any event a good rain event seems a good bet.

11 PM Forecast Numbers:

FRI: Pt Sunny High 85. Rain chance 60% PM.

SAT: 62-79 20% P-C showers

SUN: 57-71 Mo. Sunny and Cooler

MON: 51-72 Pt. to mainly Sunny

TUE: 54-73 PC 35%

WED 58-77 PS with strong storms

11:06 p.m. Thursday, May 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The Storm Prediction Center in Okla. has Delmarva out-looked for a slight risk on Friday. This may change as it is a borderline situation. The best chance for any stronger storms will be in the late afternoon ending around 12 AM. The main threat would be some strong gusty winds with a minimal threat of tornadic activity. The Bay and ocean waters are still rather cool and this should reduce the threat somewhat.

Ahead of the storms we should see temps reach the mid 80's except on the beaches where it will cool quickly to the upper 60's by early afternoon.

The weekend looks good with a few isolated showers on Saturday but skies will clear Saturday night and it will be sunny and a little cooler Sunday with lower humidity. The next chance of significant rain will be late Tuesday into Wed. as a stronger front and upper level trough approach. It is still a way out but there does seem to the risk of some severe weather, and in any event a good rain event seems a good bet.
11 PM Forecast Numbers:

FRI: Pt Sunny High 85. Rain chance 60% PM.

SAT: 62-79 20% P-C showers

SUN: 57-71 Mo. Sunny and Cooler

MON: 51-72 Pt. to mainly Sunny

TUE: 54-73 PC 35%

WED 58-77 PS with strong storms

5:16 a.m. Thursday, May 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The front that has delivered rain chances over the past few days, will linger on or near the peninsula through the end of the work week, delivering slight to moderate chances for showers and storms. Don't expect too much in the old rain gauges, with most locations receiving <.25" of rain. Another cold front presses through late Saturday, again delivering a chance for late day showers and storms, before clearing the skies & cooling us down for the end of the weekend. After tons of sun for Sunday & Monday, clouds and rain chances return to the forecast for Tuesday & Wednesday of next week.

Look for highs to climb back into the mid 70s today, with the low to mid 80s expected for Friday & Saturday. We'll cool back into the lower 70s to round out the weekend and begin next week, with highs warming into the upper 70s by mid week.

7:39 a.m. Wednesday, May 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Another round of t'storms is pushing across central Delmarva this morning. Much like yesterday, we should see a break in the action, then another slight chance for some late day showers and storms (even though the rain dodged us to the South yesterday). This morning's rain is riding along a warm front off to our West. The warm front is connected to a back door cold front off to our Northeast, that will retro grade back to the Southwest, possibly keeping temps a little cooler than yesterday. I say possibly, cause the amount of cool air we see today will be very location dependant. Temps will be coolest (upper 60s) at the beaches across the Northern sections of the peninsula. We'll most likely see the low to mid 70s inland across the heart of Delmarva, with folks across the South could see the upper 70s to lower 80s...depending on where the front lines up.

The latest model run (0z) shows the quasi stationary front now lingering in/around our vicinity until Saturday's cold front swings through and knock the clouds and rain chances off the coast. So as I mentioned yesterday, the sloppy front could have us seeing repeat performances of yesterday & today, for Thursday & Friday, with scattered shower and thunderstorms remaining in the forecast through the end of the work week. As the front meanders, the confidence is not high as to the exact timing of said showers and storms...so keep an eye to the sky!

Temperatures will climb from the mid to upper 70s tomorrow, back into the low to mid 80s to round out the work week, and take us through the day on Saturday. Highs will fall back into the mid to upper 70s to round out the weekend on Sunday, before dipping back into the low to mid 70s to begin the work week next week. Expect mostly sunny skies Sunday & Monday, before clouds and rain chances possibly return by Tuesday of next week.

10:55 p.m. Tuesday, May 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A weak cool front will bring temps. down into the 70's on Wednesday and an easterly flow off the Atlantic will keep skies mostly cloudy. The beaches will struggle to stay much above 63 degrees and there will be a fairly large contrast in temps across Delmarva with 72 in Dover to 79 in Onley. Thursday will see a mix of cloud and sun and with the cool front stalled nearby a passing shower is possible at anytime.
The best chances of rain look to be early Wednesday and again late Wed. night but chances at any one spot remain below 30%.

A warm up is expected on a south breeze Friday with highs above 80 degrees.

The weekend looks very mild as well although there might be some showers with a weak cool front Saturday afternoon and evening. Slightly cooler air will follow the front on Sunday-Tuesday. Salisbury hit 8, 4 on Tuesday,just 4 shy of the record of 88.

11 PM Numbers

WED: 61-78 Pt. sunny. E 4-11 mph 30%
THU 57-77 P-cloudy N 1-7 mph 30%

FRI: 61-83 Mo. Sunny. W 6-15 mph

SAT: 61-82 30% P-C T-showers late? 30%

SUN: 55-72 Sunny and Cooler

4:43 a.m. Tuesday, May 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The warm front has lifted North already, and temps have started to climb! We'll see highs in the lower 80s today, out ahead of cold/quasi stationary front we've been talking about. The cold front now appears as if it will dip a little farther South than originally anticipated. This would give us East-Northeast winds, instead of Southwest winds, potentially keeping temps in the low to mid 70s inland, and in the 60s at the beaches for both Wednesday and Thursday. To be honest, I wouldn't be surprised to see the front divide the peninsula, with the mid to upper 60s Northeast (Kent county beaches), and the lower 80s for folks in inland locations across the Southwest (Somerset, Wicomico, etc.). To be honest, the models are at odds, with up to a 10+ degree difference in temps forecast over the next couple of days. So even if we do see the potential peninsula wide cool down, the front will remain in the vicinity, leaving at least a slim chance for an isolated shower or storm over the next few days. Basically we're looking at a sloppy, low confidence forecast through at least Thursday.

We'll warm back into the low to mid 80s to wrap up the work week, and head through the 1st half of the weekend. Speaking of the weekend, we'll see our next cold front, which should slide through Saturday night into Sunday, delivering additional chances for showers and storms. Look for highs to fall back into the mid 70s Sunday, with the upper 60s returning to kick start next week.

11:26 p.m. Monday, April 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another tough forecast to start the week. A warm front will come through early Tuesday and we should see a rapid warm up to 80 or above across nearly all of Delmarva on Tuesday. There might be a few isolated showers or thundershowers but rain will be very spotty. A weak cool front will come through late Tuesday night, and an easterly breeze behind the front means cooler weather on Wed. The beaches will fall into the upper 50's and stay there on Wed. with inland locations making the low 70's.

Warmer weather returns again on Thursday and the weekend looks fairly decent but confidence in that forecast remains rather low.

My 11 PM numbers:

TUE: 56-80 sct. showers. 40% AM 20% PM SW 14-24 mph
WED: 59-72 (58 beaches) Pt. sunny. Shower late?? E 4-10 mph
THU 54-78 (63 beaches) P-cloudy S 7-14 mph

FRI: 56-80 Pt. Sunny.

SAT: 59-80 30% showers

SUN: 57-73 PC and Cooler

The UK had it's wettest April on record and more severe storm hit the Plains last night with a slew of tornado warnings for KS. and Okla.

Salisbury Climate Data for Monday

TEMPERATURE (F)                                                       TODAY                           records    Nrml.          Last Yr.                                  MAXIMUM         64   1217 PM  86    1974  69     -5       64          MINIMUM         45    123 AM  31    1909  47     -2       45          AVERAGE         55                                               

5:14 a.m. Monday, April 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Get ready for a big time warm up! After a shot of seasonal air today (upper 60s), we'll shoot back into the upper 70s to mid 80s through the 1st half of the weekend, before we fall back into the mid to upper 70s for Sunday.

A warm front will lift over us tonight, providing a chance of showers after midnight, through the AM commute Tuesday. The trailing "cold" front will approach, before becoming quasi stationary late in the day Tuesday, providing another chance for showers, and perhaps some t'storms. It looks as if shower and storm chances could linger through Wednesday, possibly spilling on over into Thursday (at least according to the GFS), before we dry out for the end of the work week., Another, more potent cold front will head our way for the weekend, providing a chance for showers , and storms, and drop temps from the mid 80s Saturday, back into the mid to upper 70s for Sunday.

 6:04 a.m. Saturday, April 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY UNTIL SATURDAY AT 8:00 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES, :

KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD. IMPACTS...FLOWERING FRUIT TREES AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY SUFFER DAMAGE IF NOT PROTECTED.

An area of Low pressure in the Midwest will lift a Warm Front into Delmarva today. Rain chances are looking good ahead of the front. Overall, a .25" total is probably all we'll see on Delmarva. Some weak High pressure will keep skies at least Partly Sunny but, look for increasing clouds through the day Saturday. Although rain showers are expected, that likely chance of rain will come after sunset Saturday night and end by daybreak Sunday morning. Partial clearing through the day Sunday and a return to High pressure will allow us to finish the weekend under clear skies. Finishing out a cool April 2012, a return to near 80's like temperatures begins mid-week.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY UNTIL SATURDAY AT 8:00 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD. IMPACTS...FLOWERING FRUIT TREES AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY SUFFER DAMAGE IF NOT PROTECTED.

 

An area of Low pressure in the Midwest will lift a Warm Front into Delmarva today. Rain chances are looking good ahead of the front. Overall, a .25" total is probably all we'll see on Delmarva. Some weak High pressure will keep skies at least Partly Sunny but, look for increasing clouds through the day Saturday. Although rain showers are expected, that likely chance of rain will come after sunset Saturday night and end by daybreak Sunday morning. Partial clearing through the day Sunday and a return to High pressure will allow us to finish the weekend under clear skies. Finishing out a cool April 2012, a return to near 80's like temperatures begins mid-week.

7:22 a.m. Thursday, April 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like some rain out there today, as a little warm/cold front combo pushes across the peninsula., Expect scattered showers to develop into more substantial rain late morning into the early afternoon as the warm front passes. We should see a break in the action, then another slight chance for showers or an isolated t'storm, as the trailing cold front pushes through this evening. It looks like most will see .25-.5", with totals up to .75"across the Southern sections of the peninsula before we dry out for Friday. Rain chances quickly return to the forecast for the 1st half of the weekend, as a low pressure center slides off the coast to our South.

Models are trending much cooler for today, and the upcoming weekend. So instead of seeing mid 70s degree readings fall back into the mid to upper 60s, we'll most likely see the upper 60s of today, dip back into the lower 60s Friday through the beginning of next week. Like it a bit warmer? Look for the mid 70s to return to the forecast by next Wednesday.

10:52 p.m. Wednesday, April 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A very difficult forecast for today and rather so for the weekend as well.... We should see showers up until early afternoon and rain amounts will likely be heavier from SBY to the south. Rain amounts of .25-.75" are expected with less than .3 in the Dover area. There is quite a spread among the model guidance though and the rain may end up being a bit more evenly spread. Skies will clear some in the afternoon and if so, temps will zoom to near 70 ahead of a cold front. The cold front will usher in a cooler and drier airmass Thursday night and Friday will be mainly clear but very breezy. In fact it will stay rather blustery from Thursday morning into the weekend.

Showers will likely return Sat. night into Sunday but most of the weekend will probably be dry with considerable cloudiness and highs i the low to mid 60's. Small craft adv. are in effect on all area waters.

THU: 49-67 Rain likely. Varbl. clouds. S 12-26

FRI: 51-63 Mainly clear and very breezy. NW 12-24

SAT 45-61 Showers early. Mainly cloudy. NE 7-16

SUN: 46-61 Partly sunny. AM Shower? (30%) N 8-15

8:17 a.m. Wednesday, April 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is pretty much on track through the end of the work week, with the 0z runs keeping things a bit warmer for both today and tomorrow when compared to the 12z over the past couple of days.

We're still expecting that warm/cold front combo to provide rain chances through the day on Thursday. It looks like the bulk of the rain should press through mid morning through about mid afternoon. However, shower chances will materialize overnight tonight, and we could see lingering showers, and perhaps a t'storm Thursday afternoon stretching into the evening hours. Hopefully we'll see, on average, .25-.5" of rain before we dry out to round out the work week on Friday.

As Dan mentioned the weekend & the beginning of next week are still a little up in the air. First of all Saturday is trending dramatically cooler. Also, the low forecast to deliver rain chances over the weekend, will be riding along a quasi stationary front to our South, making timing of rain a bit tricky. In fact, Sunday looked to be our best chance of rain yesterday...today it looks like Saturday will bring rain chances, with a good bit of sun to round out the weekend on Sunday. The clouds now look like they'll hold off for Monday as well, before returning, along with rain chances for Tuesday.

Temperatures are still forecast (at least on the 0z run) to make it into the low to mid 70s today & tomorrow, out ahead of the cold front. Behind the front, we'll see highs retreat back into the low to mid 60s Friday through the beginning of next week.

11:14 p.m. Tuesday, April 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rain is definitely on the way for Thursday and amounts will range from .25 to.75". Skies will clear on Friday but the weekend is still rather iffy. Lots of model differences but all in all, the amounts over the weekend will likely not be that much. The weekend forecast uncertainty also makes temperature forecasts difficult but highs in the mid 60's are the best bet. Monday and Tuesday in contrast are easy forecasts with sunshine and cooler/drier air. Another rain event MAY be on the way as early as next Wed.

My 11 pm forecast for:
Today: Sunny. High 68-70. Wind: W 6-16 mph.

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy with some light rain possible after 2 AM. Low 48. Wind: S 2-9 mph

THURSDAY: Morning rain likely with amounts from .25 to .75 inches. High: 68. Winds: Varbl. 4-12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. Low: 50. Winds: W 6-15 mph.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny with some showers possible after 6 PM High: 64. Winds: NW 6-14 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: Clouds and rain will spread into the area late tonight and into late morning on Thursday. As a low pressure system passes to our east on Thursday evening, skies should clear. Variable clouds and mainly dry conditions can be expected for Friday with seasonable temperatures.

The weekend forecast remains difficult and confidence is low. It does look as if we will see some scattered showers along with some limited sunshine both days. Sunday looks to be the wetter day as of now. Skies will clear and it will be cooler and less humid on Monday and Tuesday.

11:31 p.m. Monday, April 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

It will stay breezy on Tuesday and likely into Wednesday but sunshine will return with low humidity. The strong surface low is moving slowly away from the area but the large upper level low will steer cool and dry air over the region.. I am still thinking we may see some patchy showers on Thursday as a weak surface low passes by but mainly just a cloudy day.
Another cool front will approach and bring more widespread showers on Sunday but nothing like this past weekend!

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy, chilly and very breezy. Low 38. Wind: W 6-14 mph

WEDNESDAY: Mainly sunny and breezy. High: 64. Winds: SW 12-22 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and cool. Low: 39. Winds: W 1-6 mph.

THURSDAY: Mainly sunny with some high cloud. High: 67. Winds: W 9-18 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: All of Delmarva received a real soaking on Sunday, with rain totals generally from 1.5- 2.25 inches. Skies will begin to clear tonight and it will stay quite cool on Tuesday, with lows in the upper 30's Tuesday night. As a strong low moves into New England, it will stay quite breezy over Delmarva with gusts to over 30 mph. Winds will diminish Tuesday night, but it will stay breezy on Tuesday with gusts to 25 mph.

Some passing showers are possible with a series of weak upper level disturbances Wednesday night into Thursday and another cool front may bring some periods of light rain Friday night into Saturday and again on Sunday.

7:28 a.m. Monday, April 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We picked up a lot of rain out there for the 2nd half of the weekend, with most locations receiving 1.75-2.5" of rain! We'll see just a slim chance for mist or drizzle as the low continues to pull off to the NE & strengthen. The intensifying low to our North & the strong high off to our SW, will be kicking up the West winds over the next 2 days, with gusts around 30 mph for both Monday & Tuesday. Winds should calm for mid week, as we welcome our next cold front for Thursday. We'll see a little warming trend out ahead of our next front, with highs climbing from the low to mid 50s today, back to around 70 by Thursday. Expect lots of sun Friday, with highs back into the mid 60s. The weekend appears to bring additional chances for rain, along with a bit of a warm up, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Changes to the forecast include, temperatures trending considerably warmer for much of the next week. It also appears that rain chances for both next Saturday & Sunday are looking much more impressive in the long range models.

5:22 a.m. Thursday, April 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

A few showers out there early this morning, will yield to partially clearing skies through the remainder of the day. As anticipated, most locations picked up less than .1" of rain...in fact, we only had a trace-.05" at the airports. Expect a good bit of sunshine Friday, before the clouds and rain chances return for the weekend. The expected rainfall will arrive, as our next slow moving cold front slides on through. Its still a little early to pinpoint just how much rain we'll receive, but I think its safe to say we have a shot of eclipsing the 1" mark. In fact, HPC is calling for anywhere b/w 1.5-2.5" of rain through Sunday...however, keep in mind HPC often over estimates rain totals...we'll see. Regardless of how much rain we see, it looks like we could see it a little earlier than it appeared we would. The 0z models yesterday were in good agreement that the bulk of the rain would hold off until Saturday night into Sunday, yesterday's 12z and this morning's 0z runs hinting that we may see some pretty decent showers as early as midday Saturday.

Temperatures will slowly warm, and we'll be maxing out in the mid 70s on Saturday, then falling back into the upper 50s to around the 60 degree mark to round out the weekend, and begin next week. Expect more seasonal temps to persist through at least mid week next week, with highs in the mid 60s.

11:42 p.m. Wednesday, April 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The question of how much rain for the weekend remains a difficult one but no doubt we will see the best rain event for quite sometime. I suspect the models are too slow in starting the rain and we will likely see showers across Delmarva by 4 PM if no Noon Saturday.

Skies should begin clearing this afternoon and Friday looks pleasant with highs near 70 as a south wind returns. It will be blustery and cool from Monday into Wednesday but just how windy depends on the development and track of the upper level low and that is still iffy!


A viewer sent in a pic of a rare cloud type last night. They are called Asperatus clouds, and it was the viewer pic on the 11 PM newscast. I did a blog about them a few years back and you can read about them here: http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2009/10/08/rare-asperatus-clouds-over-osage-county-oklahoma/

The clouds over Delmarva were the best I have seen in a long while.

SBY 48-65 46-70
OC 49-57

5:14 a.m. Wednesday, April 18, 2012 by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Other than today, tomorrow, and the upcoming weekend trending warmer, forecast is right on track.

Even though temps are trending warmer for the next few days, it will still be much cooler & closer to seasonal than it has been as of late. Look for highs in the mid to upper 60s to round out the work week, with the low to mid 70s for the weekend, before cooling back into the low to mid 60s to start next week

We'll see a good bit of cloud cover, and slight chances for scattered showers today, and through the morning Thursday, as a couple areas of low pressure slowly meander off the coast well to our South. Don't expect much in the ol' rain bucket through Thursday though, with less than .1" of rain for folks lucky enough to see a few showers. Rain chances are looking much better for the second half of the weekend, and the beginning of the work week next week, as our next cold front gathers up what will hopefully be a good bit of Gulf moisture, and heads our way. As of now, it looks like we could receive a peninsula wide dousing, with rain totals over an inch...but its a little far out to be too specific on amounts just yet.

11:29 p.m. Tuesday, April 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Keeping spotty showers in the forecast through Thurs. morning but amounts will be very light. The weekend remains the big forecast question but there is no doubt a major cut off low ill develop and slowly meander our way. Yes, we could end up with not a lot of rain but the betting in my mind is that we will see some decent rainfall. We might even see some thunder with the cold air aloft, depending ont he track of the upper low. Severe weather risk is very minimal as it looks now.

My final numbers below:

SBY 53-62 (30%)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and cooler. A few light showers possible. Rain chance 30% High 62. (Beaches near 55-60.) Winds: NE 3-10 mph. Rain amounts under .15 inches.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with some passing light showers. Rain chance 50% Low: 48. Winds: NE 0-5 mph.

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy with spotty showers early. Some PM clearing. High: 64. Winds: E 1-6 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: A cool front passed through the area early this morning and temps. were not quite as warm across Delmarva today compared to yesterday. Clouds will return later tonight across Delmarva and we may see some showers about from Wednesday into early Thursday. Rain amounts will be very light for those that see a shower. Skies will clear some on Thursday, and it should turn milder Friday and Saturday with a mix of sun and cloud.

A heavier rain event should develop late Saturday and continue into Monday, as a strong upper level low-pressure system forms over the Mid-Atlantic region. It's still too far out to forecast rainfall amounts but widespread amounts over an inch are quite possible. It will stay much cooler into early next week as the low-pressure system slowly moves away from our area.

10:48 p.m. Monday, April 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A tricky forecast for Wed. with the poss. of some rainfall over the area as a low develops along the front that will be stalled to our south. Rain amounts will be light if so and clouds will roll in late Tuesday ahead of this weak system. No more near record temps. for awhile with a good ten degrees off of Mondays 88 in SBY expected for Tuesday and then down another 10 degrees at least on Wed. The beaches will be much cooler with an onshore flow developing quickly as winds turn from the NW to NE. Wed. will bring a NE wind with even cooler temps near the beaches.

Some sun for Thur/-Fri-Sat. but rain will overspread the area on Sat. night into Sunday and Monday but as is always the case with an upper level low, the models have a great deal fo difficulty with these systems. The old saying among forecaster is very accurate- "There's almost always a surprise under a cold core low"! Still, this system looks promising for some rains that would at least put a dent in the drought.

7:58 a.m. Sunday, April 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A weak disturbance to our North did bring some clouds and trace amounts of rainfall overnight. The mild weather continues thanks to High pressure anchored off the Carolina's. Skies will return to Mostly Sunny conditions by late afternoon on Sunday. A Cold Front will enter the picture Monday night into Tuesday however, most of the moisture will have rung out before arriving on Delmarva. A few isolated showers are possible Tuesday morning. Mid-week rain chances look slim. Little chance and little amounts of precip. that is, until Friday. The upcoming weekend looks promising for much needed rain. As we enter mid April - 30 degree overnight Low's are not forecast and only two nights of 40 degree overnight Low's are forecast. With a seasonally average High of 65 for the week and Low of 43, we will be well above those averages for temps this time of year.

4:29 a.m. Thursday, April 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

Looks like dry & breezy/windy through the beginning of next week. After 2 more days in the low to mid 60s, we'll see the low 70s Saturday, and highs around 80 as a warm front lifts North on Sunday. Looks like we'll see temps hang in the mid 70s to lower 80s for the 1st half of next week.

Chances for rain are still bleak. We'll see a very slim chance for a sprinkle, with the warm front passage Saturday night into early Sunday. Our best chance of rain will come with the passage of the trailing cold front, around mid week, next week. However, don't your hopes too high, as said rain chances are really not looking all the promising, with the GFS only picking up on .1 to maybe 25"...and its usually the more precip latent model!

I say don't get your hopes too high, cause as we all know, we have been extremely dry as of late. In fact, most of Delmarva remains under Moderate Drought conditions (with Abnormally Dry conditions confined to the extreme Western periphery of Delmarva) as of this writing. Bet we're all thrown into the Moderate to maybe even Severe Drought conditions when the Drought Monitor Index is updated later today.

11:38 p.m. Wednesday, April 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

No change to the ongoing forecast- A Small craft advisory is still in effect until at least Noon for all area waters. Winds will be a factor this weekend again.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy, cool and very breezy. High 56. (Beaches near 53-56.) Winds: W-NW 11-22 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy and quite cool. Low: 35-37. Winds: NW 6-13 mph.

FRIDAY: Intervals of cloud and sun., Cool and breezy. High: 58. Winds: NW 12-24 mph.

EXTENDED FORECAST: Gusty winds will continue across Delmarva as a strong low pressure system remains over New England tonight through Thursday. A series of upper level disturbances will bring some clouds and cooler air into the area on Wednesday with a few brief light showers possible. Rain chances are less than 15%.

Clouds will clear some on Thursday, and Friday will be sunny and milder. A westerly wind will usher in warmer weather with sunshine as we head into the weekend. Highs should approach 70 Saturday and climb into the upper 70's with just a few clouds on Sunday!

4:41 a.m. Wednesday, April 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track. Unfortunately for farmers and folks that just want to see a little green grass, no widespread soaking rain is in the forecast until at least mid week, next week...and even then, chances aren't looking all that promising. Bad news considering some locations are over 7 inches shy of their average annual precip so far through 2012 (most of the deficit accrued over the past 5 weeks).

It will remain relatively dry & breezy today, with NW winds 5-15 G 20 kts. Only expect a 20% chance of a few scattered showers through the PM hours, as the low to our North slowly pulls off to the Northeast. The GFS is showing a slight chance for a shower Sunday, in association with a warm front off to our West. Really don't think we'll see anything, nor do any of the other longer range models at this time.

Temps will top out in the upper 50s to lower 60s through the end of the work week, so it will be nice to be at, or just below average for a change. Our cool down won't last long, with highs around 70 Saturday, and possibly flirting w./ the 80 degree mark by Sunday. Temps are trending a few degrees cooler to start next week, but we can probably still expect the low to mid 70s for next Monday & Tuesday.

11:25 p.m. Tuesday, April 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Low clouds and cooler weather will arrive overnight but a late look at the guidance makes me think we will see some blue patches. Highs should be about 10 degrees cooler in most areas with sunshine increasing again on Thursday. The weekend looks great with much warmer weather but winds will increase again and fire danger will be high.

With the clouds inhibiting heating the winds should be down a bit on Wed. and the Red Flag Warning is unlikely to be reissued. A Small Craft Adv. remains in effect for the Chesapeake only.

Rainfall deficits are increasing and for Brian I did a graphic that is in my 6 PM Show you might want to use. The red flag warning is down off the web ( I think- do not see it anywhere).

Long range guidance looks good for some rain on next Wednesday with even some thunderstorms possible. This is our next real chance of rain other than some instability sprinkles tomorrow. I only mentioned a chance of a sprinkle in the forecast.

SBY Climate data for Tuesday is below
WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                 VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR                                                   NORMAL .................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F)  TODAY   MAXIMUM         70    328 PM  91    1922  63      7       68   MINIMUM         41    607 AM  21    2007  42     -1       47   AVERAGE         56  PRECIPITATION (IN)   TODAY            0.00          3.00 1918   0.13  -0.13     0.00   MONTH TO DATE    0.18                      1.33  -1.15     0.53   SINCE MAR 1      1.31                      5.75  -4.44     4.06   SINCE JAN 1      7.00                     12.71  -5.71     8.78                                                                      

5:10 a.m. Tuesday, April 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM LATE MORNING/NOON, UNTIL 8 PM FOR THE ENTIRE DELMARVA PENINSULA. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL! PLEASE AVOID ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE, AND AVOID THE POTENTIAL RAPID SPREAD OF UNMANAGEABLE AND OUT OF CONTROL FIRES.

Well, the winds won't be quite as relentless as they were yesterday, but West winds will still ru 10-20 G 30 mph through the day today. Even though most did pick up a scattered shower last night (only a trace to a couple one hundredths of an inch), it will remain very dry w/ Red Flag Warnings in effect today. We'll only see about a 10% chance of a scattered shower today/overnight, and potentially a 20% chance of a scattered shower or storm tomorrow, as the low to our North spins a few clouds and a couple impulses of energy our way through mid week. Look for slightly calmer winds, cooler conditions, and lots of sun for Thursday & Friday. The winds will pick back up for the weekend, and beginning of next week, as temps once again soar well above average.

It looks like we'll squeak out one more warm today, with temps trending a good bit warmer, in the mid to upper 60s. Highs will fall back into the upper 50s to lower 60s for Thursday and Friday. The 0z runs continues the trending towards a big time warm up for the weekend & beginning of next week, with highs in the lower 70s Saturday, and the mid to upper 70s Sunday & Monday.

11:40 p.m. Monday, April 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The weather story is the wind again for Tuesday with a red flag warning likely. We are seeing some rain showers in the area but they will be gone by sunrise and amounts will be light. Still, a bit more than I expected but we will have to wait and see the totals because a lot is evaporating as it falls in the dry air. The clouds will thicken on Wed. as clouds move in from the NW and the temp. will drop back into the 50's for highs. Winds gusted to over 40 mph at several locations on the coast Monday aftn.

The weekend still looks nice with a warm up into the 70's by Sunday. Still quite breezy though!

SBY 43-64 36 55

5:39 a.m. Monday, April 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM FOR KENT, SUSSEX, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT, AND CAROLINE COUNTIES; AND FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM FOR DORCHESTER, WICOMICO, SOMERSET, WORCESTER, AND ACCOMACK COUNTIES. A WIND ADVISORY WILL ALSO BE IN EFFECT FOR KENT, SUSSEX, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT, AND CAROLINE COUNTIES FROM 8 AM UNTIL 6 PM. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH, WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED, AND MAY TOPPLE TREES AND POWER LINES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL! PLEASE AVOID ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE, AND AVOID THE POTENTIAL RAPID SPREAD OF UNMANAGEABLE AND OUT OF CONTROL FIRES.

Well, needless to say, the dry windy conditions will persist today, even though a couple of areas of low pressure will team up to give us slight chances for rain. The first low is connected to a weak little cool front, that will slide through tonight, providing a 20-30% chance for a passing shower. The second low will continue to spin over the New England states, providing a few clouds, and a slim chance for a wrap around showers Tuesday and Wednesday. Looks like we'll see lots of sun Thursday and Friday, with more clouds and a warm up for next weekend.

Highs today should hit the upper 60s, then fall back into the upper 50s to lower 60s for the remainder of the work week. Next weekend was trending much warmer with the upper 60s to lower 70s Saturday, and the upper 70s come Sunday.

10:44 p.m. Friday, April 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

I've bumped up the high on Sunday to 67 based on the afternoon guidance showing winds turning more westerly and the flow should be strong enough to hold off the coastal onshore flow so the beaches too should get in on the action. Clear skies will continue through Sunday midday but some high clouds are likely as the trough passes through Sunday evening. Winds will go back to the NW behind the trough on Monday but temps. should stay in the mid 60's.

Red flag warnings for fire danger are likely on Saturday and Sunday with low afternoon relative humidities and the gusty winds. The dry vegetation is also a strongly contributing factor. Any brush fires could rapidly get out of control. A strong short wave aloft passes through Monday night and both the NAM and GFS are indicating some precipitation with this. Am going to put some pops into the 7 Day forecast for the 11. I have held off until now because the air is dry and I believed the guidance was overdoing it. Can no longer ignore it.

The rest of next week looks very breezy with a deepening upper low over the NE U.S. and this will keep winds from the W to NW and temps at or slightly below normal. Rain is possible with some fast moving disturbances in this pattern but timing is very difficult this far out. Clouds will linger Tuesday night into Wednesday and perhaps Thursday as moisture wraps around the strong upper Low over Newfoundland.

4:50 a.m. Friday, April 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Although the 12z model run must have shown cooler temps filtering in for the weekend, the 0z remains consistent w/ highs in the mid to upper 60s. With strong West winds by Easter, I do think we'll see some good compressional warming & a nice, mild (but windy) weekend. Speaking of the winds, look for them to blow 10-20 G 30 through the next few days, as the pressure gradient strengthens b/w the low offshore and the high to our West. Speaking of that strengthening low offshore...it should push North, then retrograde back into Eastern Canada, where it will most likely spin clouds, and slight chances of rain our way through the 1st half of next week.

After enjoying the mid to upper 60s for Easter weekend & Monday, highs will fall back to a little below average, in the upper 50s for the majority of next week.

4:17 a.m. Thursday, April 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like pretty much like clear sailing through the holiday weekend, as we're expecting lots of sun and breezy conditions through the Easter Sunday. We may see a few additional clouds across Southern Delmarva today & Good Friday, but expect more sun than cloud cover from now through the daylight hours of Easter Sunday. As Dan mentioned, the 1st half of next week could be interesting, with a an area of low pressure strengthening off the New England coast. As of now, the GFS & ECMWF keep a good bit of cloud cover and slight chances for wrap around showers in the forecast from overnight Sunday through the day on Wednesday. The CMC & NOGAPS are not quite as aggressive, with the low pulling out & slowly clearing skies for Tuesday & Wednesday.

Look for temps a degree or two below seasonal average today & tomorrow (around 60), with highs back into the mid to upper 60s for Easter weekend. The low to mid 60s return to begin next week, with highs potentially dipping back into the mid 50s by Wednesday.

10:34 p.m. Wednesday, April 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Salisbury reached 79 on Wed. Just 4 deg shy of the record. Ocean City was at 76 before a sea breeze brought temps back down to the low 60's. No rainfall across the area although thunderstorms were as close as Norfolk.

all of the guidance is advertising a much cooler airmass to arrive on Thurs. with highs nearly 20 degrees cooler. Winds will increase on Friday and Saturday as a reinforcing shot of cool air is brought down behind a strong upper level trough. Small craft advisories are likely Friday and into Saturday on area waters. While clouds will not be far away, we should stay sunny into the weekend and likely into Monday as well.

Next week is looking interesting with some of the longer range models trying to develop a strong nor-easter. This could give us some wind and heavier rains, but it looks now as if this is a rather far fetched possibility. It is worth monitoring and no doubt, next week will feel more like April should feel on Delmarva.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and cooler. Rain chance 0%. High:, 57-60. Winds: N 4-11 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and colder. Low: 37. Winds: N 3-10 mph.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny, breezy and cool. High: 54 Dover to 57 Salisbury. Winds: N 11-22 mph.

7:55 a.m. Wednesday, April 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No big time changes to the forecast. In fact, with the exception of Easter Sunday and Monday trending a bit cooler, forecast is right on track.

Look for a slim chance of a shower or storm this afternoon, with the cold front pressing just South of Delmarva. Most should experince lots of sun heading inti the holiday weekend, but folks across the South could see a few more clouds with the front laying up stationary South of Delmarva through Good Friday. Looks like lots of sun for the weekend, with clouds and slim chances of rain returning to begin next week. Actually one more little tweak to the forecast, as we may now see Monday's clouds and slight chances for rain spill on over into Tuesday. Since we had mostly sunny skies for Tuesday, I just split the difference, and changed it to partly cloudy.

After the low to mid 70s today, expect highs to fall back into the low to mid 60s Thursday through the beginning of next week. Temps appear to be a little cooler as we head into Tuesday of next week, with highs in the mid 50s.

11:40 p.m. Tuesday, April 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Clouds are returning as a weak cool front moves toward Delmarva. All of the numerical guidance agree that any rain amounts will be light and I kept the chance at 20% on the 7 day Tuesday. The west wind ahead of the front will push us into the low or even mid 70's tomorrow. The west wind will hold off the chilly air over the ocean and the beaches too will see a very mild April day.

Behind the front on Tuesday it will turn cooler with sunshine returning. Highs will likely struggle to reach 60 Thursday with lows in the mid 30's Thursday night. I see little if any cloud from Thursday through Sunday and temps should slowly moderate through the weekend. Winds may reach Small Craft Adv. levels behind the front on Thursday, but it is a close call.

The rainfall deficit since March 1st in Salisbury is now 3.54" and for the year -4.81" Georgetown DE is over 5 inches in deficit for the year.

SBY
wed thu
46 74 44 59

12:39 a.m. Tuesday, April 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

The forecast looks good for the rest of the week but we will see some spotty showers with another fast moving (but rather weak) cool front. The dew points are low so this system will not be able to produce much if any precip. in most locations. New guidance tonight is a bit cooler for Wed. and Thursday and I dropped the temps a bit. Thursday may see temps in the upper 50's for highs with mid 50's from Dover Northward.

The weekend looks sunny with highs just a bit above average for this time of year. March was the 2nd warmest on record here in Salisbury. The only warmer March was 1945.

11pm numbers:

SBY
34-65
DOV
33-63
OCity
38-63

7:54 a.m. Monday, April 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little light rain out there overnight w/ rain totals <.25". The winds have already kicked in behind the front, and will continue to blow at 10-20 G 30 mph through the day. So even though we'll top out around 60, it will probably feel a couple degrees cooler, when you factor in the winds. We'll see lot of sun both today, and Tuesday...where winds should be much calmer. Speaking of the winds...not only will the blow at a pretty good clip today, but they'll also usher in some very very dry air, elevating our fire danger this afternoon. So its probably a good idea to avoid all out door burning until the winds calm tomorrow.

The clouds thicken up Wednesday, out ahead of our next potential wet weather maker. Our next slim chances of rain will come from a moisture starved cold front that will press through late Wednesday. As of now, expect less than a 20% chance of isolated showers or storms. The front does look like it will stall just South of our area for Thursday and Good Friday. So even though we're still calling for lots of sun for the end of the work week, if the front jogs just the slightest bit North, we could see a, few additional clouds, or maybe even an isolated shower across the extreme Southern sections of the peninsula. It looks like a reinforcing shot of dry air heads our way for the holiday weekend, keeping sunny skies in the forecast Saturday & Easter Sunday.

Tempertures will remain in the low to mid 60s today & Tuesday, with the low to mid 70s in the forecast for Wednesday. Behind Wednesday's front, temps will fall back into the low to mid 60s to round out the work week, and take us through Easter weekend.

5:28 p.m. Sunday, April 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Early to late evening tonight, a weak Low pressure area will move in from the Northwest pulling in a Cold Front boundary. Sunday's early evening clouds bring a chance of showers overnight into Monday morning with around .25" of precip. expected. Rain quickly ends early morning Monday and then it's back to a mostly sunny but windy day. Wind gusts Monday will be near 30 mph. High pressure for Monday and Tuesday build in with the next round of showers possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. The week ahead should finish out with sunny daytime skies and clear overnight conditions. Both daytime High and overnight Lows will average above normal once again for the week ahead. Rainfall will be under average for the week ahead. Easter, 2012, is only a week away. Sunrise for Easter Sunday is at 6:36 AM and (at this time) a High of 66 and sunshine for the day is expected.

It looks like a really nice day on Friday with only some thin high clouds. Clouds will increase on Saturday and it will become cloudy by late afternoon. Mainly cloudy conditions are likely Sunday, with some light passing showers possible. This will continue into Monday as well. An onshore flow will continue through Sunday and this means cool weather on the beaches with highs in the mid 60's. Inland temps will be 5-8 degrees warmer.

The pressure gradient will stay tight enough for a small craft adv. Friday for the Chesapeake and Atlantic waters. Seas of 5-6 ft. are possible in the Atlantic well offshore. I suspect a small craft. advisory will also be needed for Saturday as well.

11:38 p.m. Friday, March 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Some weak High pressure will keep Delmarva in the clear for today. Tonight, a Low-pressure area will pass over the region with rain chances beginning early evening. Tonight's overnight Low will be 10 degrees higher than last night, thanks to a warm front which will be passing over. Saturday, overcast conditions will be the rule and rain is likely. Rain amounts will only be in the .25" range for the weekend as Sunday we're back to sunshine. Mid week, next week however, another storm system is expected to generate higher rain amounts with the .50"-.75 range possible. Rain is needed as Salisbury, for instance, is under by 4.27" for the year. Many Delmarva farms have begun supplemental irrigation. In the 60 to 70 degree realm, we will be running above average temperature for daytime High's and overnight Low's, 40's to near 50 degrees, through the next 7 Days.

3:46 a.m. Friday, March 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Some weak High pressure will keep Delmarva in the clear for today. Tonight, a Low-pressure area will pass over the region with rain chances beginning early evening. Tonight's overnight Low will be 10 degrees higher than last night, thanks to a warm front which will be passing over. Saturday, overcast conditions will be the rule and rain is likely. Rain amounts will only be in the .25" range for the weekend as Sunday we're back to sunshine. Mid week, next week however, another storm system is expected to generate higher rain amounts with the .50"-.75 range possible. Rain is needed as Salisbury, for instance, is under by 4.27" for the year. Many Delmarva farms have begun supplemental irrigation. In the 60 to 70 degree realm, we will be running above average temperature for daytime High's and overnight Low's, 40's to near 50 degrees, through the next 7 Days.

11:39 p.m. Thursday, March 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A cool night is underway after highs in the mid 60's across Delmarva. Friday will start sunny and we should see highs again reach 60-65 degrees. Clouds will roll in after 3 or 4 pm and after 9 pm we might see a few light showers. The light rain will be gone by noon Sat. but clouds will linger. By evening a NE onshore flow will cool the beaches down and Late Saturday temps will be in the mid 50's at best from Lewes to Chincoteague.

Sunday is a more difficult forecast with a SW flow returning late. This may help push temps up even on coast but it will likely be a mainly cloudy day. Sunshine returns on MOnday and next week looks very mild again with some w, indy days. A cold front will bring rain late Wed. into early Thursday but the timing this far out is still iffy..

The small craft advisories have all been dropped now.
Evening fcst numbers below:

SBY   62- 47  64
OC    61- 47  58
Dover 60  46  58
          Fri      SAT

11:44 a.m. Thursday, March 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is pretty much on track with just a couple of tweaks.  Models trending a little warmer for Saturday (warmer that yesterday's 12z, but colder than the 0z yesterday), and significantly warmer for Tuesday of next week.  Also our next chance of rain & the duration there of, continues to dwindle.

Obviously its windy out there once again today, but winds should calm a bit as we close out the work week on Friday.  The weekend will still bring chances for rain, as the approaching warm/cold front combo swings through.  However, rain chances have dropped off a good bit, and now only to appear to sit around 20-30%.  Also, the rain may not be sticking around as long as it appeared it would just yesterday.  So expect those slight chances for showers overnight Friday through the 1st half of the day on Saturday.  We'll dry out Sunday & Monday, with possible shower chances returning for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Temps will hang in the low to mid 60s Friday, but warm back into the upper 60s for the weekend, with the low to mid 70s for the 1st half of next week.

7:47 a.m. Wednesday, March 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

No real changes to the forecast.  We're still monitoring the moisture starved cold front that will be swinging through this evening, providing a 20% chance of scattered showers, perhaps an isolated thunderstorm.  Nice and warm out ahead of the front, with highs reaching the low to mid 70s in inland locations.  We can attribute today's warm up to winds shifting back to the SW...and those winds will blow 10-20 G 30 mph.  Windy tomorrow as well, with roughly the same wind speed expected.  However, winds will shift back to the NW, keeping highs in the low to mid 60s for the remainder of the work week, where we should see a good bit of sunshine.  The weekend looks warmer with the upper 60s to lower 70s returning to the forecast.  Along with the weekend warm up, expect a good bit of cloud cover with rain chances for Saturday.

Models seem in pretty good agreement, but the GFS does have a slightly wetter solution for tonight's frontal passage (most other models showing little if any chance of rain); however rain chances still are not looking promising (20%).  The models are also trending a little warmer for today, and considerably warmer for the weekend & beginning of next week.

11:45 p.m. Tuesday, March 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A weak cool front will approach on Wed. but little if any precip. is likely. Winds will get quite gusty and a Small Craft Adv. remains in effect and will likely be with us into Thursday as well. Winds will be blustery behind the front Thursday but temps will drop only a bit. Highs should reach the 70 degree mark by 4 PM Wed. and Thursday should see mid 60's area wide.

The weekend remains a problematic forecast with most of the guidance now hinting at precip on Saturday and not Sunday. Raina mounts will be less than .5 inches as it looks now and perhaps much less. Skies will clear some on Sunday with mild temps. continuing into Monday.. As a strong  atmospheric block develops next week we may see rather cloudy conditions but not much in the way of rain. Models are still very iffy on days 5-7 however, so stay tuned. Perhaps things will be a bit clearer with the Wed. model runs.

For Brian and John: I have the Microcast model up and running on the met-line thanks to the WX Central folks. More soon. I used a simple clouds/precip animation at 11 with it. Am anxious to see how it handles the weather around here- especially the temperatures/dewpoints etc.

12:08 p.m. Tuesday, March 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like the crops dodged the deep freeze this morning, with temps bottoming out at, or just above freezing in most locations.  Places that did dip below freezing did so for a limited period of time, probably sparing crops for the farmers.  Cool today, with highs 4-5 degrees below average, in the lower 50s.  Winds will switch back to the Southwest Wednesday, allowing highs to top out around 70 mid week.  We'll dip back down into the 60s for the remainder of the work week & up coming weekend.

Lots of sun today, but clouds will be on the increase Wednesday.  The clouds stemming from a weak, relatively dry cold front.  It looks like we'll oinly see a slight chance (20-30%) for showers and storms late afternoon & evening Wednesday.  We'll dry out for Thursday and Friday, before rain chances return for the weekend.  Speaking of the weekend rain chances...both the GFA & CMC have all sped up the progress of our next system, with rain looking more likely Saturday into early Sunday.  Yesterday, the long range models had a drier Saturday with rain overnight and through the day Sunday.

7:38 a.m. Monday, March 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Well, at least there was minimal fog out there this morning!  However, we'll contend with windy conditions today (North winds 10-20 G 30 mph), before a hard freeze settles in overnight tonight.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING FOR KENT, SUSSEX, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT, AND CAROLINE COUNTIES FROM 3 AM UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY.  CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION, THAT HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO GROW, COULD VERY WELL BE DAMAGED OR KILLED OVERNIGHT, AS TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW FREEZING ARE EXPECTED FOR THREE OR MORE HOURS.

Tuesday will be our coldest day of the next seven, with lows in the upper 20s, and highs in the low 50s.  Factor in the winds, and wind chill values will most likely be in the lower 20s to start the day, and only make it into the upper 40s through the afternoon hours.  Temps however will make a quick rebound Wednesday, behind a warm front that will swing through early in the day.  Highs will climb into the upper 60s out ahead of the trailing cold front that will push through and deliver shower & storm chances Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Highs will level off in the lower 60s for the remainder of the work week, with partly to mostly sunny skies returning through the 1st half of the weekend.  

9:16 p.m. Sunday, March 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH MONDAY NIGHT UNTIL TUESDAY AT 9:00 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD ... IMPACTS...DUE TO AN UNUSUALLY WARM WINTER AND EARLY SPRING, THE GROWING SEASON HAS BEGUN AROUND THE REGION. ANY VEGETATION SUSCEPTIBLE TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER A PERIOD OF THREE OR MORE HOURS WOULD BE AT RISK.

After a foggy start to the morning on Sunday, only trace amounts of rain/mist materialized for the remainder of the day. The primary weather component Monday will be the high winds. Look for Northwest winds gusting at times to 40 mph. Sustained winds in the 15-25 range for a better part of the daylight hours will certainly force the 66 degree projected High down for feels like temps in the 50's under mostly sunny skies. Then, Monday night (see above) we will reach near or slightly below freezing temperatures overnight into Tuesday morning as Spring 2012 tries to re-gain it's foothold.

Daytime Highs struggle to hit the 70's for the week ahead. 4 of 7 nights could see overnight Lows in the 30's. A Gale Warning has been issued due to gusty conditions for The Atlantic and Delaware Bay. A Small Craft Advisory is out for the Chesapeake.

11:07 p.m. Friday, March 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Some dense fog has moved back into coastal areas this evening but it should improve late as light rain approaches and clouds and winds increase. We will see some patchy sun Saturday and Sunday but showers will be numerous with rainfall totals from .2 to .8 inches most likely. Skies will clear Monday and winds will increase with gusts to near 30. Next week will be cooler than this past week with highs mainly around 60 and lows dipping into the upper 30's mid week. Some light showers may return as early as Wed. PM.

4 a.m. Friday, March 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Area waters will encounter Fog and inland communities could still be hampered by the low cloud deck but the extent and thickness of early Fog is not all that widespread this morning, good news for commuters and watermen! If you have outdoor projects to accomplish in dry weather, today's the day to get them done. Expect a beautiful sunny spring day on Delmarva Friday with an 80 degree overall High temp for the day. Tomorrow and Sunday you can expect the opposite. Look for overcast skies and rainy conditions. It appears as if the dreary weather will mirror any weekend plans most of us have as from about 6am Saturday until 6am Sunday all of Delmarva can expect a fairly good (50-50% at any given time) chance of rain. Through the weekend, the gamut runs from the light shower and heavy shower variety at times to thunderstorm potential with models indicating that "severe weather" is not all that likely. At this time Saturday appears the day of greatest rainfall with totals for the entire weekend period at or slightly above the 1.00"-1.50" mark. So, keep the umbrella around. Expect showers to be ending Monday morning and a return to sunshine by late day. Over the next 5 days the daytime High is gradually decreasing from today's 80 to Tuesday's 59 degree High.

11:02 p.m. Thursday, March 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Georgetown saw a record high of 81 on Thursday, and SBY made it to 79 (6 shy of the record). It looks like a southerly flow will push temps to near 80 again on Friday and even the beaches should reach at least 70 before a sea breeze drops it back to the low 60's near the shore. Bright sunshine will be the rule after some patchy fog early. The fog should not be nearly as thick as the last 3 mornings.

The weekend rain is still on the way with rain totals from .4 to over an inch. A few thunderstorms are possible as well and with the cold air aloft under the upper level low, some small hail is not out of the question with some of the stronger cells. As of this writing, the weather looks good for the Wallops launch, if it get delayed they have one more chance Friday before clouds roll back in.

12:43 p.m. Thursday, March 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Low Pressure will be moving in from the West as the area of High Pressure off the Atlantic Coast moves Southward through Friday. Today, Thursday, and Friday, will begin with Fog as the dominating weather feature however Friday looks to include near record setting temperatures and sunshine. As the spring weather pattern settles in look for an unsettled pattern over the weekend. A weak front drops in from the North on Friday night. Then, an area of Low Pressure slowly moves in with chances for heavy rain and a possible thunderstorm both Saturday and Sunday. Needed rain ends as the work week begins and High Pressure returns for another unseasonably mild week. In fact, over the next 7 days most communities on Delmarva will enjoy High temps at least 5-7 degrees above the seasonal average of 57 and temps averaging well above the 36 degree average Low temp overnight. Enjoy Friday as the best of the 3 weekend days and.... "Get Outdoors Delmarva".

11:30 p.m. Wednesday, March 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another Dense Fog Adv. has been issued and visibilities were down to zero on Smith Is. at 11 pm according to weather watchers there. The fog should burn off a bit quicker on Thursday as a light southerly flow develops. Another very warm day is on the way for Thurs. and Friday ahead of the upper level low pressure system headed our way for the weekend. Temps in the upper 70's are possible Thursday and especially Friday as the winds turn offshore.

Rain is still likely on Saturday and Sunday as this system moves across Delmarva. Rain amounts of .5 to 1.25 inches are likely. Upper level closed lows like the one in the plains usually are handled very poorly by the weather models, so confidence in the timing of the rain on Saturday and Sunday is still iffy. The agreement among the different models ( including the Canadian and Euro. runs) is fairly high, so no changes to that forecast for now.

On a side note, the incredible heat in Michigan continues with the northern lower peninsula seeing highs nearly 50 degrees above average on Wed. afternoon and many cities recorded the warmest March day on record. Those records are over 110 years old in many cases. Simply put this heat wave in the Midwest has been unprecedented.

11:43 p.m. Tuesday, March 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Another difficult fog forecast this evening, and it looks as if many areas will again see some dense fog by sunrise. The fog should start to thin by mid morning and it will likely not be as dense on Thursday morning as a more southerly flow develops and winds increase. The most sunshine on Tuesday was in the Cambridge area, while it stayed foggy and misty with temps. in the 50's all day right on the beaches from Lewes to OC.

While upper level closed lows are always handled very poorly by the numerical models, the guidance seems to be in fairly good agreement that the system in the the Plains will bring rain to the area starting Saturday and ending Sunday. Timing seems to be around sunrise Saturday at the earliest on the rain. A weak cool front is hinted at my the models to drop down into northern Delaware on Friday, but I kept temps quite warm, but this will have to be watched. We had a similar backdoor cool front last week that dropped temps considerably and this front sagged well to the south of where the models indicated.

Rain amounts over the weekend will likely be significant with upwards of an inch possible. With most of Delmarva behind on rain for March, the famers will be looking forward to it although beach businesses will despise the weekend timing I suspect!

Salisbury and Dover both reached 69 on Tuesday. 13 degrees above the average high for the day.

10:40 p.m. Monday, March 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Quite a difference today from this date in 1967. We were 5 degrees shy of the record high today with Salisbury at 74. On this date in 1967 the morning low was a frosty 10 degrees! There were a few showers near Denton today with an automated station getting .4 inches of rain today. Most locations saw plenty of sun and no rain, even the beaches finally got rid of the fog! Ocean City reached 63 for their high as the chilly water kept temps. down near the beaches. The same is expected tomorrow as a weak onshore flow continues across Delamrva.

Tuesday and Wed. will see a mix of cloud and sun, with a few spotty showers about. Rain amounts will be light with only 10% of the area likely seeing measurable rainfall. Thursday and Friday will bring sunshine and a brisk SW breeze as highs climb into the upper 70's! The weekend looks thundery and wet at times, but confidence in this pattern is low and there may room for some improvement in that forecast- stay tuned!

The heat continues in the midwest with Int'l Falls MN recording the warmest March temp. on record this week! They broke their record high by 17 degrees today!

Brian, the 18Z MOS was trending upward on temps, so I raised the overnight lows at ten and 11. Probably will still be too cool as a decent cloud deck is approaching from west of the bay.

7:44 a.m. Monday, March 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Good morning all & happy last day o' Winter!

Yep, Spring officially springs into action at 1:14 am EDT Tuesday.  Temperatures to close out Winter, and begin Spring will be well above average!  In fact, look for temps 10-15 degrees above average through mid week, with highs around the 70 degree mark!  If you think that's warm, we'll be talking highs close to 80 (up to 25 degrees above avg) for both Thursday & Friday, before we cool back into the upper 60s for the weekend.

We continue to monitor a trough off to our Northwest, as well as an area of low pressure and its associated trough off the Carolina coastline.  Rain chances, for the most part, should remain off to our West today (roughly a 10% chance of showers here on the peninsula), and off to our Southwest tomorrow, as the low retrogrades Westward (we may see a 20% chance of showers Tuesday).  So expect these couple of trough to provide hit or miss cloud cover with slight chances of rain through mid week.  Our best chance of rain over the next week, looks like it will arrive for the 1st weekend of Spring, as our next cold front slide through Saturday into Sunday.

The models seem to be in pretty good agreement with the quasi-sloppy weather pattern over the next few days, and with the long range scenario for the weekend rain chances.

11:33 p.m. Friday, March 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

A wide range of temps. across Delmarva on Friday with a high of 55 in OC and 71 in Salisbury which was the warm spot. The weekend will bring some cool temps along the beaches as an easterly flow develops over Delmarva. Highs will only reach the mid 50's at best along the east coast with 60's inland. I am still expecting more sunshine on Sunday with temps inland reaching the low to mid 60's and while it remains rather cool and moist with temps in the 50's on the beaches.

A severe weather outbreak is possible in the Plains on Sunday but a slow warming trend will begin on Monday here on Delmarva. We may see some cloud cover at times on Monday and there is a hint of a few sprinkles from some of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. I left it out of the forecast Friday but John you might want to look at that again as the new guidance comes in. By Wednesday temps. will reach 70 and a nice south breeze will develop again. Other than those sprinkles on Monday, no rain is likely for the next 6-7 days.

 4:04 a.m. Friday, March 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Unsettled conditions over the next 24 hours are the result of a Cold Front which pushed across the area from the North and will linger as a stationary front before finally pushing off to our South by tomorrow morning. Today's cloudiness will hold down temperatures from reaching those 80 and near 80's daytime highs we've enjoyed the past several days. A chance for late afternoon thunderstorms Friday remains however, rainfall totals from Friday morning through early Saturday morning should not exceed .25". Eastern winds will hold down daytime highs for Saturday and Sunday but, the return to warmer weather will be noted as another warming trend ensues, with drier air, for the start to the work-week. The mid 70's will return late next week.  

11:29 p.m. Thursday, March 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

We tied the record high with 80 in Salisbury on Thursday but temps. dropped rapidly behind a back door cold front. As of ten PM the temps. were in the 40's along the beaches and over most of Delaware. Rainfall amounts will be light on Friday ( under .2 inches in most spots) but it will be mainly cloudy. Skies will clear slowly on Saturday, but an easterly wind will develop behind a weak trough, and as high pressure builds over the Atlantic coast of New England, the breeze will increase. All of this means cooler temps both days of the weekend. Temps on the beaches may stay in the upper 40's on Sunday and they may not get much warmer than that on Saturday. Inland temps. should reach the low 60's but am leaning toward 50's based on the late evening model guidance. The St. Pat. day parade in OC is likely to be cool and misty on Saturday with temps. in the 50's.

Skies will clear slowly Sunday and more sunshine with milder temperatures will arrive by Monday. Highs near 70 are expected by Wednesday with dry weather through Thursday as a strong upper level ridge builds over the Eastern U.S.

4:34 a.m. Thursday, March 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Weak High pressure continues for a time Thursday permitting a day of sunny skies again but don't get too comfortable. Today is the warmest of the next several days ahead. With a lingering area of Low pressure to our North and West coupled with a Stationary Front extending from the front Eastward, an unsettled weather pattern begins. The probability of rain begins to increase Thursday overnight through the early morning on Saturday. Look for a wet weather Friday with the slight possibility of late afternoon thunderstorms. A weak trough extending Southward connected with the Low to our North is responsible for the overcast conditions and chance for rain. A large area of High pressure will dominate the beginning to, through the middle part of, next week. 

3:40 a.m. Wednesday, March 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Delmarva will certainly be benefiting from the High pressure building in and light Northwest winds today. Daytime highs will be running 20 degrees above normal. Look for Southwest winds tomorrow but continued mild temps. Although record high temps for the next few days are in the 80's, we will be under that value but, no one will be complaining as lower to mid 70's are in store through the weekend. With Spring less than a week away we're looking back on a very mild winter and no winter weather in sight to arrive before March, 21, the first day of Spring. With a weak trough responsible, our next chance of rain comes Friday night after sunset. Rain should end by Saturday afternoon. Strong upper level ridging leads to a repeat of the mild weather and warm temps as the work-week begins next week. Sunglasses, t-shirts and shorts have been included in the forecast.

4:21 p.m. Tuesday, March 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield

Rainfall amounts on Tue. morning ranges from .24" in Salisbury to .21 at Ocean City. Rain was much lighter to the North with Dover seeing only .04. A weak trough will pass through tonight and while an evening shower cannot be ruled out the chances are very slim. The winds will shift behind this trough but the air behind it is very mild and highs should reach at least 20 degrees above normal again on Wed. and Thursday.

The next system approaching for Friday is looking rather weak as well today, but showers are likely from midday Friday into mid morning Saturday. The latest model runs (GFS/NAM) are indicating amounts will be light and generally less than .3 inches. Sunday will be the better day of the weekend. Well above normal temps look to continue for the next 7 days (at least!) as a strong upper level high pressure ridge builds over the NE U.S. Highs Wed. and Thursday will reach the mid 70's with lows around 50 or in the upper 40's. Look for a NW breeze on Wed. and lighter winds  from the south on Thur.

4:58 p.m. Monday, March 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A mostly sunny start to your Monday but increasing late day clouds will produce a chance of showers after sunset. Tuesday begins under mostly cloudy skies and continued chance for rain through the early morning hours.  A slim chance of late day rain is also indicated by Futurecast as the Cold Front portion of the system delivering rain chances exits.  High pressure returns on Wednesday for a very pleasant mid week warm-up.  The seasonal average high temperature is 54 degrees.  We will be well above that number all week.  With warm temps, light rains and a little over a week to go until Spring rolls in we will certainly see the emergence of flowers and blooms this week on Delmarva.  You'll notice on the clock too, now that Daylight Saving Time is underway, a later sunrise – 7:19 AM and a later sunset, at 7:06 PM. 

4:01 a.m. Monday, March 12, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A mostly sunny start to your Monday but increasing late day clouds will produce a chance of showers after sunset. Tuesday begins under mostly cloudy skies and continued chance for rain through the early afternoon.  High pressure returns on Wednesday for a very pleasant mid week warm-up.  The seasonal average high temperature is 54 degrees.  We will be well above that number all week.  With warm temps, light rains and a little over a week to go until Spring rolls in we will certainly see the emergence of flowers and blooms this week on Delmarva.  You'll notice on the clock too, now that Daylight Saving Time is underway, a later sunrise – 7:19 AM and a later sunset at 7:06 PM. Model agreement on late week rain for Friday and/or Saturday is not consistent with GFS showing better chances than CMC.

3:50 a.m. Friday, March 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A Cold Front producing rain has moved through overnight. Some locally heavy downpours were experienced early Friday morning along with some gusty winds, however, no severe weather was reported. Friday is not a washout. Skies are expected to clear by early afternoon as the Cold Front pushes offshore. The drying continues through the weekend. Green thumbs will note a few chilly Low temps. overnight for the next couple of nights. A nice mild pattern begins to develop at the start of next week. A return to Southwest flow by Saturday night will allow temperatures to begin their climb to 60's for daytime highs for the period ahead. Near 70's will create mild conditions mid to late week. Also, Tuesday and Thursday could see light rain. A reminder: Daylight Savings Time begins March 11. Move your clock forward one hour on Saturday night. Also, good time to change out your smoke and fire detector batteries this weekend!

10:53 p.m. Thursday, March 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast appears to be on track, with rain chances lasting through early to mid morning, as the cold front presses off the coast.  It will remain windy Friday, with the winds switching back to the Northwest, keeping highs in upper 50s.  It will be even cooler Saturday, with highs back iinto the mid to upper 40s, behind a secondary cold front that will wash out before it arrives on Delmarva.  We should see lots of sun over the weekend, with highs rebounding back into the upper 50s by Sunday.

It appears rain chances for early next week are not looking quite as promising.  So expect only slight chances for showers Tuesday & Thursday of next week.  Next week will also bring well above average temps, with highs back into the mid to upper 60s for the majority of the week.

3:41 a.m. Thursday, March 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The High Pressure offshore, which has provided us mild weather, will allow us another day of warm temperatures approaching 70 degrees. Windy on Delmarva today, 10-25 mph. gusts to 35 mph. With warmer weather and so many boaters and anglers anxious to revisit their favorite spots, today would not be a good day for the recreational boater on area waters. Small Craft Advisories are out for primary waterways. Thursday night through Friday morning a Cold Front slides through delivering rain chances to Delmarva. The system will come through during the less intense heating of the day and severe weather is not expected. About .25"-.50" of precip. can be expected from rainfall totals around Delmarva. Look for the rain from about Midnight until 9am, or so Friday morning. Behind the Cold Front, Saturday and Sunday will be cooler and drier under High pressure. Saturday's 48 degree high however, is only 4 degrees below our normal high temp this time of year. More rain is possible as we begin the workweek, next week.

11:05 p.m. Wednesday, March 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Hold onto your hats, as it will be on the breezy/windy side for Thursday, with SW winds blowing at 10-20 G 30 mph.

Other than Friday's cold front arriving a little earlier than it appeared earlier in the week, no big chances to the forecast.  It now appears the bulk of our rain chances will arrive through the morning hours Friday, as opposed to the afternoon.  This means we'll see cooler temps & less of a chance for thunderstorms, as we end the work week.  Friday's rain totals still look to be topping out around .1-.25" of rain.

The models have come into better consensus for the end of the weekend & early next week.  It does look like we'll squeak out a mostly sunny weekend, but rain chances return late Monday into Tuesday of next week.

High temps will make it to around 70 (cooler at the beaches) Thursday, and fall back into the 60 degree range, as the cold front delivers clouds and rain chances Friday.  Highs will dip back into the upper 40s Saturday, and it looks like the mid 50s for Saturday.  After our cool weekend, it appears we'll see the mid to upper 60s return for the first half of next week.

4:06 a.m. Wednesday, March 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Spring is only 2 weeks away! With temperatures slated for 13 degrees above normal, today will be a very pleasant Spring-like day. Tomorrow too, could see near record setting daytime high temperatures on the peninsula. The High pressure area responsible for warmer temperatures will be pumping in some rather gusty winds at times, SW 10-20 mph and gusts to 30 mph over the next two days as the High moves Eastward. A chance of rain looms on the horizon as late day/early evening clouds move in Thursday night. The responsible Cold Front from the Northwest will provide rain chances overnight, and through at least mid afternoon Friday. But, the rest of your weekend, Sat. and Sun. appear dry. As we look to the week ahead, rain chances introduce themselves for the start of the work-week. Also, for the outdoor gardener, look for a few nights, of the next 7 days ahead, where temps will drop overnight below freezing. Those nights are: Friday into Saturday and Saturday into Sunday.

10:09 p.m. Tuesday, March 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll be talking tons of sun, as temps climb over the next couple of days.  Look for the low to mid 60s Wednesday, with highs back around 70 Thursday.  Friday brings our next chance of rain, as a cold front slides through.  As of now, it looks like we'll see about .1-.25" of rain, before we dry out overnight.  The weekend will deliver clearing skies, and a shot of colder air, with highs retreating into the upper 40s to lower 50s.  It now appears we could see a few more clouds than originally anticipated to wrap up the weekend, with additional chances for rain returning as early as next week, where the 60s should creep back into the forecast.

A few tweaks to the forecast today, with temps trending warmer for both Wednesday & Thursday, cooler for the weekend, and and warmer to begin next week.  Also, it looks like more cloud cover to end the weekend, with rain chances returning as early as Monday.  The GFS brings a hefty low up from the South, delivering overcast skies and rain chances Monday.  Both the CMC & DGEX keep the low (and the bulk of the rain) off today our West Monday, with scattered showers moving in for Tuesday.  Of course its a little ways away, but it certainly appears chances for a wet start to next week are looking much more promising.

3:41 a.m. Tuesday, March 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Light snowfall on parts of Delmarva yesterday was a reminder that Winter is still on the calendar. Today, a hint that Spring, is just around the corner as we receive over 11 ½ hours of daylight Tuesday! Sunrise is at 6:28 AM and Sunset, 6:00 PM. However, this longer duration of heating won't be felt as such. Starting the day and better part of the afternoon with cooler Northwest airflow (Southwest airflow not clocking in until late afternoon), the High for today will struggle to make the upper 40's in most communities. Then, Wednesday through Friday we become much warmer as mid 60 daytime High's return. Rain chances are likely Friday. A cooler day Saturday but, Sunday and Monday another round of warmer weather is in store.

10:29 p.m. Monday, March 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

So a little Winter weather out there today, with a dusting of snow on the grass, and about .25" of liquid equivalent across the Southern sections of Delmarva.  The rain & snow is now out of here, but it will remain chilly through Tuesday, as North winds blow through the first half of the day.  Winds will shift back to the South late Tuesday, and temps will climb for mid to late week. 

Expect tons of sunshine over the next several days, as high pressure takes control.  Clouds will thicken late Thursday, out ahead of our next cold front that will deliver chances for showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, as we wrap up the work week.  It doesn't look like rain fall totals will be all that impressive (.1-.25") as we wrap up the work week, with those mostly sunny skies returning to the forecast for the weekend.

After one more below average day Tuesday (mid 40s), we'll see highs climb back to around the 60 degree mark Wednesday, with the mid to upper 60s returning to the forecast for the end of the work week.  The weekend is looking cooler behind Friday's cold front with highs around 50 Saturday, and the upper 50s to wrap up the weekend on Sunday.

The models are in pretty good agreement with the timing of our approaching end of the work week cold front.  The only tweaks to the forecast include temperatures continuing to to trend warmer for mid to late week, and the 12z run has things looking a little cooler for both Saturday & Sunday.

7:42 a.m. Monday, March 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

For the first full week of March, 2012, colder air flow from the Northwest will certainly be felt with high temperatures only in the mid 40's today and tomorrow. A chance of rain and/or non-accumulating snow flurries are possible, mainly South, until mid morning or early afternoon Monday. The Cold Front and Low pressure area responsible for the precipitation is off the coast and will continue to move Northeastward. Clouds remain on Tuesday but then Wednesday and Thursday High pressure builds in. A Southerly flow of air will give us 60 degree readings mid week. With a little more than two weeks until Spring, look for a chance of rain Friday into Saturday and sunshine on Sunday.

9:36 p.m. Thursday, March 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track, after our warm sunny day today.  We'll see cooler temps & increasing clouds to round out the work week.  The cooler temps will result from winds shifting from the West today, back to the Northeast for our Friday.  The winds will eventually shift back to the South late in the day, as a warm front swings through, providing slight chances for showers overnight into early Saturday.  Saturday afternoon the trailing cold front will swing through, providing a chance for some showers and storms.  The models are coming into better agreement for Sunday, with the front making it off the coast, leaving just some clouds, and a slim chance of drizzle in the forecast as we round out the weekend.  Next week looks fairly inactive, with a few clouds Monday, with lots of sun for mid to late next week.

Highs will hit the upper 50s Friday, with temps topping out in the upper 60s out ahead of Saturday's cold front.  Highs dip back into the mid 50s Sunday, with the mid to upper 40s to begin next week.  Look for a slow moderation in temps, with highs back into the mid 50s by mid to late next week.

4 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 29, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Rain chances are looking likely for all of Delmarva today as we wrap up the month of February, 2012. WBOC's exclusive Futurecast shows rain beginning on the Northern half of Delmarva around late morning. For Mid Peninsula and Southern Delmarva showers can be expected to begin early afternoon. Northern counties may see the heaviest of rain, lighter, South. A Warm Front - Cold Front 1-2 punch will be delivered by and area of incoming Low pressure today from the West. Widespread precipitation will occur with both the Warm Front, as a steady light to moderate rainfall through the day and heavier rains are expected to be delivered by the Cold Front late tonight. Some localized flooding could be experienced. Then, a few light showers could be noted Thursday morning. As the sun rises on the first day of March however, we'll see lot's of sunshine and a 20 degree above normal warm-up to near 70 degrees. Then look for a mixed bag of clouds and sun for the forecast window ahead with daytime highs in the 40's, 50's and 60's.

The issuance of Various Flood Watch /Warnings and/or Thunderstorm Watches or Warnings are possible however we are not currently in the slight, moderate or highly likely categories for Thunderstorm/Winds 50+mph or Hail occurrence. at this time according to the SFC.

9:56 p.m. Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Expect a soggy Wednesday across Delmarva, as a warm/cold front combo provides likely chances for rain.  First we'll see showers from the warm front (best chances across the Northern half of Delmarva) from late morning, through the afternoon.  We should see a little break in the action, before the trailing cold front provides additional chances for rain overnight into early Thursday morning.  Although the threat for thunderstorms & any severe wx isn't looking nearly as likely as last Friday, we'll still see a chance for some pretty strong winds, as the cold front swings through.  SPC even has Accomack in the "slight risk" area (roughly a 15% chance of winds over 60 mph), but with the lack of abundant heat energy to work with at the surface, we should see minimal thunderstorm activity.  We'll dry out Thursday & most of Friday, before another frontal combo swings through, providing a chance for showers Friday night, and showers w/ possible t'storms for Saturday.

Again, as a result of all the frontal passages and wind shifts, temps will be all over the place over the next 7 days!  Highs will remain in the mid 50s Wednesday, with temps trending even warmer for Thursday (looked like the upper 60s, now could be as high as the mid 70s).  Look for the lower 60s Friday, with temps trending warmer for Saturday (might be looking at the upper 60s to lower 70s, as opposed to the lower 60s).  It appears highs will fall back into the more seasonal low 50s for Sunday, and dip back into the mid to upper 40s to begin next week.

Also worth a mention...where as the GFS shows a few clouds, and a slight chance of flurries late Sunday, the CMC shows another round of heavy rain working in for the South.

11:14 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure and more sunshine dominate today, Tuesday. Northwesterly flow will bring in cooler temperatures than yesterday's 60 F. Wednesday, rain chances seem very good. Look for .50" to possibly 1.00" of rain beginning Wednesday late morning/early afternoon through Thursday early morning. Some showers could be heavy at times. A note of precaution: With Friday's high winds now behind us – check your street's storm drains for twigs, and debris to ensure proper rain runoff.  The rain deficit in Salisbury is –2.50" for 2012. March begins with overnight lingering showers then, during the day Thursday, the trailing Cold Front, behind the Warm Front that brought us Wednesday showers will produce clear skies and a Southwest flow. The weekend: Sunny Friday, rain Saturday, sunny Sunday.

10:24 p.m. Monday, Feb. 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like a wind shift overnight (SW->NW) will knock temps back to around seasonal average Tuesday, despite the mostly sunny sky.  Highs will remain in the lower 50s Wednesday, as clouds and rain chances return.  The rain chances will stem from an approaching warm/cold front combo from the Southwest, that will provide good chances of rain for the 2nd half of Wednesday, into early Thursday morning.  Skies will clear Thursday, but the abundant sun will be short lived.  Another warm/cold front combo approaches Friday, delivering additional rain chances overnight Friday into Saturday. 

As a result of all the frontal passages, temps will be up and down for the next week.  Again, highs will be in the seasonal low 50s through mid week, with the mid to upper 60s returning Thursday.  Temps will cool off as the clouds increase Friday, & you can expect the mid 50s to lower 60s through the weekend, with the upper 40s returning to the forecast to begin the work week next week.

4:08 a.m. Monday, Feb. 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Dry and chilly overnight as you awake Monday, you will have experienced the coolest of the next 7 day overnight Lows (27F). High pressure off the coast will provide a pleasant day with sunshine and a South-South West wind. A little breezy today with 10-15 mph winds sustained. Later tonight a weak Cold Front pushes through with little to no rain, with the exception of a slim chance of very light rain on the southern reaches of Delmarva. High pressure to the North will result in a sunny day on Tuesday. Rain chances look good for the last day of February 2012, Wednesday, with the potential for .50"+ at this time. Then showers are expected to end early Thursday meaning March will not come in like a lion. Sunshine to finish the work week. With more daylight and the approach of spring, We have entered a period now where the average daytime High is 50F.

7:39 p.m. Friday, Feb. 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM TONIGHT UNTIL SATURDAY AT 4 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: KENT DE, SUSSEX DE, CAROLINE MD, QUEEN ANNE'S MD, TALBOT MD ... IMPACTS...STRONG WIND GUSTS CAN KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME WEAKER TREES, AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. THE WINDS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO DRIVE HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. STAY TUNED TO WBOC & WBOC.COM FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

A strong cold front pushes through this final February Friday afternoon of 2012 but, not before delivering temperatures in the mid 70s for Delmarva. In Salisbury, MD the record High for the day is 75 set in 1985 and we could come close to it. As the front approaches, expect winds 10-30 mph for a good part of the day and gusts around 40 mph. We are under the slight risk of a Severe Thunderstorm today. A Severe Thunderstorm is one which produces winds in excess of 58 mph and/or hail at least ¾ of an inch in diameter. After several day's of warm temps tonight's low may seem cold however, the 41 degree's is a respectable High daily temperature for this time of year. Drier weather and sunny skies for the weekend will ensue as High pressure builds in from the West over the weekend. The next significant chance of rain is Wednesday of next week.

9:56 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The forecast is right on track.  We'll see see chances for showers overnight tonight through Friday morning, as a warm front lifts over us.  That will allow highs to hit the low to mid 70s, out ahead of the trailing cold front.  Winds will blow at 15-25 mph, with gusts around 40 as the cold front swings through Friday.  Don't expect too much in the rain dept., but I wouldn't rule out a t'storm with all this heat energy to work with Friday afternoon and evening.  Highs will take a 20 degree dip Saturday, and it will remain windy, with gusts in the 30 mph range.  The coldest temps of the next week will arrive Sunday, as we'll remain locked in the mid 40s to round out the weekend.  Expect a few lingering clouds Saturday, with tons of sun for Sunday.  Next week temps will moderate back into the 50s and 60s, with rain chances returning by Wednesday.

4:11 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Overnight rain produced light showers around Delmarva with the greatest rain total at Georgetown, DE receiving .28".  A Low pressure area to the North will pull another frontal boundary through our area today with and end to rain and partly sunny skies. However, the frontal boundary will pick up another Low preesure area riding along the front and pushing a warmer boundary through on Friday should produce more rain late Friday afternoon into Saturday. This front could trigger the first afternoon thunderstorms of the year. Much cooler behind the front as we go from Fridays daytime high in the mid 70s to Saturday's partly cloudy 51 degree reading. Sunday were back to sunshine but only 45 for the daytime high.

3:36 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 22, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

I took the daytime high temperatures for the next 7 days, added them together then, divided by 7 and determined that over the next 7 days we will average 56 degrees here on the peninsula. This is 7 degrees above the normal daytime high this time of year (49F). The 7 degree higher than normal value is about where Delmarva has seen daytime winter temperatures every day this winter with few exceptions.  Another increase in temps comes from a warm front moving through today. Lingering clouds over the next several days could produce some light rainfall overnight Wednesday and overnight Thursday. A cold front brings good rain chances Friday, especially late, into Saturday early morning. A return to seasonal average daily High's on Sunday as temperatures fall behind the Cold Front. Saturday and Sunday High pressure will build in for drying conditions and a return to sunshine. Rain chances return for the first part of the week ahead.

I took the daytime high temperatures for the next 7 days, added them together then, divided by 7 and determined that over the next 7 days we will average 56 degrees here on the peninsula. This is 7 degrees above the normal daytime high this time of year (49F). The 7 degree higher than normal value is about where Delmarva has seen daytime winter temperatures every day this winter with few exceptions.  Another increase in temps comes from a warm front moving through today. Lingering clouds over the next several days could produce some light rainfall overnight Wednesday and overnight Thursday. A cold front brings good rain chances Friday, especially late, into Saturday early morning. A return to seasonal average daily High's on Sunday as temperatures fall behind the Cold Front. Saturday and Sunday High pressure will build in for drying conditions and a return to sunshine. Rain chances return for the first part of the week ahead.

4:35 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

You just experienced the coldest of the overnight Low's forecast for the next 7 overnights on Delmarva. A warm up pattern is now underway. A couple of fronts will move through. First, weak Cold Front will approach from the West tonight. Then, a Warm Front pushes through Wednesday night and could trigger a shower or two. Our daytime High's will benefit on the plus side by a 10 degree increase. Look for more clouds than sun through the rest of the work week. Tuesday and Wednesday; We go from a chilly 26 F overnight Low to the more respectable 40 F overnight Low in just 24 hours! Thursday into Friday a more pronounced Low will move through the area and significantly increase rain chances.

9:41 p.m. Monday, Feb. 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It will be a cold one out there tonight, then we can put that adjective away for a while, as our anticipated warming trend kicks into gear.  Highs will hit the low 50s Tuesday, then climb into the lower 60s Wednesday, before hitting the upper 60s to around 70 for both Thursday and Friday.  Unfortunately for all the warm weather loving weekend warriors, we'll see temps cool back down to the more seasonal mid to upper 40s for next Saturday and Sunday.

We'll be tracking a partially occluded front track in from the West for mid week, with what appears to be a few clouds, and less than a 20% chance of rain.  Looks like better chances of rain Friday, as the more potent front swings through, and drops temps by 20+ degrees for the weekend.

4:15 a.m. Monday, Feb. 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Potentially hazardous driving conditions on parts of the peninsula, at least until mid-morning, can be expected. A slushy mix of rain and snow has created slick roads. With rain and snow ending, visibilities will not be a huge factor but bridges and overpasses could have icy spots. The southern half of Delmarva has received 1-2" of snow however, the northern half only rain. The Low pressure area that brought parts of Delmarva rain and/or snow and a wintry mix is pulling out to sea. A strong Northerly wind will be in it's wake. Winds 15-20 mph. will drive down the feels like temperature for Monday. The President's Day expected high is 50. Then, a warming trend is in store for the week ahead and a 70 degree reading on Friday could be noted in some communities. With spring a month away, watch for more upper 60's for daytime highs and more frequent rains as the spring weather pattern emerges and the jet stream responsible for bringing in colder Canadian air migrates northward.

10:13 p.m. Sunday, Feb. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCOMACK COUNTY UNTIL 5 AM MONDAY.

The precip took a while to reach the ground today, with lots of evaporation through the afternoon.  What started as rain, continues to transition to sleet & and wet snow.  We may see a little accumulation, mainly on the grass and elevated surfaces...temps we're just to warm today, to support major stick-age on most of the area roadways.  We'll see the snow warp up overnight, with tons of sun & highs in the upper 40s to around the 50 degree mark for Monday.

Chances for precip look pretty bleak over moch of the work week, with models trending drier for Wednesday, with slight chances for rain returning Friday into Saturday.  The models are also trending warmer for much of the work week, with highs flirting with 70 come Thursday!  Don't break out your Bermuda shorts for next weekend just yet, as highs will be dipping back down to the more seasonal mid to upper 40s behind Friday's cold front...in fact, we could see a few flurries early Saturday morning!

7:16 a.m. Sunday, Feb. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Colder air from the North confronts moist air from the South. The precipitation will be mainly in the liquid form until sunset when colder temperatures will support light snow. Temperatures will only be in the freezing range for a few overnight hours so any snow-fall would be short lived. Little moisture and little time, (since the moisture is moving out rapidly) to produce snow will most likely only provide a light dusting however, motorists between midnight and 7am Monday should be alert to potential slick spots, especially on bridges and overpasses. A wintry mix is most likely rather than all snow. Conditions favor more rain/snow/wintry mix for the southern half of the peninsula. The northern half of Delmarva could experience a similar fate however, for a shorter window of time. With many schools and offices closed for the Presidents Day holiday on Monday any potential impact on driving will be significantly reduced. This winter situation may, as do others, change rapidly due to fronts becoming stationary or other influencing factors. However, at this time it appears we've dodged another bullet. 

3:47 a.m. Friday, Feb. 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

For the start of your weekend High pressure builds in today, Friday. An approaching Low pressure area on Saturday will have us back to cloudy skies by mid-day Saturday.  Rain chances increase Saturday late evening. On Sunday look for rain chances throughout the day and periods of heavy rain at times. As the Low intensifies and tracks northward along the coast, in addition to the possibility of .50" of rain for this system, the Low will also bring in colder air from the Northwest as the counterclockwise rotation spins the airflow onto the peninsula. During this cold air influx in combination with moisture in the area, we could see snow flurries or a wintry mix. A repeat of what we saw last weekend (without the bitter cold). Then Monday, The President's Day Holiday promises an end to the rain and cloud cover and by early to mid afternoon and a return to sunny skies.

10:15 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

As anticipated, our little low & warm/cold front combo brought b/w .1-.25" of rain.

We'll see clearing skies tonight, with relatively calm winds.  Winds will be eventually shift to the NNW, but until then, expect areas of dense fog overnight.  Once the fog lifts, we'll see lots of sun during the day Friday.  Highs will hit the mid 50s Friday afternoon, and we'll see the low to mid 50s for the up coming weekend.  Speaking of the weekend, it does appear the clouds will be rolling back in Saturday, with chances for rain...in fact,  while the WRF has us seeing pretty much all rain, the GFS & CMC show a little snow snow mixing in Sunday night into Early Monday morning.  Basically the low will be pressing off the coast to our South, so we'll be close enough to the moisture source, and on the correct side for a little cold air intrusion.  Right now it doesn't appear to be a major event, but certainly a scenario we'll need to keep an eye on.

We'll see high temps in the low to mid 50s through the weekend, with lows generally in the 30s.  Highs will briefly dip into the mid 40s Monday, with highs climbing back to around the 60 degree mark by Thursday, where rain chances will return to the forecast.

11:19 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The high pressure that brought us clear skies yesterday has moved off shore. For Thursday, low approaching from the West will move to the Northeast but drag a frontal boundary through the region producing overcast conditions and rain chances through the day. Rain will begin earlier on Northern sections of Delmarva and later to the South. However, between noon and midnight look for roughly .25"- .33" of rain Delmarva wide. Rain will be mainly light but moderate in intensity at times in the late afternoon. High pressure builds in behind the front for a sunny afternoon start to the weekend on Friday. Dry weather is also forecast for Saturday with increasing clouds and rain chances on Sunday. Early morning fog is likely on Friday morning. Daytime highs remain roughly 5-7 degrees above normal with the exception of Monday's projected high of just 46. Monday, 2/20/12 also marks one month till Spring, 3/20/12. Enjoy the mid 50's. The seasonal average High for the week is 47 F.

9:32 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The occluding warm/cold front combo will track in from the Southwest, delivering chances for rain Thursday.  Rain chances look best across the Southern half of the peninsula, where we may see around .25", with lesser amounts likely Northward.  We'll see a good bit of sunshine Friday, then the weekend may be a bit more up in the air than it initially looked.  The GFS now has the area of low pressure that was once tracking off the coast well to our South over the weekend, making a blline for Delmarva.  This scenario would lead to a lot more rain for Saturday and the 1st half of Sunday, than originally anticipated.  .However, it looks like both he CMC and WRF keep the low well South of us, and as of this morning, so did the GFS, so I made no changes to the weekend icons.

The weekend continues to trend warmer, so it appears we'll see highs in the low to mid 50s through Sunday.  Look for temps to take a brief dip Monday, back into the mid to upper 40s, before the 50s return for mid week.

3:38 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 15, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Unlike yesterday's dreary overcast conditions, High pressure will build in from the West today providing clear skies but, that will be short lived. An area of Low pres, , sure to our North will drag a frontal system across Delmarva on Thursday. About .25" of rain can be expected mainly confined to late afternoon and early evening. Then, on Friday and Saturday High pressure returns, at least until Saturday night when skies become cloudy. An area of Low pressure to our south will provide rain chances for Sunday then, it's back to sunshine as the work week begins anew.

9:54 p.m. Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

As expected, we saw a good bit of cloud cover Tuesday, with a few peaks of afternoon sunshine, and little to no rain. 

Expect to see a mix of sun and clouds out there mid week, with the clouds thickening up Wednesday night, in advance of a warm/cold front combo headed our way from the Southwest.  Rain chances appear to be trending slightly less than yesterday, as it now appears we'll see about a 40% chance of showers, with maybe .25" during the PM hours Thursday.  Look for a good bit of sun Friday, and Saturday, with the clouds, and slim chances of rain headed our way Sunday.

Look for high temps to top out in the mid 50s through the end of the work week.  The weekend is trending a bit warmer, with highs now looking like they'll stay in the mid 50s instead of dropping back into the upper 40s.  In fact, the next 7 days will will top out about 5-7 degrees above average, with all days forecast to hit 50 or higher, with the exception of Monday (48).

4:20 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout 

Happy Valentines Day! A weak area of Low pressure will keep skies gray Tuesday and the chance of, ever so light drizzle or, in the case of the hours with below freezing temps, light snow flakes. Total precipitation amount would be under .10" A shortwave Ridge and surface High will produce clear skies Wednesday as the winter roller coaster continues. However, we will see the mid 50s each day as daytime high temperatures stabilize the remainder of the work week. Overnight Lows, , will be at or above freezing for the period as well. The next significant chance of rain comes Thursday as a surface Low approaches from the West Thursday morning and a secondary Low Thursday evening. For the upcoming weekend, Friday and Saturday appear the sunniest and driest of the Fri/Sat/Sun combination with Partly Cloudy skies and a slight chance of rain for mainly southern Delmarva on Sunday.  

10 p.m. Monday, Feb. 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Several areas of low pressure well to our West, along with an area of low pressure sliding off the coast well to our South, will provide a good bit of cloud cover, and slight chances for a little light rain for our Tuesday.  The models aren't picking up on much moisture at all (actually none on the GFS, WRF & CMC), but the radar is lit up just off to the West.  It will be interesting to see if the "slight chance" holds up, as there is a conveyer belt of moisture is currently siphoning out of the Gulf.

We'll see the sunshine return for mid week, with the clouds making a quick return Thursday, as another warm/cold front combo tracks in from the Southwest.  Rain chances are looking pretty decent Thursday, before we once again see the sun return for Friday.

Look for highs in the low to mid 50s for the remainder of the work week, with the upper 40s for next weekend.

4:28 a.m. Monday, Feb. 13, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cold start to the work week as we struggle to see mid 40s for Mondays daytime high. The Arctic air blast resulting in cold temperatures on Delmarva but High pressure, will continue to give us skies sunny. Tuesday will be mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain/flurries dues to a weak trough moving across the area. Wednesday we will be under the influence of a Warm Front increasing temperatures to daytime highs in the lower 50s. Another warm front approaches late Thursday afternoon with the best chance for rain/flurry chances this week as Low pressure develops along the front. Friday, a lingering shower however clearing by mid morning. Sunny on Saturday.  

4:01 a.m. Friday, Feb. 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Yet another day of High pressure allowing for at least partly sunny conditions through most of the day Friday but, evening brings a chance for light rain will be developing.  A Low pressure area to our South delivers rain chances through the late morning hours Saturday then, a Cold Front and upper level trough will enter the picture bringing rain chances, falling temperatures and the possibility of some light non-accumulating flurries into Saturday as well. With the Low pressure area moving off shore, a tight gradient is exp, ected resulting in high winds. Noticeable wind increase will begin Saturday by noontime in the 15 mph range and will remain sustained at 20 mph through 6pm on Sunday. Gusts to 30 mph through the period, and at it's peak gusts up to 40 mph, could be experienced Saturday. Be aware of driving in high wind conditions including the avoidance of high profile vehicles such as 18-wheeler tractor-trailer rigs. Late Sunday behind the Cold Front High pressure builds in for a sunny but very chilly end to, and beginning of, the week ahead. 

9:28 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Looks like a pretty nice end to the work week, with winds shifting back to the SW, pumping in some slightly warmer air for Friday.  We'll see highs back into the lower 50s, and enjoy the warm air while you can, cause temperatures will be taking a dramatic tumble behind Saturdays cold front!

The front looks like it will merge with / be right on the heels of a developing area of low pressure headed in from the Southwest.  We could see a little mix of rain and snow overnight Friday, through the early morning hours of Saturday.  However, with a nice warm air intrusion as the area of low pressure moves in from the SW, and low temps only down into the mid to upper 30s, we should not see any Winter weather road issues, with maybe just a little slush on the grass across the North.  We'll see highs make it into the low to mid 40s early Saturday, with temperatures dropping, as winds pick up for the second half of the day.  The low will most likely intensify enough that we see winds gust in the 30 mph range Saturday evening.  The models had a little residual moisture showing up late Saturday afternoon & evening, but its most likely just a bit of convective feedback.  So if we do see any late day precip chances, they'll be slight (less than 20%), and would most likely be nothing more than flurries.

Look for temperatures to fall even further Sunday, with highs in the upper 30s.  We'll see the low , to mid 40s Monday, with the lower 50s for mid week, next week.  With the warm up next week, comes increasing clouds and slim chances for drizzle or flurries come Tuesday.

4:18 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Decreasing clouds and a NW wind today with a noticeable drop in temperatures wrap up Wednesday's late day rain. However today's 47 degree reading for our high is on track for this time of year. Tomorrow, sunshine and High pressure continue but with a Southwesterly flow of air allowing temperatures to climb for our daytime high 5 degrees above Thursday. Expect high winds gusting to 30 mph on Saturday as a strong Trough and surface Cold Front swing down from Canada producing one of the coldest weekends of winter so far by dropping the overnight low into the 20s and Sundays high temperature to just the high 30s for a day of under normal values.  If an expected Low pressure area develops along the front, rain chances and a potential wintry mix could occur on Saturday with most models indicating, at this time, mainly all rain but only until Saturday at noon.

9:36 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Not too much shaking out there tonight.  Our "storm" arrived several hours earlier than expected, and as a result, we had an all rain event here on Delmarva.  Most locations picked up between .1-.2" of rain,.  Needless to say this storm was far from impressive.

We'll see tons of sunshine to round out the work week, with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.  A Canadian Clipper will push through early in the day, giving us only slim chances for drizzle, or flurries Saturday morning.  Highs will fall back into low to mid 40s Saturday, with the upper 30s expected Sunday!  We'll see highs climb back into the low to mid 50s by mid week next week.

Again, pecip chances look like they'll sit around 20% or less Saturday.  However, at least slight chances for rain will reenter the forecast by Tuesday.

10:44 p.m. Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

We'll see a slight chance for a few rain showers late Wednesday afternoon, as an area of low pressure presses off the coast to our South.  Chances for precip will only be slight during the day, but look a little more impressive Wednesday evening, where we could see a mix of rain & snow.  However, no accumulation is expected, and we'll most likely see less than .1" of liquid equivalent. 

We'll see lots of sunshine for the remainder of the work week, with the clouds returning for the 1st half of Saturday.  The clouds will stem from a Canadian Clipper that will be diving in from the Northwest.  As of now, precip chances look to be less that 20% (long range models now in agreement w/ this solution) for Sayurday, but we'll be at no shortage of cold air, as temps plummet for Saturday and Sunday.

Speaking of temps...expect the mid 40s Wednesday, with the upper 40s to lower 50s to round out the work week.  Highs will fall back into the lower 40s Saturday, and we'll be stuck in the 30s to round out the weekend on Sunday.

4:12 a.m. Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure continues to provide pleasant conditions today but later tonight a Cold Front drops in reducing Wednesday's daytime high to 48. It's the next system affecting Delmarva as a weak area of Low pressure rides along  the Cold Front, the chance (25%) of rain or light non-accumulating flurries could be seen but only a minimal amount of precip. (.10") would be realized. High pressure builds back in on Thursday allowing for a finish to the work week with sunshine and rebounding High temp's to the lower 50s. Colder Canadian air arrives for the weekend reducing daytime Highs to the upper 30s and lower 40s for what will be one of the chilliest weekends of Winter 2012 so far, at least here on Delmarva. (It got down to 15 F in Salisbury back on Jan. 16 of this year).

10:13 p.m. Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

One more day of sun, before the clouds make a mid week comeback.  The clouds will stem from an approaching cold front, headed our way from the West.  The front is a slow mover, and won't pack much of a punch.  In fact, temps may be a degree or two warmer as we round out the work week.  Chances for precip aren't looking all that likely, and will only sit around 20% or less.  So most will see nothing more than a little light drizzle Wednesday afternoon, possibly mixing w/ a few flakes of snow Wednesday evening. 

Look for a sunny end of the work week, but another, more potent cold front heads our way for Saturday.  This front also appears to be moisture starved (if you believe the GFS), and will provide, very little chance of precip, but a pretty good drop in temps, with highs back down to the upper 30s to lower 40s to wrap up the weekend and begin next week.  The CMC paints a slightly different scenario for the weekend, with better chances for precip headed our way for the weekend.  Both the CMC & GFS have an area of low pressure developing to our South, that will be merging with the weekend cold front.  The GFS has the merger occuring well off the coast.  The CMC has the low still has the merger off the coast, but in a little closer proximity.  As a result, the CMC has us getting a glancing blow from the low, that could deliver a mix of rain and snow Saturday.  Since the GFS is bone dry, and the CMC shows just slim chances for precip, I'd say the weekend looks far from threatening...but worth keeping an eye on.

As far as temps, look for the low to mid 50s Tuesday, with the upper 40s to lower 50s returning for the remainder of the work week.  Temperatures trended a couple of degrees warmer for the weekend, but it still looks cold with highs in the mid 40s Saturday, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s to round out the weekend and begin next week.

4:17 a.m. Monday, Feb. 6, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Some early morning fog is possible then, the start of your Mid-Winter work week will be sunny and dry through Wednesday. An upper level Trough will pass Monday evening producing a few passing clouds. A Low pressure area will accompany a cold front on Wednesday. Minimal amounts of, and a slight chance of rain could occur Wednesday but, another area of High pressure will quickly move into place on Thursday allowing for mostly sunny skies through the day Friday. A chance of rain Saturday to finish out another mild winter week on Delmarva.

 

6:06 p.m. Friday, Feb. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The Low pressure that brought us rain on Thursday has moved out to sea. Gusty winds overnight were the result of High pressure building in from the Northwest. Sunny skies are the result of this High for the start to the weekend. Friday night's clear skies will result in a Low temperature once again around the 30 degree mark. We'll be above the seasonal average (45F) for daytime Highs again this weekend and near seasonal Low temp of 27. Saturday night into Sunday morning the possibility of some light non-accumulating snow flurries or sleet for a short period of time exists as moisture is near and temperatures are low. Both National Weather Services indicate this possibility for Salisbury and Dover. Sunday, the Low pressure area responsible for this precipitation tracks to our South and then off the Carolina coast by Sunday afternoon/evening but, will be providing some clouds and a slight chance for rain Sunday before the weekend is finished. The rain chances are only in the 25% range at this time so a verbal mention on air and rain icon, rather than any full blown grafics to indicate sleet, was used.

10:23 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Our little front blew through as forecast and dumped an average of about .25" of rain across the peninsula (more South, less North).  Northwesterly winds have kicked in, and dropped temps a bit.  We should see highs remain above seasonal average, around the 50 degree mark through the weekend.

Speaking of the weekend, the long range models have done an about face.  The GFS showed rain for Sunday in yesterday's run, but is dry today.  The CMC was dry yesterday, and shows rain with today's run for Sunday.  The WRF has come into time frame, and is looking much like the GFS, keeping us dry through the weekend.  We'll be tracking an area of low pressure headed in our direction from the Southwest.  The WRF & GFS are now showing the low pressing off the coast well to our South, which is where the bulk of the rain should move out as well.  The CMC now has the low taking the more typical track, SW to NE keeping more of the rain in our vicinity as it exits stage right.

Models still in good agreement that we'll see lots of sunshine next week, with highs in the mid 40s to low 50s.

3:42 a.m. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Through early afternoon Thursday, a continued chance of showers will be possible as a stalled cold front and Low pressure combination remain in the region. Temperatures will be noticeably cooler today. A return to overnight Lows in the 30s will begin. Tonight through Saturday High pressure builds in and will produce clear skies and sunny conditions.  Saturday night another area of Low pressure will present some clouds and a slight chance for showers late Saturday night and possibly a portion of Sunday and Monday before finally clearing out late Monday. Weekday Highs will hover near 50 for the period ahead. A return to sunshine is forecast Tuesday and Wednesday.

10:02 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Look for skies to slowly clear for our Thursday afternoon, as highs hit the mid 50s.  High temperatures will hover around 50 Friday through the upcoming weekend.  We'll see tons of sun to wrap up the work week Friday, but expect the clouds to roll back in Saturday, as an area of low pressure tracks in from the South.  The low will provide at least a chance for rain overnight Saturday into Sunday, before mostly sunny skies return to the forecast to begin next week. 

So really the only slight tweak to the forecast, appears to be a good bit more sunshine to begin next week.  The GFS & CMC are still a bit at odds on the weekend rainfall, as the CMC keeps us dry for Sunday, and the GFS delivers the scenario described above.  For now,  we'll just remain consistant on the 7day, until the longer range models come into a bit better agreement on the rain solution for Sunday.

 

3:15 a.m. Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

February begins with another day of above average temperatures as the High pressure off the Carolinas remains. Mid 60s for daytime highs on Wednesday will be the end of 60s for the forecast period. However, averaging 50 for daytime highs over the next week is still 5 degrees above normal. Southwest winds responsible for the warm air will die down after sunset tonight but could be gusty for Wednesday briefly at 25 mph. A Northerly component to the winds on Thursday and Cold Front will bring those 50 degree readings to the start of the end of the work week.  Rain on Thursday is compliments of a Low pressure area pulling a cold front through our region.  Improving conditions on Friday and most of the day Saturday return as High pressure build in once again. Another unsettled pattern with rain chances to finish the weekend and begin the first full week of February.

9:34 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It will be a warm one, with highs back into the low to mid 60s once again (Georgetown set a new record btw Tuesday, and hit 63, topping the previous record of 60 set back in 74').  Clouds will be on the increase through the day, with just slight chances for a few scattered showers.  Rain chances look better overnight Wednesday into Thursday, as our next little cold front slides on through.  Most will see around .25" of rain, before we start to dry out Thursday afternoon.  Skies should clear out nicely with lots of sun for Friday.  We'll see increasing clouds Saturday, as another area(s) of low pressure track in from the Southwest, and provide rain chances for Sunday.  Actually, that's if you by the GFS solution, as there is a bit of model discrepancy. The CMC has us dry through the weekend, with heavy rain headed our way for Monday.  Stay tuned for the long range models to come into better agreement.

Highs will fallback into the upper 40s to lower 50s to wrap up the work week, and take us through the weekend.  In fact, it looks like the low 50s will be with us through at least mid week next week, making it safe to say, we'll be above average for the entire 1st week of February.

A lot of people have been asking me about Groundhog Day already, and I wanted to share my wisdom, in case you wanted to pass it a long.....  It doesn't really matter if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow or not on Thursday, because in order to have 6 MORE weeks of winter, you would have had winter to begin with, and I was sporting shorts and a tshirt for much of the month of January!  Bring on spring!

3:30 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

 

High pressure moves across our South, anchors of the Carolina's and provides a Southwesterly flow of warm air into Delmarva today. Some communities on the peninsula will see the mercury rise 15 degrees above normal. However, 10-15 mph winds will make the mid 60s seem just a tad cooler.  Our next Cold Front will drop in tomorrow, aided by Low pressure, delivering rain chances late Wednesday and through the day Thursday. The Cold Front appears to stall and another Low pressure area rides along the front for rain chances on Thursday. Friday will be pleasant and dry. Chance for rain this weekend.

10:03 p.m. Monday, Jan. 30, 2012, by WBOC Meterologist Brian Keane

Winds have already shifted to the Southwest, and, temps should slowly rise for the remainder of the night.  We'll see the 40s and 50s Tuesday morning, with the low to mid 60s back into the mix for the afternoon.  Expect increasing clouds Wednesday with highs once again breaching the 60 degree mark.  The clouds stem from our next approaching cold front which should press off the coast early Thursday.  The front will deliver some rain chances, but most will see <.25" overnight Wednesday through about mid morning Thursday.  Both the CMC & WRF have the rain wrapping up by mid morning Thursday, but the GFS has showers lingering through mid afternoon.  I think the GFS is suffering from a little convective feedback, and we should be high & dry by noon.  Temps will fall from the low to mid 60s, and hover right around the 50 degree mark Groundhog Day through the 1st weekend of February, which is still well above average (avg~43,44) this time of year.

3:33 a.m. Monday, Jan. 30, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A cold front swings through early this morning, mainly dry, however a few light non accumulating flurries and/or rain were part of the arrival of the front in the overnight hours. Windy conditions through the first half of the day as winds shift to the west and will add a chilly feel to the mid 40s daytime high temperature. High pressure builds in behind the front for a sunny start to the work week.  A warm front arriving from the west will produce a mix of clouds and sun on Tuesday with the return of Southwest flow and will bring upper 50s to low 60s to Delmarva for daytime highs.  A chance of rain mid week until the weekend.

6:44 p.m. Friday, Jan. 27, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The Low pressure area and Cold Front that delivered rain to Delmarva on Friday left greater rainfall totals on the southern sections of the peninsula with Salisbury receiving just over a half inch. High pressure will build in for Saturday allowing for clearing skies from Friday's overcast conditions. But, temperatures on Saturday will run about 10 degrees cooler than Friday's 60 degree High. A weak but dry cold front pushes through the peninsula on Saturday and some clouds behind the front build in for Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday some brief High pressure enters the scene allowing for some clearing skies. Another Cold Front swings in and increase rain chances beginning Wednesday into Thursday. The unseasonably mild winter weather will continue.

3:46 a.m. Thursday, Jan. 26, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

An area of low pressure will track toward Delmarva on Thursday and Friday. As it does, warm air will deliver light rain chances through the day Thursday. Then the associated Cold Front will provide a good dousing of rain on Friday. WBOC Futurecast shows the bulk of the showers between the 6am-12 noon time period on Friday. The .50"-.75" total rainfall amount could be reached in communities accross Delmarva. Friday morning and afternoon will be windy as well, as the Low pressure to our west moves northeast. High pressure, drier air and sunnier skies await the peninsula for the upcoming weekend and temperatures in the mid 50s for daytime high's will continue to produce unseasonably mild conditions.   

10:25 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The timing of our next approaching system is starting to come into focus a bit better, with the models falling into much better agreement today.  We're still tracking the developing area of low pressure off to our Southwest.  The low has a warm/cold front combo associated with it.  The warm front will deliver slight chances for showers through the afternoon Thursday.  Look for much better chances for rain overnight Thursday, through early to mid morning Friday as the low & cold front track off the coast.  Looks like we'll see .5-.75" of rain, before skies clear & we start to dry out Friday afternoon.  It will also be a little breezy/windy, with sustained winds in the 10-20 mph, with higher gusts.  It also appears that we'll see more sunshine than cloud cover for the weekend.  I did not want to make drastic changes, so I kept the partly cloudy icon on the 7day, but we may need to upgrade to mostly sunny in the near future.

Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50s to round out the work week, with highs falling back into the lower 50s over the weekend.  Our first taste of seasonal air in quite some time will arrive Monday, with highs dipping down into the lower 40s.

3:51 a.m. Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A weak but dry cold front moved through overnight and has dropped our expected High temperature for today by 10 degrees from where we were yesterday. High pressure builds in today once again for the last of the "settled" weather this week. An unsettled period begins as a storm system arrives Thursday night into Friday. We'll see cloudy conditions and could initially see light rain developing late afternoon/ early evening Thursday as the warm front lifts over Delmarva, then, as the Low pressure area and Cold Front arrive, heavier rain can be expected. Roughly up to .50" is possible of liquid precip. Weak High pressure for the weekend will try and salvage partly sunny skies. Snow flurries on Sunday are possible as well with no accumulation expected.

10:03 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The high off to our west will deliver a NW winds for mid week that should keep temps in the upper 40s, as the clouds increase Wednesday.  The clouds will be stemming from an area of low pressure from the Southwest, that will eventually merge w/ a cold front headed our way from the Pacific Northwest.  The front & area of low pressure will provide promising rain chances for the 2nd half of Thursday, and likely shower chances on Friday.  The GFS today, had less rain for Friday, with shower chances lingering through the 1st half of Saturday.  CMC has remained fairly consistent w/ the timing and amount of rain headed our way for the end of the week, and keeps Friday looking pretty soggy.  The WRF has followed suit today as well, so I just gave a verbal mention of a lingering shower chance early Saturday morning. 

Out ahead of Friday's cold front passage, we should see the low to mid 50s Thursday, with highs around 60 on Friday.  The weekend will cool off, but still be well above average, with highs in the upper 40s to around 50.  We'll have to wait until Monday of next week to see our next shot of seasonal air, as highs fall back into the lower 40s. 

3:24 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The cold front which brought rain to start the week moved over Delmarva Monday night into Tuesday morning and will allow High pressure to dominate.  Sunny skies abound as January 2012 enters it's last week. The High pressure and fair weather continue with a slight drop in the 50 degree daytime High trend we've been seeing. Wednesday 48F is the forecast High. Clouds roll into Delmarva Thursday as another warm front/cold front combination and an area of Low pressure produce rain chances. Like this past weekend (Jan 21 & 22), overnight Lows (Jan 27 & 28) could support freezing rain or snow as moisture will be prevalent. Then, Monday, we return to sunny skies. The winter pattern of "more cold fronts from the north" rather than "more warm fronts from the south" has not yet established itself here. However, on Thursday, Feb. 2, that prognosticator of prognosticators, Punxutawney Phil will have the final word as he emerges from his burrow to provide the mid to late winter outlook on Groundhog's Day.

9:35 p.m. Monday, Jan. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little cool front will be sliding off the coast early Tuesday morning, only providing a slim chance of a lingering shower.  Skies should clear rapidly, with lots of sun by Tuesday afternoon.  We'll see a good bit of sun early Wednesday as well.  However, clouds will be on the increase for the 2nd half of Wednesday, as an area of low pressure tracks in from the South, while a cold front dives down out of the Northwest.  The low & front will provide pretty good rain chances Thursday & Friday, as they progress Eastward.  Along with the rain chances, expect a pretty decent warm up as well, before we cool down and dry out for next weekend.

Look for temperatures well above average for the last full week of January.  Highs average in the low to mid 40s this time of year.  With the exception of Wednesday (where we'll be in the upper 40s), expect highs to generally be 10-15 degrees above average through the end of the work week...we may even be back in the lower 60s by Friday!  Highs will cool back into the mid 40s to around the 50 degree mark for the weekend, and be locked in the upper 30s to begin next week.

3:35 p.m. Monday, Jan. 23, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Another mild week is shaping up on Delmarva as we enter the final days of January 2012. This past Saturday morning saw .25" to .50" of quickly melted snow. Some freezing rain and brief icy conditions were part of this past weekend's weather but do not appear to be likely for the week ahead. A warm front on Monday will produce mainly overcast conditions and drizzle through the day.  Light to moderate rain and roughly .25" of precipitation however, a thunderstorm is possible and localized heavier downpours could occur.  A cold front will move through on Monday night allowing High pressure to build through mid week. Then, another front and Low pressure area will deliver rain chances for T, hursday and Friday. The approach of the weekend does not appear to require snow boots or abundant layers of winter gear as High in the 40s to Low 50s will be noted.

3:44 a.m. Friday, Jan. 20, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

High pressure builds in for the day today providing mostly sunny skies but a chilly day to finish out the work week with High temps in the High 30s to Low 40s.. As the High pressure moves northward through the day Friday a Low pressure area moves in from the southwest. The Low will push a warm front into our area and deliver rain chances Saturday. There's a small window of time where sleet and/or a wintry mix is possible Friday night into Saturday morning as our surface temperatures will be hovering around the freezing mark. So, with rain expected and freezing temperatures Delmarva could certainly see sleet early Saturday morning (up until and just after sunrise).  A few light passing showers Sunday finish the weekend. To begin our mid winter weather we could hit the 60 degree mark on Monday with additional rain possible.  Look for mainly 50's for daytime highs for most of next week.

9:56 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The moisture starved cold front will slide through overnight, only providing a very slim chance for drizzle or a few flakes.  We'll see some sunshine out there Friday, with increasing afternoon clouds.  The clouds will be thickening up, as an area of low pressure rides along the front to our South.  This low will give us a pretty decent shot of scatter showers Saturday.  There is a slight possibility that the rain starts as/mixes with snow across the extreme Northern sections of the peninsula.  However, expect an almost all rain event, with no accumulation expected. 

It looks like maybe a .25" of rain on average, before we start to dry out Sunday.  The dry out will be brief however, with a pretty drastic change in the models for Monday.  It now appears temps could climb into the low to maybe even mid 60s Monday, out ahead of yet another cold front.  This is the front that does appear as if it will deliver chances for rain Monday.  Since up until yesterday it appeared as if we'd see mostly sunny skies Monday, I did not want to make drastic changes to the forecast.  However, both the GFS & CMC are showing rain chances for Monday, so if that trend continues, we'll need to add the rain icon.  Right now I just changed mostly sunny to partly cloudy..  Temps are also trending close to 10 degrees warmer for Monday.  For now I just split the difference and will adjust accordingly if need be.

3:36 a.m. Thursday, Jan. 19, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A brief period of High pressure on Thursday will give us mostly sunny conditions for the better part of the day. Not as windy. Thursday night a cold front pushes through bringing the possibility of some light snow flurries into Friday morning. Although cloudy overnight, by Friday mid-day we should see clear skies and chilly temps. Overnight lows will be trending near the 30 mark through the weekend. Friday evening into Saturday a Low pressure area moves in from the southwest along an incoming frontal boundary bringing rain chances through most of the day on Saturday. With the rain chances and temperatures below freezing (at the surface) some possible flurries/sleet could be seen at the onset of the rain but any wintry mix would be noted more northerly and does not appear to be Delmarva-wide per-say at this time. The mixed precip would give way to all rain by mid morning. Slim rain chances continue Sunday with the return to sunshine, Monday, to start the week ahead.

9:47 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Forecast is right on track...

Look for increasing clouds Thursday, out ahead of our next cold front.  The front will push through late Thursday night into very early Friday morning.  We may see a few light snow showers, or a little drizzle, but the front is a Canadian Clipper (fast moving relatively dry front), so we'll most likely see little to accumulation.  However, it looks as if the front will stall to our South, while a low tracks in from the Southwest.  This low will deliver promising chances for about .25" of rain on Saturday.  The CMC has the rain confined to the 1st half of the weekend, but the GFS has the showers lingering through a good chunk of the day Sunday.  I do believe the GFS is suffering from a little convective feedback, and we'll see more sun than rain chances Sunday...but I did shift the mostly sunny icon, to partly cloudy.

Temps will remain in the upper 30s to lower 40s to wrap up the work week, with highs climbing back into the upper 40s for Saturday and Sunday.  Look for the lower 50s to begin next week.  Keep in  mind that highs this time of year should be in the low to mid 40s, so obviously its been well above average for quite some time!  Its also been a relatively dry start to the year, as we're already an inch below our yearly average rainfall thus far here in the early stages of 2012 in Salisbury.  Ok that's it for the weather speak, but wanted to conduct a simple little experiment to see how many people actually read the shift notes I send out.  If you did, please shoot me an email back & let me know.

10:25 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Get ready for a wacky Wednesday!  Highs will occur around midnight (mid to upper 50s ((its 60 degrees right now & its 10 pm in the middle of January!!!))), and fall back into the low to mid 40s through the morning commute.  Temps will continue to tumble through the 30s Wednesday afternoon.  Did I mention its going to remain windy?  Yep, we'll continue to see winds in the 10-20 mph range, with gusts close to 30 mph, but they'll be considerably colder, as winds shift to the North.  This will keep Chill Values in the 20s for much of the afternoon.  At least we'll  see a lot of sunshine for mid week, with the clouds on the increase on Thursday.

The clouds will be thickening up Thursday, out ahead of our next cold front that will slide through overnight Thursday into early Friday.  High temperatures as a result, will be back down into the upper 30s to lower 40s for the remainder of the work week  The initial passage of Friday's cold front looks to be on the dry side, with just a slim chance of flurries as we close out the work week.  However, the front will stall just to our South, as an area of low pressure tracks along it, and provides rain chances for us on Saturday.  Yesterday, it appeared we may see a snow early Saturday.  Now both the GFS & CMC are in pretty good agreement that we'll see the precip arrive a little later Saturday morning, making for an all rain event.  It also appears there is a little more moisture associated with the low, making for pretty decent rain chances for the 1st half of the weekend.  Look for drier conditions, with the mild temps persisting (we'll see the mid to upper 50s for both Saturday and Sunday).

10:52 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

A warm front will lift through Delmarva today providing temperatures around 15 degrees above normal. However the moist air delivers rain chances throughout the day. Tuesday night a cold front passes through removing the rain but bringing back the cold temperatures. Wednesday should be clear as High pressure accompanies the cold sinking air. The southwesterly winds providing the warm air will be missed when the northwest winds drop temperatures back to more seasonal temperatures and put the wind chill back in the air with 10-15 mph. winds. Look for a chance of flurries toward the first half of the weekend. A warm front will lift through Delmarva today providing temperatures around 15 degrees above normal. However the moist air delivers rain chances throughout the day. Tuesday night a cold front passes through removing the rain but bringing back the cold temperatures. Wednesday should be clear as High pressure accompanies the cold sinking air. The southwesterly winds providing the warm air will be missed when the northwest winds drop temperatures back to more seasonal temperatures and put the wind chill back in the air with 10-15 mph. winds. Look for a chance of flurries toward the first half of the weekend.

9:41 p.m. Monday, Jan. 16, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A slow moving front will provide shower chances through the day on Tuesday.  Expect .25-.5" of rain, before the front makes its way off the coast early Wednesday morning.  High temps will fall from the upper 50s Tuesday, back into the mid 40s for mid week.  Thursday, another cold front approaches and should push through dry.  However, the front will lay up just to our South, while an area of low pressure tracks along it.  This low looks like it will give us some rain/snow chances Friday night into Saturday morning.  The GFS had a mix of ra/sn, while the CMC had an all rain event.  Since both had some significant precip showing up, I added the icon & gave verbal explanation. 

Expect the mid 40s Saturday, with highs once again flirting with the 60 degree mark, as we round out the weekend Sunday.  Friday and Saturday were trending a little warmer, while Sunday is looking considerably colder.

10:57 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Well, not quite as much rainfall as anticipated, with most locations picking up .25-5" late Wednesday.  Breezy with just a slim chance for a lingering shower early Thursday; with a few clouds hanging around, and temps topping out around 60 in the afternoon!    Friday brings our next cold front.  Expect the moisture starved front to push through early in the morning, providing a slight chance of rain.  The area of low pressure, associated with the from will have a little wrap around moisture associated with it, providing a slim chance for flurries late Friday.  Temps will dip back into the mid to upper 40s to close out the work week, and fall back into the upper 30s to lower 40s (Sunday continues to trend colder) for the weekend.  After a good bit of sunshine Saturday, a little disturbance will provide a lot of cloud cover & chances for flurries come Sunday

10:03 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

It looks like heavy rain is headed our way Wednesday!  We could see anywhere from 1-2" as this low rides in from the Southwest through the afternoon and evening.  This will certainly be enough to cause ponding on the roadways, and maybe even flood low lying areas.  Speaking of low lying areas, the winds will be picking up out of the South 10-20 mph, with higher gusts, increasing the chances for minor tidal flooding.  Potential flooding concerns will be greatest across Western Delmarva, with Southerly winds piling water up in the Chesapeake Bay. 

The rain should wrap up well before day break Thursday, but we'll keep a few clouds and breezy conditions in the forecast through the day.  Friday, a moisture starved cold front will be pushing through.  Chances for a little drizzle or maybe even a few flakes late in the day Friday look slim at best.  However temps will take a tumble for the weekend, with highs around 40 for both Saturday and Sunday. 

There were some changes to the forecast since yesterday...

Temperatures are trending a good bit warmer (low 60s instead of the mid 50s) Thursday out ahead of the cold front that will be moving through on Friday.  To the contrary, temps are trending much colder behind the front for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday (highs to end the weekend are 10-15 degrees cooler than projected yesterday).  Also, the rain chances that looked very promising for the beginning of next week, now don't seem as likely & may be delayed until Tuesday.

10:28 p.m. Monday, Jan. 9, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

A little rain & snow out there for our Monday night, with up to an inch across the NW sections of the peninsula (mainly on the grass and elevated surfaces).  No more precip is expected after midnight, but there could be black ice in the roads early Tuesday morning, especially on bridges and overpasses. 

We'll see several additional chances for precip over the next 7 days, with our next chance of rain arriving for mid week.  After the sun returns in full force Tuesday, an area of low pressure will track in from the Southwest, providing rain chances for Wednesday.  Rain chances are looking pretty favorable Wednesday afternoon and evening, but we should dry out on Thursday.  We'll keep the clouds in the forecast for Thursday and Friday, as another moisture starved front swings through to round out the work week.  The front will only provide a slim chance for a shower or a few flakes of snow late Friday, but it will drop temps for the weekend.  Speaking of the weekend...the bulk of it should remain dry, but expect a good chance of rain overnight Sunday and through much of next Monday, where the rain looks like it could be heavy.

Temperatures will remain in the upper 40s to lower 50s for the remainder of the work week.  The weekend will be a little cooler over the weekend, with highs around 40 on Saturday, and the mid 40s Sunday.  However, if you likin' the 50s, you won't have to wait long, as lower 50s will be returning to begin the work week next week.

9:41 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 5, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

We most likely won't see any precipitation heading into the weekend, but we will see a warm up!  Highs will rebound back into the mid to upper 50s as High pressure builds in from the Southwest Friday and Saturday.  As the High slides off the coast another weak but dry cold front will swing through Saturday night into Sunday, dropping temps back into the upper 40s to round out the weekend.  Initially it appeared that we might s, ee some rain with the weekend cold front, but chances continue to diminish.  We'll see another slight chance for showers Monday-Tuesday, with our best chance of rain over the next week, holding off until Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

9:51 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Two little weak fronts will push through early Thursday, keeping a mix of sun and clouds in the forecast through the end of the week.  With the exception of a few flurries overnight into early Thursday morning, precipitation chances are not looking likely as we round out the work week.  In fact, it looks less likely we'll see any rainfall with our next, more potent front, Saturday night into Sunday. I say more potent, because temps will be falling from the mid 50s Saturday (trending a few degrees cooler), back into the upper 40s on Sunday.  It looks like another front, and another slight chance of rain will be passing through on Monday.  Our best chance of rain over the next 7 days, will come from...you guessed it...another front!  Our 5th in 7 days.  This one will merge with a low off to our South, that should gather up a bunch of Gulf moisture, and send it our way for mid week, next week.

Temperatures will rebound back into the low to mid 40s Thursday, reach the mid 50s Friday & Saturday, then dip back into the upper 40s to close out the weekend and begin next week.

12:47 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

The cold Canadian air has given us the coldest temperatures of the season and a 15 degree overnight Low on Wednesday morning.  A brief period of light snow flurries will be possible today but winds have diminished significantly.  Some weak High pressure will build but beyond today, daytime Highs will be warming through the weekend.  A weak and dry front crosses tonight and we should remain dry through most of the weekend.  A few weak disturbances will progress on through the east coast but, a more significant cold front with Low pressure along the front could be delivering rain chances to Delmarva on Sunday.

9:42 p.m. Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

The bad news is that Wednesday will be even colder than Tuesday was!  The good news is that it won't feel like it with the winds calming considerably.  However, expect single digit Wind Chill Values for the Wednesday morning commute, and highs right around freezing Wednesday afternoon.  Highs will rebound back into the upper 40s Thursday, with the mid to upper 50s returning for Friday & Saturday.  Another cold front will drop temps for the end of the weekend, and beginning of next week, but only into the mid 40s to lower 50s. 

We'll see a couple of weak front push through late Wednesday into early Thursday, providing a few clouds and another slim chance for flurries.  However, it appears our next shot of measurable precip will hold off until Saturday night, and come in the for of rain.  Rain chances are not really looking all that impressive right now, but they couple linger through the morning on Sunday.

5:44 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Hang onto your hat and bundle up Delmarva. The winter seasons coldest day's so far is here. Cold High pressure builds in today as an Arctic air blast pours in from the Northwest. Single digit wind chill values will be felt peninsula-wide from about noon Tuesday through noon Wednesday. The approaching High pressure coupled with a Low pressure area at sea create a strong pressure gradient. The feels like temperature of under 10 degrees is the result of these two pressure systems. Winds gusting to 40 mph Tuesday are the result. Area waters are under either a Small Craft Advisory or, Gale Warning depending on locale. Light snow flurries Tuesday and Wednesday are also possible but accumulating snow is very unlikely. The very cold temps will be short lived, however as the return to southwesterly flow of winds we will put the mercury back to near 50 on Thursday with a quick daily High temp climb to near 60 on Saturday.

9:16 p.m. Monday, Jan. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist Brian Keane

Bundle up!  The coldest air of the season will be filtering across the peninsula for mid week.  A poplar front will press off the coast early Tuesday, dropping temps, and kicking up the winds!!  Winds will blow 15-25 G 40 mph for Tuesday.  Couple that with highs only a few degrees above the freezing mark, and one can easily see why we'll be experiencing Wind Chill Values in the teens and 20s through the day.  We're in for another cold one Wednesday, after lows dip down into the mid teens overnight Tuesday (Single digit Wind Chill Values early Wednesday morning), we'll only see temps a degree or two above freezing for mid week high temps.  Highs will moderate back into the mid 40s Thursday, with the 50s returning Friday through the weekend.

We'll see a slim chance for a few flurries Tuesday, with out next chance of  precip holding off until the end of the weekend.  Even then, Sunday's chances for a few rain showers are not looking that promising.

12:50 p.m. Monday, Jan. 2, 2012, by WBOC Meteorologist John Trout

Happy New Year! The enjoyable temperatures in the upper 50s are gone, at least for the first half of the week. A cold front has moved off shore taking light rain with it and the door is open now for much colder air sweeping in out of the Northwest. As this cold air enters the area Tuesday it is mainly dry however, we could see a few snow flurries as the system will be coming over the Great Lakes coupled with a Low out at sea spinning some moisture inland. Sustained winds of 15-20 mph and gusts of 30-40 mph. over the next two days will make cool temperatures feel even colder given the blustery conditions. Wednesday is forecast to be the coldest day of the week and wind chill vales will put the feels like temperature in the 20s for daytime highs. Overnight, into Wednesday, the low will be in the mid to lower teens as we bottom out for the week at 15F above zero.  Warming later in the week and back to 50s to finish out the week. There is a slim chance of a light rain shower overnight Saturday into Sunday morning.

  

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