Forecasters Predict Above-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season - WBOC-TV 16, Delmarvas News Leader, FOX 21 -

Forecasters Predict Above-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted: Updated:

MIAMI (AP)- Warm ocean waters could fuel an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, while storm-suppressing El Nino conditions are expected to be scarce, U.S. government forecasters said Thursday.
    
 The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast calls for 11 to 17 named storms, with five to nine hurricanes. Two to four hurricanes are expected to be "major" with sustained winds of at least 111 mph.
    
Forecasters expect warmer-than-average waters across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, weaker-than-average wind shear and a weak or nonexistent El Nino, said Ben Friedman, acting NOAA administrator.
    
El Nino is the natural warming of parts of the Pacific Ocean that changes weather worldwide and tends to reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic. Warm waters feed a hurricane's strength, while strong wind shear can starve it and pull a storm apart.
    
While climate models show considerable uncertainty, "there's a potential for a lot of Atlantic storm activity this year," Friedman said.
    
The long-term season averages are 12 named storms, with six hurricanes and three major ones. Tropical storms have sustained winds of at least 39 mph (63 kph), and hurricanes have winds of at least 74 mph (119 kph).
    
A new weather satellite will help forecasters see developing storms in greater detail, especially when it moves later this year into a permanent position over the East Coast with a view over the continental U.S. and tropical waters where hurricanes form, Freidman said.
    
"Its 'lightning mapper' allows us to see lightning in the clouds like we've never seen before," he said.
    
High-resolution hurricane model upgrades also are expected to provide "much improved" forecast guidance this year, said Mary Erickson, deputy director of the National Weather Service.
    
Officials urged coastal residents to make evacuation plans and stock up on emergency supplies long before any tropical weather advisory is posted.
    
The National Hurricane Center in Miami is adding advisories highlighting specific storm hazards: Storm surge watches and warnings will be issued when U.S. communities are at risk for life-threatening flooding. The "uncertainty cone" showing a storm's projected path will be updated to show how far damaging winds can reach. An experimental "time of arrival" graphic will show people when tropical storm-force winds are expected to start hitting their areas.
    
"Key data will be available earlier than ever to make informed decisions," said Robert Fenton, acting administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
    
The six-month Atlantic storm season officially starts June 1.
    
A rare April tropical storm formed this year over the open ocean: Arlene, which was no threat to land. The next tropical storm will be named Bret.
    
The 2016 hurricane season also started early with a January hurricane. It was the first above-normal season since 2012, with 15 named storms, seven hurricanes and four major hurricanes.
    
Five storms made landfall in the U.S. last year, including hurricanes Hermine and Matthew.

  • Delmarvawide NewsDelmarvawide NewsMore>>

  • Maryland Statehouse Hopeful Says He'll Still Hold Gun Raffle

    Maryland Statehouse Hopeful Says He'll Still Hold Gun Raffle

    Feb 17, 2018 9:16 PM2018-02-18 02:16:00 GMT
    Saturday, February 17 2018 9:16 PM EST2018-02-18 02:16:48 GMT
    A candidate for a Maryland House seat has pledged to hold a campaign fundraiser that includes raffling off an AR-15 assault rifle, the same type used in the Florida school shooting this week.More
    A candidate for a Maryland House seat has pledged to hold a campaign fundraiser that includes raffling off an AR-15 assault rifle, the same type used in the Florida school shooting this week.
    More
  • Freshmen Democrats See Most Bills Die in GOP-Led House

    Freshmen Democrats See Most Bills Die in GOP-Led House

    Feb 17, 2018 9:14 PM2018-02-18 02:14:00 GMT
    Saturday, February 17 2018 9:14 PM EST2018-02-18 02:14:01 GMT
    More than a dozen Democrats were elected to Virginia's House last fall, riding a wave of resentment against President Donald Trump. But they're having trouble keeping their bills alive in the Republican-led chamber.More
    More than a dozen Democrats were elected to Virginia's House last fall, riding a wave of resentment against President Donald Trump. But they're having trouble keeping their bills alive in the Republican-led chamber.More
  • "Not My President Day" Rally in Ocean City

    "Not My President Day" Rally in Ocean City

    Feb 17, 2018 3:49 PM2018-02-17 20:49:00 GMT
    Saturday, February 17 2018 3:49 PM EST2018-02-17 20:49:57 GMT
    A local organization in Worcester County, took their voices to the streets as they rallied against President Trump.More
    A local organization in Worcester County, took their voices to the streets as they rallied against President Trump. More
  • Most Popular StoriesMost Popular StoriesMore>>

  • Teen Arrested for Threat Against High School

    Teen Arrested for Threat Against High School

    Feb 16, 2018 3:36 PM2018-02-16 20:36:00 GMT
    Friday, February 16 2018 4:07 PM EST2018-02-16 21:07:54 GMT
    Channing Fisher; Photo Credit: DPSDChanning Fisher; Photo Credit: DPSD
    Delaware State Police have arrested a Dover teenager after it was discovered that he made a threatening comment towards a high schoolMore
    Delaware State Police have arrested a Dover teenager after it was discovered that he made a threatening comment towards a high schoolMore
  • Bethany Beach Bans Canopies

    Bethany Beach Bans Canopies

    Feb 16, 2018 10:40 PM2018-02-17 03:40:00 GMT
    Friday, February 16 2018 10:40 PM EST2018-02-17 03:40:15 GMT
    BETHANY BEACH, Del.- Bethany Beach is the latest Delaware beach town to ban canopies. After the required second reading of the ordinance, the town council voted 6-1 on Friday to prohibit canopies, tents, tarps and similar shading devices on their beaches More
    BETHANY BEACH, Del.- Bethany Beach is the latest Delaware beach town to ban canopies. After the required second reading of the ordinance, the town council voted 6-1 on Friday to prohibit canopies, tents, tarps and similar shading devices on their beaches More
  • Traffic Stop Leads to Drug Charges

    Traffic Stop Leads to Drug Charges

    Feb 16, 2018 11:42 AM2018-02-16 16:42:00 GMT
    Friday, February 16 2018 11:42 AM EST2018-02-16 16:42:42 GMT
    Carolyn Faust & George Edwards; Photo Credit: DSPDCarolyn Faust & George Edwards; Photo Credit: DSPD
    Delaware State Police arrested two suspects after a traffic stop led to the discovery of drugs in the Cool Spring Farms development on Thursday night.More
    Delaware State Police arrested two suspects after a traffic stop led to the discovery of drugs in the Cool Spring Farms development on Thursday night.More
Powered by Frankly

All content © Copyright 2000 - 2018 WBOC. All Rights Reserved. For more information on this site, please read our Privacy Policy, and Terms of Service, and Ad Choices