Forecast updated on Friday, November 15, 2019 at 4:30 PM by WBOC Meteorologist Dan Satterfield.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING VA. EASTERN SHORE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MD/DE BEACHES
GALE WARNING ATLANTIC/STORM WATCH SUNDAY
Tonight: Cloudy with light rain developing over southern Delmarva. Not as cold. Low 37-38. Wind: NE 16-32 mph.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy and windy. Rain at times. Winds increasing with gusts to over 40 knots on the coast. High: 46-48°. Wind: NE 18-36 mph gusts to 45+ mph. Small craft should not venture from port.
Saturday Night: Cloudy and windy. High winds on the coast. Winds higher over the Va. Eastern Shore. Gale conditions in the Atlantic with storm conditions off of the Va. Eastern shore. Low 42. Wind inland: NE 15-30 mph.
Sunday: Windy with showers and still chilly. Winds on the coast over 40 mph with higher winds of over 50 mph in the Va. Eastern Shore. High: 46°. Wind: NE 16-36 mph. Coastal winds 25-45 mph. Small craft should not venture from port. Coastal Flooding likely with perhaps major flooding in Accomack Va. Coastal flooding may reach moderate levels on the MD/DE beaches.
It will turn increasingly windy tonight as a low pressure system develops in the Atlantic and a large high pressure moves over New England. This will cause a strong pressure gradient to develop with strong northeast winds all weekend. A coastal flood event is likely with water levels reaching high end moderate to major flood levels in southern Delmarva. Water levels will reach moderate flood levels on the MD and DE beach areas during the high tides on Sunday. A Gale Warning is in effect for the Atlantic waters and this may be upgraded to a Storm Warning Sunday. Rain at times will develop Saturday and increase on Sunday. Total rain amounts may exceed half an inch over far southern Delmarva with lighter amounts of under .2 inches in far northern Delmarva (Dover northward). Seas may pass 12 feet by late Saturday in the Atlantic.
Conditions will be worse to our south with major flooding closer to Norfolk and in the Outer Banks. There is still uncertainty in the track of the storm and the highest wind/water and residents should pay close attention to the forecast wind and water levels from mid shore Delmarva south this weekend.
In the long range, Monday looks cloudy and winds will diminish with highs on the chilly side near 49 degrees. Tuesday through Thursday looks mainly dry with some clouds and highs in the low/mid 50's. Lows will be near 40 and temperatures will remain well below the averages for mid-November. A cold front with rain will arrive by Friday with cooler weather and clearing skies Saturday. Highs Saturday will only be near 50.
An average high temperature for mid-November is 59 degrees and a low at 38.
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