The Trump administration’s strategy against Cuba is looking a lot like the playbook for Venezuela. There's an oil blockade, a growing U.S. military presence, federal indictments and repeated threats of intervention. But experts say that similar pressure points do not equal similar results. For example, there's no obvious successor who would work with the Trump administration if the U.S. were to depose Cuba's leadership. When the U.S. military captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in January, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez stepped in with U.S. approval and remains in power.

President Donald Trump has again raised the specter of U.S. military intervention in Cuba. The renewed threat Thursday takes on greater weight a day after the administration announced criminal charges against former Cuban President Raúl Castro. Trump said previous U.S. presidents have considered intervening in Cuba for decades, but that “it looks like I’ll be the one that does it.” Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters separately that the Trump administration wants to resolve differences with Cuba peacefully, but is doubtful the U.S. can reach a diplomatic resolution with the island’s current government. The Castro indictment has led many to believe that the administration is following the same playbook it did when it ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro.

A Minnesota county prosecutor has charged an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer in the nonfatal shooting of a Venezuelan man during the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown in the state. Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty said at a news conference Monday that the officer, Christian Castro, is charged with four counts of second-degree assault and one count of falsely reporting a crime in the Jan. 14 shooting of Julio Cesar Sosa-Celis Federal authorities initially accused Sosa-Celis and another immigrant of beating a federal officer. But a federal judge dismissed those charges and federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into whether two immigration officers lied under oath about what had happened.